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3701 Fillmore St
C+ Composite 60.08
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.9/15.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

3701 Fillmore St · Gary, IN 46408
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 750 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 82 Days on market
Built 1947 $87/sqft · 15% above area Est $57k · 15% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Unlock the potential in this 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom fixer-upper perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers ready to add their personal touch. This home offers a solid layout and plenty of space to transform into something special.

Key facts

  • Built 1947
  • Listed 82 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $450 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $61,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
14.60%
Cash-on-cash
29.66%
DSCR
2.32
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$56,716
List price
$65,000
Delta
14.61%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3953 Monroe St 0.49mi 2/1.0 740 (-1%) 2mo $57,000 $77 73
3760 Monroe St 0.35mi 2/1.0 734 (-2%) 16mo $35,000 $48 66
4034 Fillmore St 0.42mi 2/1.0 672 (-10%) 2mo $28,000 $42 62
4024 Monroe St 0.53mi 2/1.0 728 (-3%) 12mo $35,000 $48 60
3863 Tyler St 0.24mi 2/1.0 822 (+10%) 20mo $75,000 $91 56
3967 Lincoln St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 812 (+8%) 14mo $65,000 $80 52
3774 Lincoln St 0.23mi 2/1.0 850 (+13%) 19mo $75,000 $88 51
3901 Madison St 0.51mi 2/1.0 816 (+9%) 20mo $8,000 $10 44
4135 Buchanan St 0.55mi 3/1.0 (+1) 808 (+8%) 21mo $103,000 $127 39
1205 W 41st Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 840 (+12%) 21mo $153,000 $182 38
4047 Grant St 0.53mi 2/1.0 660 (-12%) 21mo $45,000 $68 38
836 W 43rd Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 840 (+12%) 20mo $177,000 $211 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.2%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$18,137
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
32.0%
Equity multiple
3.90×
Total profit
$52,751
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46408

Home prices YoY
-31.6%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,133 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $926/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$450

Break-even live

Break-even rent $563
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3777 Lincoln St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $1,150 $1.44 1d 1 0.18mi
3708 Harrison St Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 904 $1,400 $1.55 2d 1 0.18mi
1005 W 35th Ave Apt 105 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 601 $795 $1.32 18d 1 0.25mi
1005 W 35th Ave Apt 202 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 617 $795 $1.29 1d 1 0.25mi
1015 W 35th Ave Apt 206 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 601 $795 $1.32 44d 1 0.26mi
4018 Tyler St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 880 $1,350 $1.53 1d 1 0.40mi
4040 Fillmore St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 10d 1 0.41mi
4170 Fillmore St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 720 $950 $1.32 19d 1 0.57mi
4364 Buchanan St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 1d 1 0.82mi
4327 Monroe St Unit 1st front Gary, IN 1.0 1.0 600 $1,095 $1.82 1d 1 0.87mi
624 W 44th Pl Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 836 $1,250 $1.50 7d 1 0.95mi
4456 Connecticut St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1044 $1,300 $1.25 3d 1 1.24mi
816 E 35th Ct Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 810 $1,075 $1.33 1d 1 1.25mi
837 W 27th Ave Unit A Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 750 $1,150 $1.53 1d 1 1.26mi
837 W 27th Ave Unit B Gary, IN 1.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 1d 1 1.26mi
2410 W 45th Ave #2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 850 $950 $1.12 22d 1 1.28mi
2410 W 45th Ave Unit 1 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 850 $895 $1.05 22d 1 1.28mi
4748 Monroe St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1074 $1,695 $1.58 1d 1 1.36mi
801 E 32nd Ave Unit 2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 1d 1 1.36mi
2572-76 Van Buren Pl Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $1,025 $1.46 1d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 82 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 81 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 80 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 79 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 77 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 76 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 73 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 72 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 71 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 68 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 67 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 66 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 65 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 64 DOM
  15. 2026-03-27
    listed $65,000 Active 229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (229 chars)

    Unlock the potential in this 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom fixer-upper perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers ready to add their personal touch. This home offers a solid layout and plenty of space to transform into something special.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$926 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$926 · $77/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,595
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$926
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,088
− Management
−$1,088
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$4,637
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,113
After-tax cash flow
$4,286/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
63,701
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
15,747
Household income
$47,453
Rent vs Own
41.2% rent · 58.8% own
Severe rent burden
619.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 41% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 12% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.08%
Current HPI
155.6238
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $65,000 Fizber.com

Property tax history

-7.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $926 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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