6847 S Lakewood Ter · Douglasville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Quiet Townhome in a Beautiful Community Surrounding By Everything. Finally a place with excellent space. This 3 Bed 2 Bath Townhome is just what you need. Nestled in a tree lined neighborhood near schools, shopping, and restaurants. Master on the Main. Cozy Fireplace. Swim/ Tennis Community right off I 20. New Water Heater....New Stove.....New You.....
Key facts
- New stove
- New water heater
- $32 HOA
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.5% in Douglasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#82 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime F, amenities F.
- Douglas County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 595 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 329 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 329 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.40%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $264,662
- List price
- $200,000
- Delta
- -24.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9478 Parkwood Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,473 (+8%) | 23mo | $222,000 | $151 | 61 |
| 6835 W Woodridge Pl | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,474 (+8%) | 22mo | $245,000 | $166 | 57 |
| 5556 Woodland Dr | 0.61mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,542 (+13%) | 20mo | $267,900 | $174 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-25,106
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-27,370
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30135
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 595
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,039 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$242 /mo · $2,898/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$32
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$428
- Net cashflow
- $205
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4140 Kingsbere Way Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1568 | $2,200 | $1.40 | 2d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3000 Highway 5 Douglasville, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1116 | $1,896 | $1.70 | 2d | 23 | 0.66mi |
| 4406 Ryan St Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1568 | $2,000 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4406 Ryan St Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1568 | $1,950 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2988 Heritage Valley Ct Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $1,890 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 50 Carrington Ln Douglasville, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1112 | $1,885 | $1.69 | 2d | 7 | 0.84mi |
| 3421 W Stewarts Mill Rd Douglasville, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 971 | $1,965 | $2.02 | 3d | 10 | 0.85mi |
| 4839 Lehigh Dr Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $4,500 | $3.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5832 Stewart Pkwy Douglasville, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1128 | $2,032 | $1.80 | 1d | 20 | 1.04mi |
| 1 Rocky Ridge Blvd Douglasville, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1048 | $2,052 | $1.96 | 2d | 24 | 1.08mi |
| 9018 Stoneleigh Trce Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,600 | $1.55 | 19d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 4642 Elmhurst Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $1,900 | $1.37 | 4d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5407 Wilder Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $1,650 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4634 Five Leaves Ct Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1615 | $1,865 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3492 Highway 5 Douglasville, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 887 | $1,399 | $1.58 | 2d | 7 | 1.42mi |
| 5346 Orchard Pl Unit 5346 Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,700 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $32 · $384/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 39 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 329 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 328 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 327 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 326 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 324 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 320 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 319 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 318 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $200,000 Active 315 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $200,000 Active 314 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $200,000 Active 313 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $200,000 Active 312 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 311 DOM
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2026-02-05price $200,000 354-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Quiet Townhome in a Beautiful Community Surrounding By Everything. Finally a place with excellent space. This 3 Bed 2 Bath Townhome is just what you need. Nestled in a tree lined neighborhood near schools, shopping, and restaurants. Master on the Main. Cozy Fireplace. Swim/ Tennis Community right off I 20. New Water Heater.... New Stove.....New You.......
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2026-02-05price $200,000 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Quiet Townhome in a Beautiful Community Surrounding By Everything. Finally a place with excellent space. This 3 Bed 2 Bath Townhome is just what you need. Nestled in a tree lined neighborhood near schools, shopping, and restaurants. Master on the Main. Cozy Fireplace. Swim/ Tennis Community right off I 20. New Water Heater.... New Stove.....New You.......
-
2025-11-04price $205,000 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (354 chars)
Quiet Townhome in a Beautiful Community Surrounding By Everything. Finally a place with excellent space. This 3 Bed 2 Bath Townhome is just what you need. Nestled in a tree lined neighborhood near schools, shopping, and restaurants. Master on the Main. Cozy Fireplace. Swim/ Tennis Community right off I 20. New Water Heater....New Stove.....New You.....
-
2025-11-04price $205,000 354-char remark
Show marketing remark (354 chars)
Quiet Townhome in a Beautiful Community Surrounding By Everything. Finally a place with excellent space. This 3 Bed 2 Bath Townhome is just what you need. Nestled in a tree lined neighborhood near schools, shopping, and restaurants. Master on the Main. Cozy Fireplace. Swim/ Tennis Community right off I 20. New Water Heater....New Stove.....New You.....
-
2025-10-31status Back On Market 354-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Quiet Townhome in a Beautiful Community Surrounding By Everything. Finally a place with excellent space. This 3 Bed 2 Bath Townhome is just what you need. Nestled in a tree lined neighborhood near schools, shopping, and restaurants. Master on the Main. Cozy Fireplace. Swim/ Tennis Community right off I 20. New Water Heater.... New Stove.....New You.......
-
2025-10-31status Active 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Quiet Townhome in a Beautiful Community Surrounding By Everything. Finally a place with excellent space. This 3 Bed 2 Bath Townhome is just what you need. Nestled in a tree lined neighborhood near schools, shopping, and restaurants. Master on the Main. Cozy Fireplace. Swim/ Tennis Community right off I 20. New Water Heater.... New Stove.....New You.......
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2025-10-25historical Active Under Contract 354-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Quiet Townhome in a Beautiful Community Surrounding By Everything. Finally a place with excellent space. This 3 Bed 2 Bath Townhome is just what you need. Nestled in a tree lined neighborhood near schools, shopping, and restaurants. Master on the Main. Cozy Fireplace. Swim/ Tennis Community right off I 20. New Water Heater.... New Stove.....New You.......
-
2025-10-25status Pending 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Quiet Townhome in a Beautiful Community Surrounding By Everything. Finally a place with excellent space. This 3 Bed 2 Bath Townhome is just what you need. Nestled in a tree lined neighborhood near schools, shopping, and restaurants. Master on the Main. Cozy Fireplace. Swim/ Tennis Community right off I 20. New Water Heater.... New Stove.....New You.......
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2025-09-27price $210,000 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (354 chars)
Quiet Townhome in a Beautiful Community Surrounding By Everything. Finally a place with excellent space. This 3 Bed 2 Bath Townhome is just what you need. Nestled in a tree lined neighborhood near schools, shopping, and restaurants. Master on the Main. Cozy Fireplace. Swim/ Tennis Community right off I 20. New Water Heater....New Stove.....New You.....
-
2025-09-27price $210,000 354-char remark
Show marketing remark (354 chars)
Quiet Townhome in a Beautiful Community Surrounding By Everything. Finally a place with excellent space. This 3 Bed 2 Bath Townhome is just what you need. Nestled in a tree lined neighborhood near schools, shopping, and restaurants. Master on the Main. Cozy Fireplace. Swim/ Tennis Community right off I 20. New Water Heater....New Stove.....New You.....
-
2025-08-12price $215,000 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (354 chars)
Quiet Townhome in a Beautiful Community Surrounding By Everything. Finally a place with excellent space. This 3 Bed 2 Bath Townhome is just what you need. Nestled in a tree lined neighborhood near schools, shopping, and restaurants. Master on the Main. Cozy Fireplace. Swim/ Tennis Community right off I 20. New Water Heater....New Stove.....New You.....
-
2025-08-12price $215,000 354-char remark
Show marketing remark (354 chars)
Quiet Townhome in a Beautiful Community Surrounding By Everything. Finally a place with excellent space. This 3 Bed 2 Bath Townhome is just what you need. Nestled in a tree lined neighborhood near schools, shopping, and restaurants. Master on the Main. Cozy Fireplace. Swim/ Tennis Community right off I 20. New Water Heater....New Stove.....New You.....
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2025-07-17$220,000 New 354-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Quiet Townhome in a Beautiful Community Surrounding By Everything. Finally a place with excellent space. This 3 Bed 2 Bath Townhome is just what you need. Nestled in a tree lined neighborhood near schools, shopping, and restaurants. Master on the Main. Cozy Fireplace. Swim/ Tennis Community right off I 20. New Water Heater.... New Stove.....New You.......
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2025-07-17$220,000 Active 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Quiet Townhome in a Beautiful Community Surrounding By Everything. Finally a place with excellent space. This 3 Bed 2 Bath Townhome is just what you need. Nestled in a tree lined neighborhood near schools, shopping, and restaurants. Master on the Main. Cozy Fireplace. Swim/ Tennis Community right off I 20. New Water Heater.... New Stove.....New You.......
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2021-07-27historical
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2021-07-23soldstatus $185,000
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2021-07-20soldstatus $185,000 Sold
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2021-07-12soldstatus $185,000 Closed
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2021-06-03historical Active Under Contract
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2021-06-03status Under Contract
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2021-05-29$172,900 Active
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2021-05-29$172,900 New
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1999-07-15soldstatus $75,000
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1989-08-04soldstatus $55,900
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1988-11-04soldstatus $34,000
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1981-09-30soldstatus $422,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,898 · $242/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,898 · $242/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,471
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$2,898
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,958
- − Management
- −$1,958
- − HOA
- −$384
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$748
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$179
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,644/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Douglas County
- NCES district ID
- 1301860
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,335
- Composite
- 25.84/100
- National rank
- #7353
- State rank
- #92 of 174 in GA
Livability — Douglasville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #6971
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Douglasville, GA
- County
- Douglas County · 141,416 people
- City population
- 114,380
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 66,800
- Household income
- $94,526
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 890.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 163,022 people
- By 2030
- 173,956 · +6.7%
- By 2040
- 196,859 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 220,017 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 279,831 · +71.7%
- By 2100
- 322,702 · +97.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.4) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +29.6pp toward D · 2008: 1.8pp · 2024: 31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.4 2020: D+25.1 2016: D+10.8 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+1.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -225.50%
- Current HPI
- 223.9534
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.08%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
-52.7% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $200,000 GAMLS
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $200,000 FMLS
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $205,000 FMLS
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $205,000 GAMLS
- 2025-10-31 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2025-10-31 Relisted — FMLS
- 2025-10-25 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2025-10-25 Pending — FMLS
- 2025-09-27 Price Changed $210,000 FMLS
- 2025-09-27 Price Changed $210,000 GAMLS
- 2025-08-12 Price Changed $215,000 FMLS
- 2025-08-12 Price Changed $215,000 GAMLS
- 2025-07-17 Listed $220,000 FMLS
- 2025-07-17 Listed $220,000 GAMLS
- 2021-07-27 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2021-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
- 2021-07-20 Sold (MLS) $185,000 GAMLS
- 2021-07-12 Sold (MLS) $185,000 FMLS
- 2021-06-03 Contingent — FMLS
- 2021-06-03 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-05-29 Listed $172,900 GAMLS
- 2021-05-29 Listed $172,900 FMLS
- 1999-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 1989-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $55,900 Public Records
- 1988-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
- 1981-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $422,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,898 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…