🏗️ New Construction
Cameron Plan · Sanford, NC
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- DSCR +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The first floor of this two-story townhome is host to an inviting open floorplan that seamlessly connects a chef-inspired kitchen, spacious Great Room and comfortable dining area. Three bedrooms can be found upstairs, including the luxe owner's suite, which features a restful bedroom, en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet.
Key facts
- Spacious great room
- Luxe owner's suite
- Open floorplan
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $241k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-324 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $213k (11.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (22.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $186k (22.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.7% in Sanford — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#92 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime D-, commute F.
- Lee County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #131 of 178 in NC (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Tramway Elementary (math 45% / reading 47%, grade D-, #551 of 1,410 statewide, top 40%, 545 students, 47% FRL); East Lee Middle (math 21% / reading 37%, grade F, #350 of 475 statewide, top 74%, 531 students, 71% FRL); Lee County High (math 39% / reading 44%, grade F, #381 of 535 statewide, top 72%, 1,508 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 654 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 602 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($219k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.34%
- DSCR
- 0.76
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $260,000
- List price
- $240,990
- Delta
- -7.31%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 425 Venetian Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.5 | 1,581 (-1%) | 4mo | $237,000 | $150 | 88 |
| 421 Venetian Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.5 | 1,581 (-1%) | 8mo | $237,490 | $150 | 85 |
| 409 Venetian Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.5 | 1,581 (-1%) | 8mo | $243,540 | $154 | 85 |
| 437 Venetian Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 | 1,592 (-0%) | 8mo | $246,335 | $155 | 85 |
| 457 Venetian Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,593 (0%) | 4mo | $251,885 | $158 | 85 |
| 481 Venetian Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 | 1,427 (-10%) | 1mo | $252,935 | $177 | 72 |
| 477 Venetian Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.5 | 1,428 (-10%) | 3mo | $245,000 | $172 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.66% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-59,567
- Equity at exit
- $38,767
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-64,881
- Equity at exit
- $22,480
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 7 active · 9 under contract
- Months of supply
- 3.2 mo (31%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $274,935 ($144/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 44 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +13.0% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 27330
- Home prices YoY
- -19.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 654
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,864 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$325 /mo · $3,900/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$392
- Net cashflow
- $-324
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-144 | -5% $-234 | +0% $-324 | +5% $-414 | +10% $-504 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-471 | -5% $-398 | +0% $-324 | +5% $-250 | +10% $-177 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-193 | -0.5pp $-258 | base $-324 | +0.5pp $-391 | +1.0pp $-460 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 165 Firethorn Ln Sanford, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,385 | $1.17 | 70d | 6 | 1.17mi |
| 358 Groveway Loop Sanford, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 994 | $2,099 | $2.11 | 63d | 25 | 1.26mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Virtual tour available for the model home
- Financial info
- List price noted (plan-based listing)
Exterior
- Parking
- 1-car garage (1 parking space total)
- Home design
- New-construction single-family home — Cameron planEntry listed under Cameron Plan address
- Construction
- Built as part of 2026 inventory (plan)Plan-based construction details
- Exterior features
- Living area approximately 1,593 (per plan)
Interior
- Kitchen
- Included as part of the new-construction Cameron plan
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom
- Interior features
- Open living area (plan model)
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $240,990 Active 105 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $240,990 Active 104 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $240,990 Active 103 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $240,990 Active 102 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $240,990 Active 101 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $240,990 Active 100 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $240,990 Active 97 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $240,990 Active 96 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $240,990 Active 95 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $240,990 Active 93 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $240,990 Active 91 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $240,990 Active 89 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $240,990 Active 88 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $240,990 Active 87 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $240,990 Active 84 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $240,990 Active 82 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $240,990 Active 81 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $240,990 Active 80 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $240,990 Active 79 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $240,990 Active 78 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $240,990 Active 77 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $240,990 Active 76 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $240,990 Active 75 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $240,990 Active 74 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $240,990 Active 73 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $240,990 Active 72 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $240,990 Active 71 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $240,990 Active 70 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $240,990 Active 69 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $240,990 Active 68 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $240,990 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $240,990 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $240,990 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $240,990 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $240,990 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $240,990 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-26pricedays on market $240,990 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $235,990 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $235,990 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $235,990 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $235,990 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $235,990 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $235,990 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $235,990 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $235,990 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $235,990 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $235,990 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $235,990 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $235,990 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $235,990 Active 43 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,373
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$3,900
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,790
- − Management
- −$1,790
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable loss
- −$8,534
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,048
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,839/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained townhome is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed. Updates to the exterior and interior can significantly increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Clean windows — Improves natural light and aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace flooring — Modernizes the space and increases value ↑
- Both Update kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and increases value ↑
- Both Update bathroom fixtures — Modernizes the space and increases value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702560
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,300
- Composite
- 29.87/100
- National rank
- #6403
- State rank
- #131 of 178 in NC
Livability — Sanford
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #6134
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sanford, NC
- County
- Lee County · 63,008 people
- City population
- 76,725
- Metro
- Sanford, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,778
- Household income
- $61,300
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14% of renters
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,008 people
- By 2030
- 64,443 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 66,898 · +6.2%
- By 2050
- 68,310 · +8.4%
- By 2075
- 70,920 · +12.6%
- By 2100
- 70,402 · +11.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 19% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 17%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.5) · D 40.8% · R 58.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.1pp toward R · 2008: -8.4pp · 2024: -17.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.5 2020: R+14.9 2016: R+13.2 2012: R+10.2 2008: R+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.62%
- Current HPI
- 302.3589
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.66%
- Metro
- Sanford, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…