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22 Ridgewood Rd
C Composite 57.48
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$345,000

22 Ridgewood Rd · East Haddam, CT 06415
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,300 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1957 6,098 sqft lot $265/sqft · 12% below area Est $390k · 12% under $37/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Only 3 bedroom year round home currently for sale at beautiful Lake Hayward. .beautiful view and minutes from the main beach, tennis, basketball and family activities. .remodeled kitchen with tile floor and center island w/ granite. ., gas log FP, large great room with wall of windows on the lake side, pull down attic, former elec space heater disconnected but could be restored or easy to install mini splits. .will need some appliances, some new flooring and deck repair/replacement but well worth the effort for your primary or summer home at the Lake!! 2 Frontages gives addtl parking and boat storage in the rear of the home. . pls do not go onto the deck. .some unsafe boards. . REDUCED!! B

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1957

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Nearby amenities include golf course, lake, playground/tot lot, and tennis courts
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $439; Association includes tennis, lake/beach access, trash pickup, and snow removal; Property managed by unit owners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; Two parking spaces
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic sewage system; Electric hot water
  • Home design: Single-family home
  • Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Concrete foundation; Gold exterior color
  • Exterior features: Sloping lot with water view; Walk-to-water and beach rights; association access required; Association provides lake/beach access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Ceiling fans; Window air conditioning units; Heating listed as other
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; One fireplace; Has an attic with pull-down stairs; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: 30-gallon electric hot water tank

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $345k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $456 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $345k).
  • Recommended offer: $335k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • East Haddam School District (rural): math 47% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #59 of 153 in CT (top 39%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: East Haddam Elementary School (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #177 of 553 statewide, top 34%, 337 students, 27% FRL); Nathan Hale-Ray Middle School (math 46% / reading 67%, grade B, #59 of 175 statewide, top 34%, 378 students, 28% FRL); Nathan Hale-Ray High School (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C-, #63 of 194 statewide, top 39%, 262 students, 22% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 68 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($335k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $116k; list at $345k implies a 197% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $334,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.88%
Cash-on-cash
5.66%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$390,299
List price
$345,000
Delta
-11.61%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
114 Wildwood Rd 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,303 (+0%) 9mo $335,000 $257 77
5 Ridgewood Rd 0.07mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,149 (-12%) 23mo $415,000 $361 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.5%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-26,874
Equity at exit
$51,441
10-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$13,999
Equity at exit
$29,829

Cash invested: $96,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06415

Home prices YoY
-17.2%
Active inventory
68
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,809
Tax from tax record
$319 /mo · $3,832/yr
Insurance
$144
HOA
$37
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$735
Net cashflow
$456

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,923
Max offer price $345,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $651 -5% $553 +0% $456 +5% $358 +10% $260
Rent -10% $179 -5% $317 +0% $456 +5% $594 +10% $732
Rate -1.0pp $629 -0.5pp $543 base $456 +0.5pp $366 +1.0pp $275

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$86,250
Closing costs
$10,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
333 Lake Shore Dr Colchester, CT 3.0 2.0 1414 $3,500 $2.48 21d 1 0.41mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$37 · $444/yr
Likely covers
gas

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $345,000 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $345,000 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $345,000 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $345,000 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $345,000 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $345,000 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $345,000 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $345,000 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $345,000 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $345,000 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $345,000 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $345,000 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $345,000 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    remarks 696-char remark
  16. 2026-06-01
    price $345,000 Active 26 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $359,900 Active 26 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $359,900 Active 25 DOM
  19. 2026-05-31
    days on market $359,900 Active 24 DOM
  20. 2026-05-07
    listed $359,900 Active 655-char remark
  21. 2026-04-24
    historical $359,900 655-char remark
  22. 1996-04-02
    soldstatus $116,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,832 · $319/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,608 · $467/mo
Expected delta
+$1,776/yr (+$148/mo · 46.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 71% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,000
− Mortgage interest
−$19,325
− Property taxes
−$3,832
− Insurance
−$1,725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,360
− Management
−$3,360
− HOA
−$444
− Depreciation
−$10,036
Taxable loss
−$83
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$20
After-tax cash flow
$5,488/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Haddam School District
NCES district ID
0901200
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$82,341
Composite
50.78/100
National rank
#1809
State rank
#59 of 153 in CT

Livability — East Haddam

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
16,075

Population outlook (Lower Connecticut River Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
188,651

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 8% Slovak 5%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lower Connecticut River Valley

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 55.9% · R 42.4% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+13.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.47%
Current HPI
243.6281
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+197.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $345,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $359,900 Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-24 Coming Soon $359,900 Smart MLS
  • 1996-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $116,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2022): $3,832 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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