4921 Private Road 5272 · Clyde, TX 79510

$150,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,172 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market

Built 2006 0.61 ac lot Est $150k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +12.7/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +3.8/10.0
• 1% rule +3.6/10.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to your peaceful slice of the countryside! This inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a little over half an acre, offering the perfect blend of comfort and rural charm. Outside, you’ll love the wide-open space—ideal for gardening, outdoor gatherings, or simply enjoying the quiet surroundings. The durable metal roof provides long-lasting protection and low maintenance, while the large metal carport offers ample covered parking for vehicles, equipment, or recreational toys. Outside, you’ll love the wide-open space—ideal for gardening, outdoor gatherings, or simply enjoying the quiet surroundings. The durable metal roof provides long-lasting protection and low

Key facts

• 0.61 acre lot
• 4 parking spots
• Built 2006

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-190/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (1.9% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (14.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $128k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.2% in Clyde — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#498 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
• Clyde CISD (town): math 42% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #341 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Clyde El (366 students, 58% FRL).
• Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Callahan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Callahan County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $128,257 (14.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.86% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.17%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.45%
• DSCR: 0.98
• GRM: 9.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $150,016
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4921 Private Road 5272	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,172 (0%)	1mo	$150,000	$128	99
1502 Gas House Rd	0.57mi	3/2.0	1,284 (+10%)	21mo	$49,700	$39	40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -17.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.40×
• Total profit: $-25,298
• Equity at exit: $22,365

10-year hold

• IRR: -8.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.45×
• Total profit: $-23,265
• Equity at exit: $12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 79510

• Home prices YoY: -21.6%
• Active inventory: 132
• Price-to-rent: 9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,283 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$787
• Tax from tax record: −$180 /mo · $2,159/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$269
• Net cashflow: $-16

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,303

Max offer price $147,209

Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,500
• Closing costs: $4,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-04-26
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-15
   historical Active Option Contract
3. 2026-04-14
   listed $150,000 Active
4. 2007-05-30
   soldstatus
5. 2003-08-05
   soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,159 · $180/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,745 · $229/mo
• Expected delta: +$586/yr (+$49/mo · 27.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,391
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,402
• − Property taxes: −$2,159
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,231
• − Management: −$1,231
• − Depreciation: −$4,364
• Taxable loss: −$2,747
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$659
• After-tax cash flow: $470/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Clyde CISD
• NCES district ID: 4814450
• Math proficiency: 42% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 42% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $46,614
• Composite: 35.84/100
• National rank: #4824
• State rank: #341 of 826 in TX

Livability — Clyde

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #498
• US rank: #9935

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 8,135

Population outlook (Callahan County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 13,664 people
• By 2030: 13,578 · -0.6%
• By 2040: 13,283 · -2.8%
• By 2050: 13,008 · -4.8%
• By 2075: 12,354 · -9.6%
• By 2100: 11,326 · -17.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (79%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 79% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 12% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 13%
• Common ancestry: Italian 8% Slovak 3% Serbian 3%
• Foreign-born: 1% · China
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Callahan

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+77.6) · D 10.9% · R 88.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.9pp toward R · 2008: -61.7pp · 2024: -77.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+77.6 2020: R+77.3 2016: R+77.2 2012: R+69.8 2008: R+61.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -51.42%
• Current HPI: 186.6326
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-26 Pending — NTREIS
• 2026-04-15 Contingent — NTREIS
• 2026-04-14 Listed $150,000 NTREIS
• 2007-05-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2003-08-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,159 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.