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1216 Pine Grove Rd
D Composite 40.94
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$12,000

1216 Pine Grove Rd · Anniston, AL 36201
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 860 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1940 6,534 sqft lot $14/sqft · 56% below area ↓ 33% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Needs work, looking to fix and flip or fix and rent, It is a great investment. Close to town. Preferred closing attorney is The Colbert Firm , can close in 5 days. Sold as-is, no repairs

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 46 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $12k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $695 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($982 rent vs $12k).
  • Recommended offer: $12k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 75.8% vs local median 5.1% in Anniston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#348 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Anniston City (urban): math 2% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #128 of 129 in AL (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 87% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 135 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $83 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $360 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Calhoun County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($12k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $11,640 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
8.18%
Cap rate
75.79%
Cash-on-cash
248.19%
DSCR
12.04
GRM
1.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$29,522
List price
$12,000
Delta
-59.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1216 Pine Grove Rd 0.00mi 2/1.0 935 (+9%) 1mo $5,000 $5 85

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.60×
Total profit
$42,330
Equity at exit
$1,789
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
28.95×
Total profit
$93,909
Equity at exit
$1,038

Cash invested: $3,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36201

Active inventory
73
Price-to-rent
1.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$982 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$63
Tax from tax record
$13 /mo · $153/yr
Insurance
$5
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$206
Net cashflow
$695

Break-even live

Break-even rent $102
Max offer price $12,000
Occupancy floor 24%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,000
Closing costs
$360
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1605 W 21st St Anniston, AL 3.0 1.0 970 $950 $0.98 43d 1 1.00mi
2117 Moore Ave Unit NA Anniston, AL 2.0 1.0 1102 $1,385 $1.26 43d 1 1.23mi
1130 Christine Ave Apt 16 Anniston, AL 1.0 1.0 700 $625 $0.89 43d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    statuslisting id $12,000 Pending 46 DOM
  2. 2026-05-15
    status Under Contract 186-char remark
    Show marketing remark (186 chars)

    Needs work, looking to fix and flip or fix and rent, It is a great investment. Close to town. Preferred closing attorney is The Colbert Firm , can close in 5 days. Sold as-is, no repairs

  3. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 186-char remark
    Show marketing remark (186 chars)

    Needs work, looking to fix and flip or fix and rent, It is a great investment. Close to town. Preferred closing attorney is The Colbert Firm , can close in 5 days. Sold as-is, no repairs

  4. 2026-05-12
    price $12,000 186-char remark
    Show marketing remark (186 chars)

    Needs work, looking to fix and flip or fix and rent, It is a great investment. Close to town. Preferred closing attorney is The Colbert Firm , can close in 5 days. Sold as-is, no repairs

  5. 2026-05-12
    price $12,000 186-char remark
    Show marketing remark (186 chars)

    Needs work, looking to fix and flip or fix and rent, It is a great investment. Close to town. Preferred closing attorney is The Colbert Firm , can close in 5 days. Sold as-is, no repairs

  6. 2026-03-30
    listed $18,000 New 186-char remark
    Show marketing remark (186 chars)

    Needs work, looking to fix and flip or fix and rent, It is a great investment. Close to town. Preferred closing attorney is The Colbert Firm , can close in 5 days. Sold as-is, no repairs

  7. 2026-03-30
    listed $18,000 Active 186-char remark
    Show marketing remark (186 chars)

    Needs work, looking to fix and flip or fix and rent, It is a great investment. Close to town. Preferred closing attorney is The Colbert Firm , can close in 5 days. Sold as-is, no repairs

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$153 · $13/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$153 · $13/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,782
− Mortgage interest
−$672
− Property taxes
−$153
− Insurance
−$60
− Repairs & maintenance
−$943
− Management
−$943
− Depreciation
−$349
Taxable income
$8,662
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,079
After-tax cash flow
$6,260/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anniston City
NCES district ID
0100090
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$31,824
Composite
5.36/100
National rank
#10030
State rank
#128 of 129 in AL

Livability — Anniston

Score
58/100
State rank
#348
US rank
#20680

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Anniston, AL
City population
19,220
Population (ZIP)
17,406

Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
109,765 people
By 2030
105,708 · -3.7%
By 2040
96,192 · -12.4%
By 2050
86,413 · -21.3%
By 2075
63,467 · -42.2%
By 2100
44,704 · -59.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 46% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Scandinavian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.8) · D 27.2% · R 71.9%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: -32.5pp · 2024: -44.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.8 2020: R+39.0 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+31.9 2008: R+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.92%
Current HPI
59.1512
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-33.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $12,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $12,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $18,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $18,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $153 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…