1216 Pine Grove Rd · Anniston, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$12,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Needs work, looking to fix and flip or fix and rent, It is a great investment. Close to town. Preferred closing attorney is The Colbert Firm , can close in 5 days. Sold as-is, no repairs
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 46 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $12k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $695 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($982 rent vs $12k).
- Recommended offer: $12k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 75.8% vs local median 5.1% in Anniston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#348 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Anniston City (urban): math 2% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #128 of 129 in AL (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 87% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 135 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $83 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $360 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calhoun County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($12k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 8.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 75.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 248.19%
- DSCR
- 12.04
- GRM
- 1.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $29,522
- List price
- $12,000
- Delta
- -59.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1216 Pine Grove Rd | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 935 (+9%) | 1mo | $5,000 | $5 | 85 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.60×
- Total profit
- $42,330
- Equity at exit
- $1,789
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 28.95×
- Total profit
- $93,909
- Equity at exit
- $1,038
Cash invested: $3,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36201
- Active inventory
- 73
- Price-to-rent
- 1.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $982 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$63
- Tax from tax record
- −$13 /mo · $153/yr
- Insurance
- −$5
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$206
- Net cashflow
- $695
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,000
- Closing costs
- $360
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1605 W 21st St Anniston, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $950 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2117 Moore Ave Unit NA Anniston, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1102 | $1,385 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1130 Christine Ave Apt 16 Anniston, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $625 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-31status $12,000 Pending 46 DOM
-
2026-05-15status Under Contract 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Needs work, looking to fix and flip or fix and rent, It is a great investment. Close to town. Preferred closing attorney is The Colbert Firm , can close in 5 days. Sold as-is, no repairs
-
2026-05-15status Pending 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Needs work, looking to fix and flip or fix and rent, It is a great investment. Close to town. Preferred closing attorney is The Colbert Firm , can close in 5 days. Sold as-is, no repairs
-
2026-05-12price $12,000 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Needs work, looking to fix and flip or fix and rent, It is a great investment. Close to town. Preferred closing attorney is The Colbert Firm , can close in 5 days. Sold as-is, no repairs
-
2026-05-12price $12,000 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Needs work, looking to fix and flip or fix and rent, It is a great investment. Close to town. Preferred closing attorney is The Colbert Firm , can close in 5 days. Sold as-is, no repairs
-
2026-03-30$18,000 New 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Needs work, looking to fix and flip or fix and rent, It is a great investment. Close to town. Preferred closing attorney is The Colbert Firm , can close in 5 days. Sold as-is, no repairs
-
2026-03-30$18,000 Active 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Needs work, looking to fix and flip or fix and rent, It is a great investment. Close to town. Preferred closing attorney is The Colbert Firm , can close in 5 days. Sold as-is, no repairs
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $153 · $13/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $153 · $13/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,782
- − Mortgage interest
- −$672
- − Property taxes
- −$153
- − Insurance
- −$60
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$943
- − Management
- −$943
- − Depreciation
- −$349
- Taxable income
- $8,662
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,079
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,260/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anniston City
- NCES district ID
- 0100090
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,824
- Composite
- 5.36/100
- National rank
- #10030
- State rank
- #128 of 129 in AL
Livability — Anniston
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #348
- US rank
- #20680
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Anniston, AL
- City population
- 19,220
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,406
Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 109,765 people
- By 2030
- 105,708 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 96,192 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 86,413 · -21.3%
- By 2075
- 63,467 · -42.2%
- By 2100
- 44,704 · -59.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 46% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Scandinavian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.8) · D 27.2% · R 71.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: -32.5pp · 2024: -44.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.8 2020: R+39.0 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+31.9 2008: R+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.92%
- Current HPI
- 59.1512
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-33.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-05-15 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $12,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $12,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $18,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $18,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $153 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…