87 Heirloom Rd · Hinesville, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-in ready townhome! Located on the edge of Hinesville, the Heritage Pointe Townhomes are close to new restaurants & up-and-coming shopping! Quick commute to Ft. Stewart, Hwy 17 & I-95! 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome with granite counters throughout! Open living space on the first floor with access to the 1-car garage, half-bath & backyard. The kitchen features ample cabinetry with a spacious pantry & brand new stainless appliances! From the island, look out to the dining area & family room. Enjoy a sodded backyard with irrigation & privacy fence! Upstairs find two bedrooms, hall bath, laundry room & the primary suite. Within the primary suite is a walk-in closet & private bath. The private bath includes a dual vanity, shower/tub combo & another walk-in closet! HOA maintained landscaping & annual pressure washing!
Key facts
- Spacious pantry
- Sodded backyard
- Ample cabinetry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $230k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-192/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $228k (1.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (7.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $212k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 5.2% in Hinesville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#51 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, commute D+, crime F.
- Liberty County (urban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #133 of 174 in GA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 639 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 471 units permitted in Liberty County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Liberty County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.30%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $229,900
- List price
- $229,900
- Delta
- —
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91 Heirloom Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,411 (0%) | 1mo | $231,400 | $164 | 99 |
| 95 Heirloom Rd | 0.01mi | 3/2.5 | 1,411 (0%) | 2mo | $229,900 | $163 | 98 |
| 83 Heirloom Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,411 (0%) | 2mo | $229,900 | $163 | 98 |
| 103 Heirloom Rd | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,411 (0%) | 2mo | $229,900 | $163 | 98 |
| 115 Heirloom Rd | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 1,411 (0%) | 1mo | $229,900 | $163 | 98 |
| 86 Beaumont Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,411 (0%) | 0mo | $229,900 | $163 | 97 |
| 84 Beaumont Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,411 (0%) | 1mo | $229,900 | $163 | 97 |
| 44 Beaumont Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,411 (0%) | 0mo | $229,900 | $163 | 97 |
| 74 Beaumont Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,411 (0%) | 2mo | $229,900 | $163 | 96 |
| 90 Beaumont Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,411 (0%) | 2mo | $229,900 | $163 | 96 |
| 110 Heirloom Rd | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 1,411 (0%) | 3mo | $229,900 | $163 | 96 |
| 80 Beaumont Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,411 (0%) | 3mo | $232,900 | $165 | 95 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-32,923
- Equity at exit
- $34,279
- IRR
- -1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-6,935
- Equity at exit
- $19,878
Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31313
- Home prices YoY
- -27.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 639
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,117 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$287 /mo · $3,448/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$100
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$445
- Net cashflow
- $-16
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $143 | -5% $63 | +0% $-16 | +5% $-95 | +10% $-175 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-183 | -5% $-100 | +0% $-16 | +5% $68 | +10% $151 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $100 | -0.5pp $42 | base $-16 | +0.5pp $-76 | +1.0pp $-136 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,475
- Closing costs
- $6,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96 Beaumont Dr Unit 1 Hinesville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,975 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 193 Heirloom Rd Hinesville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $2,300 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 78 Centennial Ct Hinesville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1462 | $2,100 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 100 Centennial Ct Hinesville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1703 | $2,150 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 158 Hamlet Ct Hinesville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1458 | $2,250 | $1.54 | 45d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 707 Thornwood Way Hinesville, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 130 Hazy Ln Hinesville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1518 | $2,100 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $100 · $1,200/yr
- Likely covers
- landscaping
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-03-06$229,900 Active 886-char remark
Show marketing remark (886 chars)
Move-in ready townhome! Located on the edge of Hinesville, the Heritage Pointe Townhomes are close to new restaurants & up-and-coming shopping! Quick commute to Ft. Stewart, Hwy 17 & I-95! 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome with granite counters throughout! Open living space on the first floor with access to the 1-car garage, half-bath & backyard. The kitchen features ample cabinetry with a spacious pantry & brand new stainless appliances! From the island, look out to the dining area & family room. Enjoy a sodded backyard with irrigation & privacy fence! Upstairs find two bedrooms, hall bath, laundry room & the primary suite. Within the primary suite is a walk-in closet & private bath. The private bath includes a dual vanity, shower/tub combo & another walk-in closet! HOA maintained landscaping & annual pressure washing!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,409
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,878
- − Property taxes
- −$3,448
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,033
- − Management
- −$2,033
- − HOA
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$6,688
- Taxable loss
- −$4,020
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$965
- After-tax cash flow
- $773/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in ready townhome is in excellent condition with new appliances and granite countertops. It offers a good ROI with updates that can further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood in stairwell — Hardwood is more durable and aesthetically pleasing
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and adds modern appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood in stairwell — Hardwood is more durable and aesthetically pleasing ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and adds modern appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Liberty County
- NCES district ID
- 1303300
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,911
- Composite
- 20.2/100
- National rank
- #8630
- State rank
- #133 of 174 in GA
Livability — Hinesville
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #5200
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hinesville, GA
- County
- Liberty County · 58,565 people
- City population
- 42,838
- Metro
- Hinesville, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,838
- Household income
- $60,233
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1693.0
Population outlook (Liberty County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 58,689 people
- By 2030
- 57,670 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 55,750 · -5.0%
- By 2050
- 54,155 · -7.7%
- By 2075
- 58,947 · +0.4%
- By 2100
- 66,919 · +14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 47% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Liberty
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.4) · D 58.5% · R 41.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.9pp toward R · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 17.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.4 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+21.2 2012: D+30.2 2008: D+28.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -77.50%
- Current HPI
- 208.0927
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.41%
- Metro
- Hinesville, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Listed $229,900 Hive MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…