3004 E Fort Sumter Ln · Mead, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 17 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.0/30.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious, immaculate 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in beautiful Shenandoah Forest! The updated kitchen features newer cabinetry, island, skylight, & eating space. Master suite boasts a full bath w/ double sinks, garden tub & over-sized closet. The open design offers plenty of living space, informal dining area with hutch, & newer laminate flooring. Secluded yard w/ mature landscaping, sprinkler system, 2 storage sheds, & carport. Enjoy the clubhouse, putting green, & green spaces! Fidelity Home Warranty included!
Key facts
- Double sinks
- Spacious kitchen
- Cozy eating nook
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 1721 (building area source: see remarks)
- HOA & community: Association fee $660 monthly
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; Off-site parking available; 2-car carport
- Utilities: Water, sewer, and power: not specified
- Home design: Manufactured home (manufactured house); Single-story / manufactured design; Entry level: main (see remarks for building area source); Facing direction: not specified
- Construction: Siding exterior; Composition roof; Block foundation; Skirted
- Exterior features: Deck; Fenced yard; Automatic sprinkler system; Private and paved road frontage; Other structures: see remarks
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Hot water; Skylight(s); Utility room
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $174k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-73 ($-878/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (6.1% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $174k).
- Recommended offer: $163k (6.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.3% in Mead — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#388 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, schools B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Mead School District (suburban): math 63% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #23 of 291 in WA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,608 units permitted in Spokane County in 2024 (1,792 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Spokane County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $112k; list at $174k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.80%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $147,795
- List price
- $174,000
- Delta
- 17.73%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14826 N Mcclean Ln | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (-2%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $125 | 88 |
| 14828 N Shenandoah Ln | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,736 (+1%) | 0mo | $145,000 | $84 | 87 |
| 3126 E Vicksburg Ln | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,736 (+1%) | 8mo | $100,000 | $58 | 86 |
| 2928 E Fort Sumter Ln | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (-2%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $101 | 83 |
| 14820 N Chesapeake Ln | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,596 (-7%) | 1mo | $166,800 | $105 | 79 |
| 14808 N Chesapeake Ln | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (-2%) | 13mo | $175,000 | $104 | 76 |
| 14620 N Bear Creek Ln | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (-6%) | 12mo | $187,500 | $116 | 70 |
| 15026 N Chesapeake Ln | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-9%) | 14mo | $185,000 | $118 | 69 |
| 3110 E Vicksburg Ln | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,528 (-11%) | 10mo | $114,000 | $75 | 68 |
| 15001 N Richmond Ln | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,960 (+14%) | 14mo | $214,950 | $110 | 64 |
| 14904 N Chesapeake Ln | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,568 (-9%) | 13mo | $160,000 | $102 | 63 |
| 14908 N South Savannah Ct | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,960 (+14%) | 14mo | $179,900 | $92 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-32,414
- Equity at exit
- $25,944
- IRR
- -10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-32,436
- Equity at exit
- $15,044
Cash invested: $48,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99021
- Home prices YoY
- -18.1%
- Active inventory
- 91
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,265 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$912
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$218 /mo · $2,610/yr
- Insurance
- −$72
- HOA
- −$660
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$476
- Net cashflow
- $-73
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,500
- Closing costs
- $5,220
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2228 E Winger Rd Spokane, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,150 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1019 E Brooklawn Dr Spokane, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $2,400 | $1.62 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $660 · $7,920/yr
- Likely covers
- landscaping
Listing history 32 events
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2026-06-18days on market $174,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $174,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $174,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-16price $174,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $179,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $179,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $179,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $179,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $179,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $179,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-05-15$179,000 Active 669-char remark
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2020-08-27status Pending 537-char remark
Show marketing remark (537 chars)
Spacious, immaculate 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in beautiful Shenandoah Forest! The updated kitchen features newer cabinetry, island, skylight, & eating space. Master suite boasts a full bath w/ double sinks, garden tub & over-sized closet. The open design offers plenty of living space, informal dining area with hutch, & newer laminate flooring. Secluded yard w/ mature landscaping, sprinkler system, 2 storage sheds, & carport. Enjoy the clubhouse, putting green, & green spaces! Fidelity Home Warranty included!
-
2020-08-12soldstatus $112,000 Sold 537-char remark
Show marketing remark (537 chars)
Spacious, immaculate 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in beautiful Shenandoah Forest! The updated kitchen features newer cabinetry, island, skylight, & eating space. Master suite boasts a full bath w/ double sinks, garden tub & over-sized closet. The open design offers plenty of living space, informal dining area with hutch, & newer laminate flooring. Secluded yard w/ mature landscaping, sprinkler system, 2 storage sheds, & carport. Enjoy the clubhouse, putting green, & green spaces! Fidelity Home Warranty included!
-
2020-07-05status Pending on Inspection 537-char remark
Show marketing remark (537 chars)
Spacious, immaculate 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in beautiful Shenandoah Forest! The updated kitchen features newer cabinetry, island, skylight, & eating space. Master suite boasts a full bath w/ double sinks, garden tub & over-sized closet. The open design offers plenty of living space, informal dining area with hutch, & newer laminate flooring. Secluded yard w/ mature landscaping, sprinkler system, 2 storage sheds, & carport. Enjoy the clubhouse, putting green, & green spaces! Fidelity Home Warranty included!
-
2020-06-20price $110,000 537-char remark
Show marketing remark (537 chars)
Spacious, immaculate 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in beautiful Shenandoah Forest! The updated kitchen features newer cabinetry, island, skylight, & eating space. Master suite boasts a full bath w/ double sinks, garden tub & over-sized closet. The open design offers plenty of living space, informal dining area with hutch, & newer laminate flooring. Secluded yard w/ mature landscaping, sprinkler system, 2 storage sheds, & carport. Enjoy the clubhouse, putting green, & green spaces! Fidelity Home Warranty included!
-
2020-06-04status Back On Market 537-char remark
Show marketing remark (537 chars)
Spacious, immaculate 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in beautiful Shenandoah Forest! The updated kitchen features newer cabinetry, island, skylight, & eating space. Master suite boasts a full bath w/ double sinks, garden tub & over-sized closet. The open design offers plenty of living space, informal dining area with hutch, & newer laminate flooring. Secluded yard w/ mature landscaping, sprinkler system, 2 storage sheds, & carport. Enjoy the clubhouse, putting green, & green spaces! Fidelity Home Warranty included!
-
2020-05-27status Pending on Inspection 537-char remark
Show marketing remark (537 chars)
Spacious, immaculate 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in beautiful Shenandoah Forest! The updated kitchen features newer cabinetry, island, skylight, & eating space. Master suite boasts a full bath w/ double sinks, garden tub & over-sized closet. The open design offers plenty of living space, informal dining area with hutch, & newer laminate flooring. Secluded yard w/ mature landscaping, sprinkler system, 2 storage sheds, & carport. Enjoy the clubhouse, putting green, & green spaces! Fidelity Home Warranty included!
-
2020-05-22$115,000 New 537-char remark
Show marketing remark (537 chars)
Spacious, immaculate 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in beautiful Shenandoah Forest! The updated kitchen features newer cabinetry, island, skylight, & eating space. Master suite boasts a full bath w/ double sinks, garden tub & over-sized closet. The open design offers plenty of living space, informal dining area with hutch, & newer laminate flooring. Secluded yard w/ mature landscaping, sprinkler system, 2 storage sheds, & carport. Enjoy the clubhouse, putting green, & green spaces! Fidelity Home Warranty included!
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2019-06-11historical
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2019-06-04historical Pending on Inspection
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2019-05-30$85,000 New
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2016-06-06soldstatus $54,900
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2016-04-28historical
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2016-03-29$54,900
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2001-08-20soldstatus $52,000
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2001-04-02$54,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 17 unhealthy d/yr today · 20 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,180
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,747
- − Property taxes
- −$2,610
- − Insurance
- −$870
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,174
- − Management
- −$2,174
- − HOA
- −$7,920
- − Depreciation
- −$5,062
- Taxable loss
- −$3,377
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$811
- After-tax cash flow
- $-67/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and value. Key areas for improvement include the kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanity, exterior siding, and hardwood floors. Fresh paint and landscaping will significantly enhance its curb appeal and overall value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
- Moderate Bathroom vanity — Painted walls need fresh paint
- Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered appearance
- Moderate Hardwood floors — Signs of wear
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint kitchen cabinets — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Resale Replace bathroom vanity — Fresh paint and updated vanity improve aesthetics
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Resale Refinish hardwood floors — Fresh finish improves aesthetics and value
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Bathroom vanity · Painted walls need fresh paint | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Exterior siding · Weathered appearance | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Hardwood floors · Signs of wear | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $12,000–60,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint kitchen cabinets — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale Replace bathroom vanity — Fresh paint and updated vanity improve aesthetics ↑
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale Refinish hardwood floors — Fresh finish improves aesthetics and value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mead School District
- NCES district ID
- 5304920
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,176
- Composite
- 59.93/100
- National rank
- #1811
- State rank
- #23 of 291 in WA
Livability — Mead
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #388
- US rank
- #15310
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mead, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,226
Population outlook (Spokane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 531,314 people
- By 2030
- 549,278 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 577,822 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 598,188 · +12.6%
- By 2075
- 630,744 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 622,360 · +17.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Portuguese 5% Scottish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Spokane
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.0% · R 51.0% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.1pp · 2024: -5.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.0 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+8.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+1.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.33%
- Current HPI
- 354.3985
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+216.9% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $174,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-15 Listed $179,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-08-27 Pending — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-08-12 Sold (MLS) $112,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-05 Pending — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-06-20 Price Changed $110,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-06-04 Relisted — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-05-27 Pending — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-05-22 Listed $115,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-06-11 Listing Removed — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-06-04 Contingent — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-30 Listed $85,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-06 Sold (MLS) $54,900 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-28 Listing Removed — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-29 Listed $54,900 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-08-20 Sold (MLS) $52,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-04-02 Listed $54,900 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…