456 NW J St · Richmond, IN 47374

$69,500

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,048 sqft · SingleFamily public records

Built 1880 5,663 sqft lot Est $87k · 20% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.2/10.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

two parcels of property will be conveyed as one as part of this purchase. first: Tax ID 029-02996-01 State Parcel ID 89-16-32-110-406.000-030 second: Tax ID 029-15604-00 State Parcel ID 89-16-32-110-405.000-030

Key facts

• 5,663 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1880

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $333 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($984 rent vs $70k).
• Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 5.2% in Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#10 in IN, #869 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D-, employment D-.
• Richmond Community Schools (town): math 18% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in IN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 273 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 38 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $481 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Wayne County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $69,500

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.42% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.04%
• Cash-on-cash: 20.52%
• DSCR: 1.91
• GRM: 5.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $86,984
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
306 NW J St	0.16mi	2/1.0	1,108 (+6%)	5mo	$25,000	$23	79
403 NW J St	0.10mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,112 (+6%)	8mo	$116,000	$104	73
106 NW G St	0.39mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,056 (+1%)	6mo	$70,000	$66	70
9 NW J St	0.56mi	2/1.0	984 (-6%)	3mo	$81,500	$83	61
214 NW 6th St	0.65mi	2/1.0	1,014 (-3%)	7mo	$103,000	$102	59
31 NW J St	0.53mi	2/1.0	952 (-9%)	2mo	$78,000	$82	58
948 Sheridan St	0.47mi	2/1.0	946 (-10%)	5mo	$90,000	$95	58
124 NW I St	0.31mi	2/1.5	1,178 (+12%)	7mo	$83,750	$71	57
1142 Sheridan St	0.48mi	3/1.0 (+1)	960 (-8%)	2mo	$85,000	$89	57
4 Court Rd	0.21mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,200 (+14%)	1mo	$40,500	$34	56
413 NW E St	0.39mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,167 (+11%)	6mo	$95,000	$81	53
1017 Butler St	0.57mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,144 (+9%)	3mo	$100,000	$87	47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 12.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.51×
• Total profit: $9,926
• Equity at exit: $10,363

10-year hold

• IRR: 21.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.85×
• Total profit: $35,907
• Equity at exit: $6,009

Cash invested: $19,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Indiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 47374

• Active inventory: 273
• Price-to-rent: 5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $984 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$364
• Tax from tax record: −$51 /mo · $612/yr
• Insurance: −$29
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$207
• Net cashflow: $333

Break-even live

Break-even rent $563

Max offer price $69,500

Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,375
• Closing costs: $2,085
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
401 N 10th St Richmond, IN	1.0–2.0	1.0	817	$895	$1.09	44d	3	1.10mi

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $612 · $51/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $612 · $51/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $11,806
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,893
• − Property taxes: −$612
• − Insurance: −$348
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$944
• − Management: −$944
• − Depreciation: −$2,022
• Taxable income: $3,042
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$730
• After-tax cash flow: $3,263/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Richmond Community Schools
• NCES district ID: 1809510
• Math proficiency: 18% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 27% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $35,288
• Composite: 18.55/100
• National rank: #8913
• State rank: #270 of 301 in IN

Livability — Richmond

• Score: 83/100
• State rank: #10
• US rank: #869

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Richmond, IN
• County: Wayne County · 44,615 people
• City population: 44,615
• Metro: Richmond, IN
• Population (ZIP): 44,615
• Household income: $50,766
• Rent vs Own: 36.0% rent · 64.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 1600.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 63,316 people
• By 2030: 60,893 · -3.8%
• By 2040: 55,386 · -12.5%
• By 2050: 49,946 · -21.1%
• By 2075: 37,900 · -40.1%
• By 2100: 26,562 · -58.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (82%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 82% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+32.5) · D 32.9% · R 65.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -28.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.9pp · 2024: -32.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+32.5 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+30.1 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+3.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -118.64%
• Current HPI: 182.5038
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Richmond, IN
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.90%
• F500 in state: 18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$37B
▸Healthcare	1	$177B
▸Pharmaceuticals	1	$45B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$18B
▸Agriculture	1	$17B
▸Packaging	1	$12B

Property tax history

-4.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $612 · +13.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.