🏗️ New Construction
660 Leslie St #26 · Ukiah, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 20 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$192,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Just installed in December of 2025, this new Coronado Model is bright, open and ready for you. With a great room floor plan, high ceilings, stainless appliances, a massive island and sunny breakfast nook in the kitchen, this truly feels like a home. Wood look vinyl and neutral flooring create an easy flow in the living/great room and a laundry room off the carport with storage space is a natural dropping place for life's detritus. With three well sized bedrooms and two baths, the floor plan provides natural separation of the master which includes dual closets and a dual vanity and separate water closet in the private ensuite. Rancho del Rey Mobile Estates is located on Leslie conveniently b
Key facts
- Massive island
- Sunny breakfast nook
- Dual vanity
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Rancho del Rey Mobile Estates
- Financial info: Land lease applies; current land lease amount $1,025
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking; 2 parking spaces; Guest parking available
- Utilities: Individual electric meter; Individual gas meter; Natural gas connected; Public sewer; 220 volts in kitchen; 220 volts in laundry
- Home design: Manufactured in park (double wide); New construction
- Construction: Manufactured home by Cavco Manufacturing, LLC (make: Coronado); Vinyl skirting
- Exterior features: Located in a mobile home park; East-facing
Interior
- Kitchen: Free standing gas oven; Free standing refrigerator; Microwave; Plumbed for ice maker; Laminate countertops
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms with double sinks
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Great room; Breakfast nook and dining bar; Breakfast area with laminate counters; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry area with hookups only; Gas hookup for laundry; Gas water heater; Insulated water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $193k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $193k).
- Recommended offer: $187k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.1% vs local median 3.0% in Ukiah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#425 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime D-.
- Ukiah Unified (town): math 24% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #1,018 of 1,400 in CA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 8 units permitted in Mendocino County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $563 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mendocino County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 74.31%
- DSCR
- 4.31
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $81,445
- List price
- $192,900
- Delta
- 136.85%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 660 Leslie St #25 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (-2%) | 8mo | $169,000 | $128 | 87 |
| 660 Leslie St #80 | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,300 (-3%) | 2mo | $117,500 | $90 | 86 |
| 660 Leslie St #68 | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $56 | 80 |
| 660 Leslie St #11 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $90 | 80 |
| 700 E Gobbi St #53 | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 6mo | $15,000 | $11 | 74 |
| 460 E Gobbi St #3 | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 0mo | $79,500 | $55 | 73 |
| 460 E Gobbi St #28 | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,416 (+5%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $49 | 73 |
| 460 E Gobbi St #27 | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 16mo | $75,000 | $52 | 60 |
| 700 E Gobbi St #55 | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 14mo | $107,000 | $74 | 56 |
| 660 Leslie St #56 | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,150 (-14%) | 14mo | $94,000 | $82 | 51 |
| 460 E Gobbi St #5 | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,150 (-14%) | 15mo | $96,500 | $84 | 48 |
| 700 E Gobbi St #61 | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 19mo | $60,000 | $42 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 77.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.72×
- Total profit
- $84,742
- Equity at exit
- $12,144
- IRR
- 82.0%
- Equity multiple
- 10.85×
- Total profit
- $224,549
- Equity at exit
- $7,042
Cash invested: $22,805 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95482
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$427
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$102 /mo · $1,222/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $1,412
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,361
- Closing costs
- $2,443
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 El Rio St Unit D Ukiah, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $2,195 | $2.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 570 Pomo Dr Ukiah, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $2,650 | $2.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 175 Laws Ave Ukiah, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 887 | $1,795 | $2.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $192,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $192,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $192,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $192,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $192,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $192,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $192,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $192,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $192,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $192,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $192,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $192,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $192,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $192,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $192,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $192,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-15$192,900 Active 598-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 20 unhealthy d/yr today · 22 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,222
- − Insurance
- −$407
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,400
- − Management
- −$2,400
- − Depreciation
- −$2,369
- Taxable income
- $16,640
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,994
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,953/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos
This well-maintained mobile home is ready for immediate occupancy and offers a good return on investment with minor updates that can significantly increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Replacing carpet with hardwood flooring in the bedrooms — Hardwood flooring is more durable and can increase the home's value.
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
- Both Adding a smart home system — Smart home features can increase the home's value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers and renters.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Replacing carpet with hardwood flooring in the bedrooms — Hardwood flooring is more durable and can increase the home's value. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Adding a smart home system — Smart home features can increase the home's value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ukiah Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0640300
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,865
- Composite
- 29.21/100
- National rank
- #11858
- State rank
- #1018 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Ukiah
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #425
- US rank
- #14442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ukiah, CA
- County
- Mendocino County · 33,164 people
- City population
- 33,164
- Metro
- Ukiah, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,164
- Household income
- $69,772
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1349.0
Population outlook (Mendocino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 84,643 people
- By 2030
- 82,138 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 76,402 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 71,759 · -15.2%
- By 2075
- 61,454 · -27.4%
- By 2100
- 50,130 · -40.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 18% Asian 3% Native American 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 25% Chinese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mendocino
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.8) · D 61.3% · R 34.5% · Other 4.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 42.8pp · 2024: 26.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.8 2020: D+35.8 2016: D+29.1 2012: D+37.6 2008: D+42.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -485.34%
- Current HPI
- 164.6978
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.07%
- Metro
- Ukiah, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $192,900 BAREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…