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509 Appletree St
B- Composite 66.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.5/15.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

509 Appletree St · Scottsboro, AL 35768
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,240 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 212 Days on market
Built 1948 $109/sqft · 14% below area Est $156k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 2 bedroom 2 bath bungalow located close to downtown. As per seller most of the windows are replaced, new wiring and sheetrock, mostly new plumbing.

Key facts

  • New wiring
  • New sheetrock
  • Mostly new plumbing

Tags

NEW WIRINGNEW SHEETROCKMOSTLY NEW PLUMBING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.3% in Scottsboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#21 in AL, #4,752 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities D-.
  • Scottsboro City (town): math 27% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #27 of 129 in AL (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 46 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 212 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 212 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
9.35%
Cash-on-cash
10.91%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$155,805
List price
$135,000
Delta
-13.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
524 Thomas St 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,232 (-1%) 14mo $187,000 $152 78
604 South St 0.19mi 2/2.0 1,285 (+4%) 19mo $234,000 $182 70
605 Cedar Hill Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,309 (+6%) 7mo $135,000 $103 68
106 Magnolia Ln 0.31mi 2/1.0 1,320 (+6%) 6mo $150,000 $114 66
314 Beverly St 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,247 (+1%) 1mo $185,800 $149 62
208 Scott St 0.55mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,230 (-1%) 7mo $70,000 $57 58
322 Sharon St 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,260 (+2%) 7mo $187,000 $148 52
303 Hodges St 0.32mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,317 (+6%) 21mo $199,900 $152 50
806 South Houston 0.55mi 2/1.0 1,388 (+12%) 3mo $189,000 $136 48
219 Chestnut St 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (-15%) 8mo $165,000 $156 46
602 S Scott St 0.68mi 2/2.0 1,338 (+8%) 16mo $165,000 $123 42
704 Recreation Ln 0.39mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,140 (-8%) 21mo $159,900 $140 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.0%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$-44
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
9.6%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$27,916
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35768

Home prices YoY
-16.1%
Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,454 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$41 /mo · $490/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$305
Net cashflow
$344

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,019
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
208 Meadow St Unit B Scottsboro, AL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 14d 1 0.65mi
314 Beverly St Scottsboro, AL 3.0 2.0 1247 $1,550 $1.24 14d 1 0.67mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $135,000 Active 212 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 211 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 210 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 209 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 208 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,000 Active 206 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $135,000 Active 205 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 202 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 201 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 200 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 199 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $135,000 Active 196 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 195 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 194 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 193 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 192 DOM
  17. 2025-11-19
    listed $135,000 Active 156-char remark
    Show marketing remark (156 chars)

    Charming 2 bedroom 2 bath bungalow located close to downtown. As per seller most of the windows are replaced, new wiring and sheetrock, mostly new plumbing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$490 · $41/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$554 · $46/mo
Expected delta
+$64/yr (+$5/mo · 13.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,448
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$490
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,396
− Management
−$1,396
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$2,003
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$481
After-tax cash flow
$3,643/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scottsboro City
NCES district ID
0102940
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$38,210
Composite
33.67/100
National rank
#5388
State rank
#27 of 129 in AL

Livability — Scottsboro

Score
74/100
State rank
#21
US rank
#4752

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D+ Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Scottsboro, AL
Population (ZIP)
12,394

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
50,261 people
By 2030
48,655 · -3.2%
By 2040
45,119 · -10.2%
By 2050
41,518 · -17.4%
By 2075
33,507 · -33.3%
By 2100
26,385 · -47.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.4) · D 13.9% · R 85.4%
2008→2024 swing
-34.5pp toward R · 2008: -36.9pp · 2024: -71.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.4 2020: R+67.5 2016: R+62.5 2012: R+41.9 2008: R+36.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.15%
Current HPI
193.1223
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-11-19 Listed $135,000 VMLS

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $490 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…