16104 Kedzie Ave · Markham, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
*DON'T LET THIS ONE FOOL YOU!*THIS HOME IS SPACIOUS!*MOVE RIGHT INTO THIS CONVENIENTLY LOCATED HOME IN TIME FOR THE NEW YEAR!* COMPLETLY UPDATED 4 POSSIBLY 5 BEDROOM, 2 FULL BATH HOME ON A SPACIOUS LOT! HARDWOOD FLOORS*CEILING FANS*UPDATED KITCHEN*FRESHLY PAINTED*NEW CARPET* AND THE LIST CONTINUES*AFFORDABLY PRICED*TAKE A LOOK BEFORE ITS GONE!*PRE-APPROVED BUYERS CALL YOUR REALTOR!*WALKING DISTANCE TO PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION*VILLAGE SERVICES*TOLL ROAD*THE NEW AMAZON FULFILLMENT CENTER*AND SHOPPING!*
Key facts
- Updated kitchen
- Hardwood floors
- Local shopping
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces; Concrete off-street parking with side apron (owned)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978 (rebuilt/rehab work done)
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 75 x 105; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Eating area / table space
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (master and one bedroom on second floor; two bedrooms on main level)
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living room and two main-level bedrooms; Carpet in master bedroom and second-floor bedroom; Wood laminate in kitchen and family room
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; Rehab completed in 2021
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry with gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.0% vs local median 10.1% in Markham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#186 in IL, #3,539 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities D, employment D.
- Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($656 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 283 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 283 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 59.57%
- DSCR
- 3.65
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $147,980
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16155 Kedzie Pkwy | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,048 (+7%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $205 | 74 |
| 3102 Wilshire Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,029 (+5%) | 6mo | $162,000 | $157 | 70 |
| 3027 Wilshire Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,025 (+5%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $151 | 69 |
| 2926 Sussex Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,048 (+7%) | 2mo | $129,900 | $124 | 62 |
| 2956 Sherwood Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,048 (+7%) | 5mo | $149,900 | $143 | 61 |
| 16213 Saint Louis Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,060 (+8%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $52 | 58 |
| 16202 Saint Louis Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,060 (+8%) | 2mo | $129,900 | $123 | 58 |
| 16358 Plymouth Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 993 (+1%) | 2mo | $138,999 | $140 | 56 |
| 16309 Plymouth Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,051 (+7%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $162 | 47 |
| 2756 Lancaster Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,051 (+7%) | 7mo | $180,000 | $171 | 45 |
| 16047 Cambridge Ct | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,066 (+9%) | 5mo | $196,800 | $185 | 44 |
| 16165 Oxford Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,061 (+8%) | 3mo | $154,900 | $146 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 71.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.11×
- Total profit
- $135,741
- Equity at exit
- $85,493
- IRR
- 65.7%
- Equity multiple
- 13.56×
- Total profit
- $333,739
- Equity at exit
- $184,370
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60426
- Home prices YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,424/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $1,319
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,385 | -5% $1,352 | +0% $1,319 | +5% $1,286 | +10% $1,254 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,122 | -5% $1,220 | +0% $1,319 | +5% $1,418 | +10% $1,517 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,367 | -0.5pp $1,343 | base $1,319 | +0.5pp $1,295 | +1.0pp $1,270 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16752 Artesian Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $2,500 | $2.88 | 0d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,900 Active 283 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $94,900 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,900 Active 281 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $94,900 Active 278 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $94,900 Active 277 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $94,900 Active 276 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $94,900 Active 275 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active 274 DOM
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2026-02-19price $94,900
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2026-02-19price $90,000
-
2026-01-13price $99,999
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2026-01-06price $95,000
-
2026-01-03status Active
-
2025-08-21status Pending
-
2025-08-09price $99,999
-
2025-07-11price $105,000
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2025-05-23price $109,900
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2025-04-16$115,000 Active
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2022-05-11soldstatus $170,000
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2022-05-06soldstatus $169,900 Closed 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
*DON'T LET THIS ONE FOOL YOU!*THIS HOME IS SPACIOUS!*MOVE RIGHT INTO THIS CONVENIENTLY LOCATED HOME IN TIME FOR THE NEW YEAR!* COMPLETLY UPDATED 4 POSSIBLY 5 BEDROOM, 2 FULL BATH HOME ON A SPACIOUS LOT! HARDWOOD FLOORS*CEILING FANS*UPDATED KITCHEN*FRESHLY PAINTED*NEW CARPET* AND THE LIST CONTINUES*AFFORDABLY PRICED*TAKE A LOOK BEFORE ITS GONE!*PRE-APPROVED BUYERS CALL YOUR REALTOR!*WALKING DISTANCE TO PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION*VILLAGE SERVICES*TOLL ROAD*THE NEW AMAZON FULFILLMENT CENTER*AND SHOPPING!*
-
2022-04-11historical Contingent - No Showings 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
*DON'T LET THIS ONE FOOL YOU!*THIS HOME IS SPACIOUS!*MOVE RIGHT INTO THIS CONVENIENTLY LOCATED HOME IN TIME FOR THE NEW YEAR!* COMPLETLY UPDATED 4 POSSIBLY 5 BEDROOM, 2 FULL BATH HOME ON A SPACIOUS LOT! HARDWOOD FLOORS*CEILING FANS*UPDATED KITCHEN*FRESHLY PAINTED*NEW CARPET* AND THE LIST CONTINUES*AFFORDABLY PRICED*TAKE A LOOK BEFORE ITS GONE!*PRE-APPROVED BUYERS CALL YOUR REALTOR!*WALKING DISTANCE TO PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION*VILLAGE SERVICES*TOLL ROAD*THE NEW AMAZON FULFILLMENT CENTER*AND SHOPPING!*
-
2022-03-03$169,900 Active 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
*DON'T LET THIS ONE FOOL YOU!*THIS HOME IS SPACIOUS!*MOVE RIGHT INTO THIS CONVENIENTLY LOCATED HOME IN TIME FOR THE NEW YEAR!* COMPLETLY UPDATED 4 POSSIBLY 5 BEDROOM, 2 FULL BATH HOME ON A SPACIOUS LOT! HARDWOOD FLOORS*CEILING FANS*UPDATED KITCHEN*FRESHLY PAINTED*NEW CARPET* AND THE LIST CONTINUES*AFFORDABLY PRICED*TAKE A LOOK BEFORE ITS GONE!*PRE-APPROVED BUYERS CALL YOUR REALTOR!*WALKING DISTANCE TO PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION*VILLAGE SERVICES*TOLL ROAD*THE NEW AMAZON FULFILLMENT CENTER*AND SHOPPING!*
-
2022-02-15historical Contingent - No Showings
-
2022-01-14status Active Under Contract (Do Not Show)
-
2022-01-14historical
-
2021-12-14Active
-
2008-10-02historical
-
2008-08-20price
-
2008-07-31price
-
2008-07-11
-
2008-03-24soldstatus $48,000
-
2008-03-13historical
-
2007-11-05$56,900
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2005-02-09soldstatus $110,000
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2004-09-29soldstatus $54,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$1,424
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,400
- − Management
- −$2,400
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $15,225
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,654
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,176/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bremen Chsd 228
- NCES district ID
- 1707050
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,625
- Composite
- 15.32/100
- National rank
- #9327
- State rank
- #468 of 620 in IL
Livability — Markham
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #186
- US rank
- #3539
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Markham, IL
- City population
- 10,980
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,066
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% White 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.36%
- Current HPI
- 313.7895
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+75.7% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $94,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $90,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $99,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $95,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-03 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-21 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-09 Price Changed $99,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-11 Price Changed $105,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-23 Price Changed $109,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-16 Listed $115,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-06 Sold (MLS) $169,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-11 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-03 Listed $169,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-15 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-14 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-14 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-14 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-10-02 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-08-20 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-07-31 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-07-11 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-03-24 Sold (MLS) $48,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-03-13 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-11-05 Listed $56,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2004-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2023): $8,615 · +110.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…