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16104 Kedzie Ave
A Composite 85.33
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$94,900

16104 Kedzie Ave · Markham, IL 60426
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 283 Days on market
Built 1937 8,489 sqft lot Est $148k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

*DON'T LET THIS ONE FOOL YOU!*THIS HOME IS SPACIOUS!*MOVE RIGHT INTO THIS CONVENIENTLY LOCATED HOME IN TIME FOR THE NEW YEAR!* COMPLETLY UPDATED 4 POSSIBLY 5 BEDROOM, 2 FULL BATH HOME ON A SPACIOUS LOT! HARDWOOD FLOORS*CEILING FANS*UPDATED KITCHEN*FRESHLY PAINTED*NEW CARPET* AND THE LIST CONTINUES*AFFORDABLY PRICED*TAKE A LOOK BEFORE ITS GONE!*PRE-APPROVED BUYERS CALL YOUR REALTOR!*WALKING DISTANCE TO PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION*VILLAGE SERVICES*TOLL ROAD*THE NEW AMAZON FULFILLMENT CENTER*AND SHOPPING!*

Key facts

  • Updated kitchen
  • Hardwood floors
  • Local shopping

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSUPDATED KITCHENLOCAL SHOPPING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces; Concrete off-street parking with side apron (owned)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978 (rebuilt/rehab work done)
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 75 x 105; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eating area / table space
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (master and one bedroom on second floor; two bedrooms on main level)
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living room and two main-level bedrooms; Carpet in master bedroom and second-floor bedroom; Wood laminate in kitchen and family room
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; Rehab completed in 2021
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry with gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.0% vs local median 10.1% in Markham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#186 in IL, #3,539 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities D, employment D.
  • Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($656 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 283 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $83,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 283 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.63%
Cap rate
22.97%
Cash-on-cash
59.57%
DSCR
3.65
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$147,980
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16155 Kedzie Pkwy 0.10mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,048 (+7%) 1mo $215,000 $205 74
3102 Wilshire Ave 0.17mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,029 (+5%) 6mo $162,000 $157 70
3027 Wilshire Ave 0.25mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,025 (+5%) 3mo $155,000 $151 69
2926 Sussex Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,048 (+7%) 2mo $129,900 $124 62
2956 Sherwood Ave 0.31mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,048 (+7%) 5mo $149,900 $143 61
16213 Saint Louis Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,060 (+8%) 2mo $55,000 $52 58
16202 Saint Louis Ave 0.39mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,060 (+8%) 2mo $129,900 $123 58
16358 Plymouth Dr 0.66mi 3/1.0 (-1) 993 (+1%) 2mo $138,999 $140 56
16309 Plymouth Dr 0.65mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,051 (+7%) 2mo $170,000 $162 47
2756 Lancaster Dr 0.61mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,051 (+7%) 7mo $180,000 $171 45
16047 Cambridge Ct 0.62mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,066 (+9%) 5mo $196,800 $185 44
16165 Oxford Dr 0.68mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,061 (+8%) 3mo $154,900 $146 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
71.8%
Equity multiple
6.11×
Total profit
$135,741
Equity at exit
$85,493
10-year hold
IRR
65.7%
Equity multiple
13.56×
Total profit
$333,739
Equity at exit
$184,370

Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60426

Home prices YoY
6.9%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax est. 1.5%
$119 /mo · $1,424/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$525
Net cashflow
$1,319

Break-even live

Break-even rent $830
Max offer price $94,900
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,385 -5% $1,352 +0% $1,319 +5% $1,286 +10% $1,254
Rent -10% $1,122 -5% $1,220 +0% $1,319 +5% $1,418 +10% $1,517
Rate -1.0pp $1,367 -0.5pp $1,343 base $1,319 +0.5pp $1,295 +1.0pp $1,270

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,725
Closing costs
$2,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16752 Artesian Ave Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.0 867 $2,500 $2.88 0d 1 1.26mi

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,900 Active 283 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,900 Active 282 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,900 Active 281 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    days on market $94,900 Active 278 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,900 Active 277 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,900 Active 276 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,900 Active 275 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,900 Active 274 DOM
  9. 2026-02-19
    price $94,900
  10. 2026-02-19
    price $90,000
  11. 2026-01-13
    price $99,999
  12. 2026-01-06
    price $95,000
  13. 2026-01-03
    status Active
  14. 2025-08-21
    status Pending
  15. 2025-08-09
    price $99,999
  16. 2025-07-11
    price $105,000
  17. 2025-05-23
    price $109,900
  18. 2025-04-16
    listed $115,000 Active
  19. 2022-05-11
    soldstatus $170,000
  20. 2022-05-06
    soldstatus $169,900 Closed 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    *DON'T LET THIS ONE FOOL YOU!*THIS HOME IS SPACIOUS!*MOVE RIGHT INTO THIS CONVENIENTLY LOCATED HOME IN TIME FOR THE NEW YEAR!* COMPLETLY UPDATED 4 POSSIBLY 5 BEDROOM, 2 FULL BATH HOME ON A SPACIOUS LOT! HARDWOOD FLOORS*CEILING FANS*UPDATED KITCHEN*FRESHLY PAINTED*NEW CARPET* AND THE LIST CONTINUES*AFFORDABLY PRICED*TAKE A LOOK BEFORE ITS GONE!*PRE-APPROVED BUYERS CALL YOUR REALTOR!*WALKING DISTANCE TO PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION*VILLAGE SERVICES*TOLL ROAD*THE NEW AMAZON FULFILLMENT CENTER*AND SHOPPING!*

  21. 2022-04-11
    historical Contingent - No Showings 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    *DON'T LET THIS ONE FOOL YOU!*THIS HOME IS SPACIOUS!*MOVE RIGHT INTO THIS CONVENIENTLY LOCATED HOME IN TIME FOR THE NEW YEAR!* COMPLETLY UPDATED 4 POSSIBLY 5 BEDROOM, 2 FULL BATH HOME ON A SPACIOUS LOT! HARDWOOD FLOORS*CEILING FANS*UPDATED KITCHEN*FRESHLY PAINTED*NEW CARPET* AND THE LIST CONTINUES*AFFORDABLY PRICED*TAKE A LOOK BEFORE ITS GONE!*PRE-APPROVED BUYERS CALL YOUR REALTOR!*WALKING DISTANCE TO PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION*VILLAGE SERVICES*TOLL ROAD*THE NEW AMAZON FULFILLMENT CENTER*AND SHOPPING!*

  22. 2022-03-03
    listed $169,900 Active 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    *DON'T LET THIS ONE FOOL YOU!*THIS HOME IS SPACIOUS!*MOVE RIGHT INTO THIS CONVENIENTLY LOCATED HOME IN TIME FOR THE NEW YEAR!* COMPLETLY UPDATED 4 POSSIBLY 5 BEDROOM, 2 FULL BATH HOME ON A SPACIOUS LOT! HARDWOOD FLOORS*CEILING FANS*UPDATED KITCHEN*FRESHLY PAINTED*NEW CARPET* AND THE LIST CONTINUES*AFFORDABLY PRICED*TAKE A LOOK BEFORE ITS GONE!*PRE-APPROVED BUYERS CALL YOUR REALTOR!*WALKING DISTANCE TO PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION*VILLAGE SERVICES*TOLL ROAD*THE NEW AMAZON FULFILLMENT CENTER*AND SHOPPING!*

  23. 2022-02-15
    historical Contingent - No Showings
  24. 2022-01-14
    status Active Under Contract (Do Not Show)
  25. 2022-01-14
    historical
  26. 2021-12-14
    listed Active
  27. 2008-10-02
    historical
  28. 2008-08-20
    price
  29. 2008-07-31
    price
  30. 2008-07-11
    listed
  31. 2008-03-24
    soldstatus $48,000
  32. 2008-03-13
    historical
  33. 2007-11-05
    listed $56,900
  34. 2005-02-09
    soldstatus $110,000
  35. 2004-09-29
    soldstatus $54,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,000
− Mortgage interest
−$5,316
− Property taxes
−$1,424
− Insurance
−$474
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,400
− Management
−$2,400
− Depreciation
−$2,761
Taxable income
$15,225
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,654
After-tax cash flow
$12,176/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bremen Chsd 228
NCES district ID
1707050
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$57,625
Composite
15.32/100
National rank
#9327
State rank
#468 of 620 in IL

Livability — Markham

Score
76/100
State rank
#186
US rank
#3539

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Markham, IL
City population
10,980
Population (ZIP)
23,066

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% White 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.36%
Current HPI
313.7895
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+75.7% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $94,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $90,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-13 Price Changed $99,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-06 Price Changed $95,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-03 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-21 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-09 Price Changed $99,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-11 Price Changed $105,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-23 Price Changed $109,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-16 Listed $115,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
  • 2022-05-06 Sold (MLS) $169,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-04-11 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-03 Listed $169,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-15 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-01-14 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-01-14 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-12-14 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-10-02 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-08-20 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-07-31 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-07-11 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-03-24 Sold (MLS) $48,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-03-13 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-11-05 Listed $56,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2004-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.0%/yr

Latest (2023): $8,615 · +110.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…