16104 Kedzie Ave · Markham, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
*DON'T LET THIS ONE FOOL YOU!*THIS HOME IS SPACIOUS!*MOVE RIGHT INTO THIS CONVENIENTLY LOCATED HOME IN TIME FOR THE NEW YEAR!* COMPLETLY UPDATED 4 POSSIBLY 5 BEDROOM, 2 FULL BATH HOME ON A SPACIOUS LOT! HARDWOOD FLOORS*CEILING FANS*UPDATED KITCHEN*FRESHLY PAINTED*NEW CARPET* AND THE LIST CONTINUES*AFFORDABLY PRICED*TAKE A LOOK BEFORE ITS GONE!*PRE-APPROVED BUYERS CALL YOUR REALTOR!*WALKING DISTANCE TO PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION*VILLAGE SERVICES*TOLL ROAD*THE NEW AMAZON FULFILLMENT CENTER*AND SHOPPING!
Key facts
- Built 1937
- Listed 43 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.3% vs local median 10.5% in Markham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#186 in IL, #3,539 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities D, employment D.
- Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Markham Park Elem School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,517 of 2,056 statewide, top 78%, 308 students, 0% FRL); Prairie-Hills Junior High School (math 7% / reading 10%, grade F, #605 of 665 statewide, top 91%, 825 students, 0% FRL); Tinley Park High School (math 22% / reading 25%, grade F, #309 of 693 statewide, top 45%, 1,089 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,686/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 32% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 71.54%
- DSCR
- 4.18
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $185,001
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -51.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3120 Wilshire Ave | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (+6%) | 2mo | $193,000 | $186 | 73 |
| 16155 Kedzie Pkwy | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,048 (+7%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $205 | 70 |
| 16068 Richmond Ave | 0.40mi | 4/1.5 | 1,048 (+7%) | 0mo | $198,000 | $189 | 67 |
| 3114 W 163rd St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,033 (+5%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $155 | 67 |
| 15711 Trumbull Ave | 0.57mi | 4/1.0 | 1,020 (+4%) | 1mo | $207,000 | $203 | 62 |
| 16237 Homan Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,060 (+8%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $142 | 61 |
| 3014 W 163rd St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,053 (+7%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $114 | 60 |
| 2926 Sussex Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,048 (+7%) | 6mo | $129,900 | $124 | 58 |
| 2859 Stafford Dr | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,084 (+11%) | 3mo | $154,900 | $143 | 49 |
| 16608 Sawyer Ave | 0.65mi | 4/1.5 | 884 (-10%) | 3mo | $164,950 | $187 | 49 |
| 16032 Circle Dr | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,075 (+10%) | 3mo | $158,000 | $147 | 42 |
| 3633 Sunset Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,121 (+14%) | 2mo | $159,900 | $143 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 82.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.74×
- Total profit
- $144,575
- Equity at exit
- $80,989
- IRR
- 76.7%
- Equity multiple
- 14.93×
- Total profit
- $350,672
- Equity at exit
- $174,656
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 17 active · 31 under contract
- Months of supply
- 5.1 mo (20%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $161,900 ($164/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 46 d
- This list price
- 6% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +15.0% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 60428
- Home prices YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 106
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,686 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$564
- Net cashflow
- $1,501
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,563 | -5% $1,532 | +0% $1,501 | +5% $1,470 | +10% $1,438 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,288 | -5% $1,394 | +0% $1,501 | +5% $1,607 | +10% $1,713 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,546 | -0.5pp $1,523 | base $1,501 | +0.5pp $1,477 | +1.0pp $1,454 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15711 Whipple Ave Markham, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $3,025 | $3.29 | 55d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 15711 Whipple Ave Markham, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,025 | $3.02 | 17d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 16352 Oxford Dr Markham, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 967 | $2,500 | $2.59 | 0d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3220 Laurel Ln Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1056 | $2,600 | $2.46 | 2d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 16752 Artesian Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $2,200 | $2.54 | 96d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 16775 Artesian Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $2,150 | $2.48 | 32d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 17141 Highland Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,350 | $2.14 | 20d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- No master association fee required
Exterior
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Detached single-family home1.5-story designFee simple ownershipBuilt before 1978
- Construction
- Frame constructionEstimated age: 81–90 years
- Exterior features
- Lot under 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen
- Kitchen on the main level
- Bedrooms
- Four bedrooms (master bedroom on the second level; other bedrooms on main and second levels)
- Bathrooms
- Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Forced air heating
- Interior features
- Seven total roomsDining roomFamily roomLiving room
- Laundry & utility
- Dedicated laundry room
Listing history 50 events
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2026-11-08days on market $89,900 Active 44 DOM
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2026-11-07days on market $89,900 Active 43 DOM
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2026-11-06days on market $89,900 Active 42 DOM
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2026-11-05days on market $89,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-11-04days on market $89,900 Active 40 DOM
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2026-11-02price $89,900 Active 38 DOM
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2026-11-02days on market $94,900 Active 38 DOM
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2026-11-01days on market $94,900 Active 37 DOM
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2026-10-31days on market $94,900 Active 36 DOM
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2026-10-30days on market $94,900 Active 35 DOM
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2026-10-29days on market $94,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-10-28days on market $94,900 Active 33 DOM
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2026-10-27days on market $94,900 Active 32 DOM
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2026-10-26days on market $94,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-10-26days on market $94,900 Active 30 DOM
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2026-10-24days on market $94,900 Active 29 DOM
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2026-10-23days on market $94,900 Active 28 DOM
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2026-10-22days on market $94,900 Active 27 DOM
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2026-10-21days on market $94,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-10-20days on market $94,900 Active 25 DOM
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2026-10-19days on market $94,900 Active 24 DOM
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2026-10-18days on market $94,900 Active 23 DOM
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2026-10-17days on market $94,900 Active 22 DOM
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2026-10-16days on market $94,900 Active 21 DOM
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2026-10-15days on market $94,900 Active 20 DOM
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2026-10-14days on market $94,900 Active 19 DOM
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2026-10-13days on market $94,900 Active 18 DOM
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2026-10-12days on market $94,900 Active 17 DOM
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2026-10-11days on market $94,900 Active 16 DOM
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2026-10-10days on market $94,900 Active 15 DOM
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2026-10-09days on market $94,900 Active 14 DOM
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2026-10-08days on market $94,900 Active 13 DOM
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2026-10-07days on market $94,900 Active 12 DOM
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2026-10-06days on market $94,900 Active 11 DOM
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2026-10-05days on market $94,900 Active 10 DOM
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2026-10-04days on market $94,900 Active 9 DOM
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2026-10-04days on market $94,900 Active 8 DOM
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2026-10-02days on market $94,900 Active 7 DOM
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2026-10-01days on market $94,900 Active 6 DOM
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2026-09-30days on market $94,900 Active 5 DOM
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2026-09-29days on market $94,900 Active 4 DOM
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2026-09-28days on market $94,900 Active 3 DOM
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2026-09-27days on market $94,900 Active 2 DOM
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2026-09-25days on market $94,900 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $94,900 Active 283 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $94,900 Active 282 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $94,900 Active 281 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $94,900 Active 278 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $94,900 Active 277 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $94,900 Active 276 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,231
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,348
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,578
- − Management
- −$2,578
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $17,625
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,230
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,777/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This home is in good condition with updated kitchen and bathroom, and a well-maintained exterior. It is ready for a new owner and can be further enhanced with minor updates to the exterior and interior.
Components & finishes AI
Deferred maintenance Est. $10,000–$30,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — roof appears old and damaged with visible wear and tear
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and can add value. ↑
- Both Replace carpet in attic — Fresh carpet in attic can improve air quality and add value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and add value for both resale and rental. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bremen Chsd 228
- NCES district ID
- 1707050
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,625
- Composite
- 15.32/100
- National rank
- #9327
- State rank
- #468 of 620 in IL
Livability — Markham
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #186
- US rank
- #3539
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Markham, IL
- County
- Cook · 5,347,519 people
- City population
- 10,980
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,980
- Household income
- $53,059
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 32% of renters
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% Hispanic / Latino 17% White 11% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 23.63%
- Current HPI
- 302.333
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+75.7% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-09-23 Listed $94,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-10 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-06 Sold (MLS) $169,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-11 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-03 Listed $169,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-15 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-14 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-10-02 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-03-24 Sold (MLS) $48,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-03-13 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-11-05 Listed $56,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2004-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2023): $8,615 · +110.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…