2706 Van Buren St · Gary, IN 46407

$15,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 680 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market

Built 1965

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +5.5/10.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +0.5/10.0

Listing remarks

Calling all investors! This 2 bed / 1 bath home with a full basement is a complete rehab project with solid upside potential. The property offers a straightforward layout and additional space in the basement, making it a great candidate for a fix & amp; flip or long-term rental. With the right renovations, this property can be transformed into a strong income-producing asset. ?? Property Highlights: Full rehab needed Full basement (added value & amp; storage) Great layout for rental or resale Strong value-add opportunity Investor-friendly price point ____________________________________________ & Acirc; & iexcl; Atenci & Atilde; & sup3;n inversionistas! Esta propied

Key facts

• Full basement
• Built 1965
• Listed 23 days

Tags

• FULL BASEMENT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $724 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
• Recommended offer: $15k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 64.2% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
• Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($29k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $251 of equity ($104 loan paydown + $147 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
• Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($15k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.

Recommended offer $14,775 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 7.13% ✓
• Cap rate: 64.22%
• Cash-on-cash: 206.87%
• DSCR: 10.20
• GRM: 1.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $31,280
• Comps found: 8

Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2678 Monroe St	0.12mi	2/1.0	700 (+3%)	2mo	$86,000	$123	88
2636 Jackson St	0.10mi	2/1.0	648 (-5%)	15mo	$30,000	$46	75
2379 Jackson St	0.41mi	2/1.0	672 (-1%)	11mo	$12,000	$18	70
2452 Jackson St	0.31mi	3/1.0 (+1)	700 (+3%)	17mo	$32,500	$46	62
2401 Fillmore St	0.46mi	3/1.0 (+1)	716 (+5%)	5mo	$35,000	$49	61
2645 Lincoln St	0.47mi	2/1.0	732 (+8%)	10mo	$75,000	$102	57
2472 Polk St	0.37mi	2/2.0	770 (+13%)	14mo	$10,000	$13	45
2435 Connecticut St	0.64mi	3/1.5 (+1)	736 (+8%)	23mo	$7,500	$10	30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.98% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 12.05×
• Total profit: $46,407
• Equity at exit: $5,105

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 25.45×
• Total profit: $102,698
• Equity at exit: $6,772

Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Indiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 46407

• Home prices YoY: 0.4%
• Active inventory: 121
• Price-to-rent: 1.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,070 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$79
• Tax from tax record: −$36 /mo · $431/yr
• Insurance: −$6
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$225
• Net cashflow: $724

Break-even live

Break-even rent $153

Max offer price $15,000

Occupancy floor 27%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $3,750
• Closing costs: $450
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 10 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
837 W 27th Ave Unit B Gary, IN	1.0	1.0	750	$950	$1.27	1d	1	0.13mi
837 W 27th Ave Unit A Gary, IN	2.0	1.0	750	$1,150	$1.53	1d	1	0.13mi
2572-76 Van Buren Pl Gary, IN	2.0	1.0	700	$1,025	$1.46	1d	1	0.13mi
2378 Jackson St Gary, IN	2.0	1.0	672	$1,050	$1.56	1d	1	0.37mi
2453 Prospect St Gary, IN	2.0	1.0	704	$1,095	$1.56	1d	1	0.93mi
2355 Rhode Island St Gary, IN	2.0	1.0	701	$1,095	$1.56	43d	1	1.07mi
1015 W 35th Ave Apt 206 Gary, IN	2.0	1.0	601	$795	$1.32	43d	1	1.08mi
1005 W 35th Ave Apt 202 Gary, IN	2.0	1.0	617	$795	$1.29	1d	1	1.08mi
1005 W 35th Ave Apt 105 Gary, IN	2.0	1.0	601	$795	$1.32	18d	1	1.08mi
1316 Delaware St Unit 2 Gary, IN	2.0	1.0	700	$950	$1.36	20d	1	1.50mi

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $15,000 Active 23 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $15,000 Active 22 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $15,000 Active 21 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $15,000 Active 20 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $15,000 Active 18 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $15,000 Active 17 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $15,000 Active 14 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $15,000 Active 13 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $15,000 Active 12 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $15,000 Active 9 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $15,000 Active 8 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $15,000 Active 7 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $15,000 Active 6 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $15,000 Active 5 DOM
15. 2026-05-26
    listed $15,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $431 · $36/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $431 · $36/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,834
• − Mortgage interest: −$840
• − Property taxes: −$431
• − Insurance: −$75
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,027
• − Management: −$1,027
• − Depreciation: −$436
• Taxable income: $8,998
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,159
• After-tax cash flow: $6,529/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Gary Community School Corporation
• NCES district ID: 1803870
• Math proficiency: 3% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 11% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $27,739
• Composite: 4.98/100
• National rank: #10039
• State rank: #299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

• Score: 73/100
• State rank: #105
• US rank: #5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Gary, IN
• County: Lake County · 422,878 people
• City population: 63,701
• Metro: Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
• Population (ZIP): 8,577
• Household income: $28,526
• Rent vs Own: 58.8% rent · 41.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 392.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 484,026 people
• By 2030: 478,091 · -1.2%
• By 2040: 462,974 · -4.3%
• By 2050: 449,894 · -7.1%
• By 2075: 436,169 · -9.9%
• By 2100: 426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (91%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 3% White 2% Two or more races 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 0.98%
• Current HPI: 253.2856
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.90%
• F500 in state: 18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$37B
▸Healthcare	1	$177B
▸Pharmaceuticals	1	$45B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$18B
▸Agriculture	1	$17B
▸Packaging	1	$12B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-26 Listed $15,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

-14.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $431 · +14.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.