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990 Oregon Rd
C Composite 56.6
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$97,500

990 Oregon Rd · Gilman, VT 05906
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 988 sqft · Other public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1987 10 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A very affordable year around home or your own get away, with everything you need. It offers a drilled well, private septic, the convenience of having electric, 2 heating choices. Such a Cute Cozy Country Cottage in a great setting, 10.3 acres both open and wooded with mountain views, a small pond, perennial flowers and veggie garden. You even have room some critters, a great barn/workshop or storage building and a shed for your firewood. You should be able to catch VAST and VASA near by. Great hunting even with a camera. Close to RT 2 just a short drive to NH. Like I said, it is affordable and has everything to offer, you will love it.

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • 10.3 acre lot
  • 10.3 acre lot

Tags

METAL ROOFBOARD AND BATTEN SIDINGLARGE STORAGE BUILDING10.3 ACRE LOT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property is foreclosed/bank-owned/REO

Exterior

  • Utilities: Private water; Private sewer; Circuit breaker electrical service; No internet service indicated
  • Home design: Cabin/Cape style; Existing construction; One story (single-level entry)
  • Construction: Built in 1987; Wood frame construction; Board and batten exterior
  • Exterior features: Country setting; Dirt driveway; Grey exterior color; Metal roof

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Forced air; Hot air
  • Interior features: 3 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $98k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $64 ($773/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $92k (5.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (5.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($674 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (9.9% local appreciation)).
  • Essex County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (9.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $84k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $92,445 (5.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.09%
Cash-on-cash
2.83%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.89% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
3.07×
Total profit
$56,482
Equity at exit
$87,058
10-year hold
IRR
22.9%
Equity multiple
6.97×
Total profit
$162,925
Equity at exit
$186,922

Cash invested: $27,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Vermont
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause in Burlington (2022); strong habitability.

ZIP-level market 05906

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
15
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$924 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$511
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,368/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$194
Net cashflow
$64

Break-even live

Break-even rent $843
Max offer price $97,500
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,375
Closing costs
$2,925
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-14
    listed $97,500 Active
  3. 2018-08-06
    soldstatus $83,900
  4. 2018-08-01
    soldstatus $83,900 Closed 644-char remark
    Show marketing remark (644 chars)

    A very affordable year around home or your own get away, with everything you need. It offers a drilled well, private septic, the convenience of having electric, 2 heating choices. Such a Cute Cozy Country Cottage in a great setting, 10.3 acres both open and wooded with mountain views, a small pond, perennial flowers and veggie garden. You even have room some critters, a great barn/workshop or storage building and a shed for your firewood. You should be able to catch VAST and VASA near by. Great hunting even with a camera. Close to RT 2 just a short drive to NH. Like I said, it is affordable and has everything to offer, you will love it.

  5. 2018-06-12
    historical Active with Contract 644-char remark
    Show marketing remark (644 chars)

    A very affordable year around home or your own get away, with everything you need. It offers a drilled well, private septic, the convenience of having electric, 2 heating choices. Such a Cute Cozy Country Cottage in a great setting, 10.3 acres both open and wooded with mountain views, a small pond, perennial flowers and veggie garden. You even have room some critters, a great barn/workshop or storage building and a shed for your firewood. You should be able to catch VAST and VASA near by. Great hunting even with a camera. Close to RT 2 just a short drive to NH. Like I said, it is affordable and has everything to offer, you will love it.

  6. 2018-05-18
    listed $83,900 Active 644-char remark
    Show marketing remark (644 chars)

    A very affordable year around home or your own get away, with everything you need. It offers a drilled well, private septic, the convenience of having electric, 2 heating choices. Such a Cute Cozy Country Cottage in a great setting, 10.3 acres both open and wooded with mountain views, a small pond, perennial flowers and veggie garden. You even have room some critters, a great barn/workshop or storage building and a shed for your firewood. You should be able to catch VAST and VASA near by. Great hunting even with a camera. Close to RT 2 just a short drive to NH. Like I said, it is affordable and has everything to offer, you will love it.

  7. 2017-02-09
    soldstatus $78,000
  8. 2017-02-07
    soldstatus $78,000 Closed 569-char remark
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Year round home or recreational get a way with access to the VAST & VASA trails. Located less than a mile off Route 2, enjoy the convenient access to Route 2, Littleton and Lancaster NH. Open floor plan with full bath and loft for additional space or storage. Nicely landscaped yard allows for wildlife sightings right from the comfort of your home. Insulated shed perfect for a workshop, storage or toy garage! Nestle up in front of the pellet stove after a day of snowmobiling or just enjoying your 10.3 acre lot. Great opportunity to own your piece of Vermont!

  9. 2017-01-18
    historical Active with Contract 569-char remark
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Year round home or recreational get a way with access to the VAST & VASA trails. Located less than a mile off Route 2, enjoy the convenient access to Route 2, Littleton and Lancaster NH. Open floor plan with full bath and loft for additional space or storage. Nicely landscaped yard allows for wildlife sightings right from the comfort of your home. Insulated shed perfect for a workshop, storage or toy garage! Nestle up in front of the pellet stove after a day of snowmobiling or just enjoying your 10.3 acre lot. Great opportunity to own your piece of Vermont!

  10. 2016-11-17
    listed $82,500 Active 569-char remark
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Year round home or recreational get a way with access to the VAST & VASA trails. Located less than a mile off Route 2, enjoy the convenient access to Route 2, Littleton and Lancaster NH. Open floor plan with full bath and loft for additional space or storage. Nicely landscaped yard allows for wildlife sightings right from the comfort of your home. Insulated shed perfect for a workshop, storage or toy garage! Nestle up in front of the pellet stove after a day of snowmobiling or just enjoying your 10.3 acre lot. Great opportunity to own your piece of Vermont!

  11. 2014-11-18
    soldstatus $67,000
  12. 2014-11-17
    soldstatus $67,000
  13. 2014-06-13
    listed $72,000
  14. 2004-09-21
    soldstatus $48,500
  15. 2004-09-17
    soldstatus $48,500
  16. 2004-08-02
    listed $48,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,368 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,610 · $134/mo
Expected delta
+$242/yr (+$20/mo · 17.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,093
− Mortgage interest
−$5,462
− Property taxes
−$1,368
− Insurance
−$488
− Repairs & maintenance
−$887
− Management
−$887
− Depreciation
−$2,836
Taxable loss
−$835
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$200
After-tax cash flow
$973/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Gilman

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

City population
187
Population (ZIP)
1,335

Population outlook (Essex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,715 people
By 2030
5,396 · -5.6%
By 2040
4,680 · -18.1%
By 2050
4,025 · -29.6%
By 2075
3,104 · -45.7%
By 2100
2,590 · -54.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 17% Serbian 7% Slovak 5%
Foreign-born
2% · China, Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Chinese 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Essex

2024 margin
R (+16.0) · D 39.4% · R 55.4% · Other 5.2%
2008→2024 swing
-30.5pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: -16.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+18.0 2012: D+13.4 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.89%
Current HPI
223.9474
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+101.0% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Pending PrimeMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $97,500 PrimeMLS
  • 2018-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $83,900 Public Records
  • 2018-08-01 Sold (MLS) $83,900 PrimeMLS
  • 2018-06-12 Contingent PrimeMLS
  • 2018-05-18 Listed $83,900 PrimeMLS
  • 2017-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 2017-02-07 Sold (MLS) $78,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2017-01-18 Contingent PrimeMLS
  • 2016-11-17 Listed $82,500 PrimeMLS
  • 2014-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
  • 2014-11-17 Sold (MLS) $67,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2014-06-13 Listed $72,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2004-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $48,500 Public Records
  • 2004-09-17 Sold (MLS) $48,500 PrimeMLS
  • 2004-08-02 Listed $48,500 PrimeMLS

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,368 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…