3521 N Riley Ave · Indianapolis city (balance), IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.1/30.0
- ARV discount +8.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is currently rented for $900 a month and provides dependable cash flow in a growing area. Located on the northeast side of Indianapolis, it's close to parks, schools, and major roadways. The interior offers a simple, functional layout that's easy to maintain. A solid choice for investors seeking steady rental income with long-term upside.
Key facts
- Close to parks
- Close to schools
- 7,971 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $101 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (2.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Center For Inquiry School 27 (math 25% / reading 29%, grade F, #737 of 994 statewide, top 76%, 525 students, 51% FRL); H L Harshman Middle School (math 3% / reading 16%, grade F, #316 of 330 statewide, top 96%, 549 students, 84% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 338 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.77%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $116,375
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -1.18%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3440 N Emerson Ave | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (-10%) | 7mo | $115,000 | $138 | 72 |
| 5415 E 34th St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 908 (-1%) | 2mo | $107,000 | $118 | 72 |
| 3505 N Emerson Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 972 (+6%) | 10mo | $115,000 | $118 | 70 |
| 3536 N Hawthorne Ln | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 925 (+0%) | 6mo | $149,900 | $162 | 67 |
| 3125 N Bancroft St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 936 (+2%) | 3mo | $156,000 | $167 | 65 |
| 3219 N Colorado Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (-1%) | 4mo | $139,900 | $153 | 62 |
| 3614 N Whittier Pl | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 912 (-1%) | 3mo | $171,999 | $189 | 60 |
| 3901 Wallace Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 1,047 (+14%) | 0mo | $55,000 | $53 | 54 |
| 4715 Munter Ln | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-6%) | 6mo | $46,000 | $53 | 50 |
| 3938 N Grand Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 993 (+8%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $136 | 48 |
| 3107 Wallace Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,009 (+10%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $149 | 44 |
| 3142 N Euclid Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,050 (+14%) | 8mo | $114,000 | $109 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-14,600
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-13,851
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46218
- Home prices YoY
- -17.1%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 338
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,117 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$130 /mo · $1,565/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$235
- Net cashflow
- $101
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $166 | -5% $134 | +0% $101 | +5% $68 | +10% $36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $13 | -5% $57 | +0% $101 | +5% $145 | +10% $189 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $159 | -0.5pp $130 | base $101 | +0.5pp $71 | +1.0pp $41 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3461 N Dequincy St Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $720 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 4726 E 34th St Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 643 | $800 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 3316 N Emerson Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,100 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3332 Wallace Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,600 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3516 N Hawthorne Ln Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,225 | $1.32 | 6d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3301 Mardenna Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,200 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3815 N Grand Ave Unit 3815 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 965 | $1,250 | $1.30 | 6d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3315 N Euclid Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,300 | $1.67 | 16d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3319 N Hawthorne Ln Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 25d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3636 N Whittier Pl Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $995 | $1.09 | 9d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3142 N Euclid Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3149 N Gladstone Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1036 | $1,350 | $1.30 | 9d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2950 N Dequincy St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,375 | $1.55 | 15d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4615 E 30th St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $1,100 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2932 Arthington Blvd Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3718 N Audubon Rd Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,300 | $1.49 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3725 N Sherman Dr #7 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $845 | $1.16 | 0d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3725 N Sherman Dr #7 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $845 | $1.16 | 5d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3383 Station St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,250 | $1.68 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5602 Glencoe St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,749 | $1.75 | 19d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3836 Priscilla Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1040 | $1,275 | $1.23 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3920 E 30th St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1071 | $1,350 | $1.26 | 9d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3920 E 30th St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1071 | $1,350 | $1.26 | 6d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3165 Station St Unit A Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,000 | $1.30 | 0d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3165 Station St Unit B Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $749 | $0.98 | 0d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2864 Forest Manor Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1018 | $1,500 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3615 Sherman Forest Dr Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1057 | $1,288 | $1.22 | 6d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3421 N Olney St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,195 | $1.66 | 18d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2862 N Chester Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $1,520 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3522 N Olney St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,300 | $1.69 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3436 N Lasalle St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $1,300 | $1.16 | 0d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4115 Meadows Dr Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1013 | $1,374 | $1.36 | 45d | 9 | 1.38mi |
| 3472 N Dearborn St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,099 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2949 Adams St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 978 | $1,150 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $115,000 Active 163 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 160 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 159 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 158 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 157 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 155 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 150 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 144 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 143 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 142 DOM
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2026-04-15price $115,000 368-char remark
Show marketing remark (368 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is currently rented for $900 a month and provides dependable cash flow in a growing area. Located on the northeast side of Indianapolis, it's close to parks, schools, and major roadways. The interior offers a simple, functional layout that's easy to maintain. A solid choice for investors seeking steady rental income with long-term upside.
-
2026-01-09$125,000 Active 368-char remark
Show marketing remark (368 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is currently rented for $900 a month and provides dependable cash flow in a growing area. Located on the northeast side of Indianapolis, it's close to parks, schools, and major roadways. The interior offers a simple, functional layout that's easy to maintain. A solid choice for investors seeking steady rental income with long-term upside.
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2025-09-30historical
-
2025-08-23price $125,000
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2025-07-17$135,000 Active
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2025-06-30historical
-
2024-06-18$142,000 Active
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2022-07-30price $999
-
2006-08-15historical
-
2005-08-15$59,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,565 · $130/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,565 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,405
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,565
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,072
- − Management
- −$1,072
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$668
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$160
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,373/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indianapolis Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1804770
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,034
- Composite
- 13.69/100
- National rank
- #9499
- State rank
- #286 of 301 in IN
Livability — Indianapolis city (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indianapolis city (balance), IN
- County
- Marion County · 998,460 people
- City population
- 881,119
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,360
- Household income
- $38,063
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2340.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,572 people
- By 2030
- 1,065,727 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 1,141,577 · +11.3%
- By 2050
- 1,208,920 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 1,367,288 · +33.3%
- By 2100
- 1,438,201 · +40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.7) · D 63.0% · R 35.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 27.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.7 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+28.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.57%
- Current HPI
- 395.7071
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.81%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+92.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $115,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-09 Listed $125,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-30 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-23 Price Changed $125,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-17 Listed $135,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-30 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-18 Listed $142,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-30 Price Changed $999 RENT.
- 2006-08-15 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-08-15 Listed $59,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+11.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,565 · +16.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…