4640 NE Cubitis Ave · Arcadia, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This ranch-style home in Arcadia offers solid bones and genuine potential for buyers ready to invest in a property with character and opportunity. Situated on its own lot, the home features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathrooms, providing a functional layout for renovation or customization. With vision and effort, this property can be transformed into a comfortable residence or income-generating rental in an area with steady interest.
Key facts
- 8,538 sq ft lot
- Built 1961
- Listed 48 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned RSF-1
- Financial info: No lease restrictions
- HOA & community: No HOA/association indicated; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Utilities: Well water; No sewer; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Faces west; Entry level: main level
- Construction: Stucco exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.2-acre lot (approx. 76 x 128)
- Exterior features: Front porch; Exterior lighting; Publicly maintained paved asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (all on main level)
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall/window cooling units
- Interior features: Other interior features; Tile floors
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $329 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.5% in Arcadia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#345 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D, amenities F.
- Desoto (town): math 31% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #69 of 73 in FL (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 207 active listings in the ZIP; 71 units permitted in DeSoto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeSoto County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.82%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $206,118
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1923 NE Hammock St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (-3%) | 10mo | $200,000 | $198 | 65 |
| 4418 NE Masters Ave | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 | 1,170 (+12%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $150 | 48 |
| 2100 NE Diamond K St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,185 (+14%) | 2mo | $353,800 | $299 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $3,183
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $29,965
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34266
- Home prices YoY
- -6.1%
- Active inventory
- 207
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,440 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$186 /mo · $2,228/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$302
- Net cashflow
- $329
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-01$110,000 Active
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
This ranch-style home in Arcadia offers solid bones and genuine potential for buyers ready to invest in a property with character and opportunity. Situated on its own lot, the home features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathrooms, providing a functional layout for renovation or customization. With vision and effort, this property can be transformed into a comfortable residence or income-generating rental in an area with steady interest.
-
2026-05-01$110,000 Active 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
This ranch-style home in Arcadia offers solid bones and genuine potential for buyers ready to invest in a property with character and opportunity. Situated on its own lot, the home features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathrooms, providing a functional layout for renovation or customization. With vision and effort, this property can be transformed into a comfortable residence or income-generating rental in an area with steady interest.
-
2022-08-01soldstatus $130,000
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2022-01-14soldstatus $110,000
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2022-01-07soldstatus $110,000 Closed 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
This offering is for a 2 BR , concrete block home in the County on . 20 ac lot. There is so much potential here . The attached photos are pre-tenant when home was vacant. Tenants both work so an appointmet is necessary. The home has a nice size living room and a galley kitchen with a pantry. The family room has a brick stucture where one might put a faux fireplace. There is a small storage room accessible from inside . Across the front is a large screened in porch and on North side there is a concrete area for outdoor entertaining or perhaps converting into a carport/gazebo area. Drive by ok just please dont go into yard or contact tenants.
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2021-12-03status Pending 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
This offering is for a 2 BR , concrete block home in the County on . 20 ac lot. There is so much potential here . The attached photos are pre-tenant when home was vacant. Tenants both work so an appointmet is necessary. The home has a nice size living room and a galley kitchen with a pantry. The family room has a brick stucture where one might put a faux fireplace. There is a small storage room accessible from inside . Across the front is a large screened in porch and on North side there is a concrete area for outdoor entertaining or perhaps converting into a carport/gazebo area. Drive by ok just please dont go into yard or contact tenants.
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2021-07-08price $125,000 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
This offering is for a 2 BR , concrete block home in the County on . 20 ac lot. There is so much potential here . The attached photos are pre-tenant when home was vacant. Tenants both work so an appointmet is necessary. The home has a nice size living room and a galley kitchen with a pantry. The family room has a brick stucture where one might put a faux fireplace. There is a small storage room accessible from inside . Across the front is a large screened in porch and on North side there is a concrete area for outdoor entertaining or perhaps converting into a carport/gazebo area. Drive by ok just please dont go into yard or contact tenants.
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2021-07-07status Active 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
This offering is for a 2 BR , concrete block home in the County on . 20 ac lot. There is so much potential here . The attached photos are pre-tenant when home was vacant. Tenants both work so an appointmet is necessary. The home has a nice size living room and a galley kitchen with a pantry. The family room has a brick stucture where one might put a faux fireplace. There is a small storage room accessible from inside . Across the front is a large screened in porch and on North side there is a concrete area for outdoor entertaining or perhaps converting into a carport/gazebo area. Drive by ok just please dont go into yard or contact tenants.
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2021-06-01$136,000 Active 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
This offering is for a 2 BR , concrete block home in the County on . 20 ac lot. There is so much potential here . The attached photos are pre-tenant when home was vacant. Tenants both work so an appointmet is necessary. The home has a nice size living room and a galley kitchen with a pantry. The family room has a brick stucture where one might put a faux fireplace. There is a small storage room accessible from inside . Across the front is a large screened in porch and on North side there is a concrete area for outdoor entertaining or perhaps converting into a carport/gazebo area. Drive by ok just please dont go into yard or contact tenants.
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2020-02-22historical
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2018-09-04price $149,000
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2018-05-03$179,000 Active
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2009-04-08$99,000
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2005-01-21soldstatus $55,000
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1997-06-02soldstatus $32,000
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1978-09-01soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,228 · $186/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,228 · $186/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,277
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$2,228
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,382
- − Management
- −$1,382
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $2,373
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$569
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,379/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desoto
- NCES district ID
- 1200420
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,136
- Composite
- 26.03/100
- National rank
- #7305
- State rank
- #69 of 73 in FL
Livability — Arcadia
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #345
- US rank
- #5983
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,065
Population outlook (DeSoto County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,958 people
- By 2030
- 34,465 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 33,137 · -5.2%
- By 2050
- 31,273 · -10.5%
- By 2075
- 23,898 · -31.6%
- By 2100
- 15,517 · -55.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 34% Black 13% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · DeSoto
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.9) · D 28.2% · R 71.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.6pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -42.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.9 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+27.7 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.01%
- Current HPI
- 403.1509
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1000.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $110,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-05-01 Listed $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2022-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2022-01-07 Sold (MLS) $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-03 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-08 Price Changed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-07 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-01 Listed $136,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-02-22 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-04 Price Changed $149,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-03 Listed $179,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-04-08 Listed $99,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 1997-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
- 1978-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,228 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…