208 Durke Rd · Milton, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.5/30.0
- ARV discount +10.3/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$284,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NEW PRIVACY FENCE JUST INSTALLED at this charming four-bedroom home in the highly sought-after Gable Crest neighborhood, located within the Milton School District. The floor plan features an open-concept kitchen, living, and dining area filled with abundant natural light. A wood beam at the entry sets a warm, welcoming tone, while the living room is highlighted by elegant coffered ceilings. The kitchen is both stylish and functional, offering granite countertops, custom backsplash, stainless steel appliances, a walk-in pantry, and an island perfect for gathering and entertaining. The layout provides two bedrooms and a full bathroom at the front of the home, and the primary suite plus an additional bedroom in the rear. The spacious primary suite boasts a vaulted ceiling and serene views of the backyard. Step outside to the back patio and enjoy expansive views with no direct rear neighbors--an ideal setting for relaxing or entertaining in the fully fenced in yard.
Key facts
- Custom backsplash
- Expansive views
- Open-concept kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $284k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-144 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $259k (8.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (25.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $212k (25.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.6% in Milton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#89 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 464 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($259k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $230k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.17%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $303,511
- List price
- $284,500
- Delta
- -6.26%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208 Durke Rd | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,711 (+2%) | 0mo | $275,000 | $161 | 97 |
| 202 Gable Crest Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,843 (+9%) | 6mo | $298,000 | $162 | 69 |
| 147 Gable Crest Dr | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 | 1,876 (+11%) | 8mo | $281,000 | $150 | 69 |
| 102 Tracewood Bnd | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,860 (+10%) | 10mo | $305,000 | $164 | 69 |
| 126 Gable Crest Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,511 (-10%) | 10mo | $272,000 | $180 | 60 |
| 125 Gable Crest Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,537 (-9%) | 13mo | $258,000 | $168 | 59 |
| 104 Triangle Cir | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,913 (+14%) | 0mo | $315,000 | $165 | 54 |
| 301 Homewood Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,867 (+11%) | 4mo | $295,000 | $158 | 49 |
| 131 Wild Cherry Ln | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,846 (+10%) | 11mo | $263,500 | $143 | 48 |
| 103 Rambling Rose Ln | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,848 (+10%) | 3mo | $270,000 | $146 | 44 |
| 205 Rivergrass Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,468 (-13%) | 3mo | $248,000 | $169 | 38 |
| 505 River Woods Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,901 (+13%) | 12mo | $270,000 | $142 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-59,041
- Equity at exit
- $42,420
- IRR
- -20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.02×
- Total profit
- $-78,145
- Equity at exit
- $24,598
Cash invested: $79,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70508
- Home prices YoY
- -34.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 464
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,118 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,492
- Tax from tax record
- −$176 /mo · $2,110/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$31
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$445
- Net cashflow
- $-144
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,125
- Closing costs
- $8,535
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224 Wild Cherry Ln Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2212 | $2,200 | $0.99 | 13d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 128 Rose Of Sharon Ln Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2092 | $2,100 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 204 Crenshaw Dr Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1337 | $2,150 | $1.61 | 20d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 103 Bijou Dr Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1522 | $2,100 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $31 · $372/yr
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-10status Pending 978-char remark
Show marketing remark (978 chars)
NEW PRIVACY FENCE JUST INSTALLED at this charming four-bedroom home in the highly sought-after Gable Crest neighborhood, located within the Milton School District. The floor plan features an open-concept kitchen, living, and dining area filled with abundant natural light. A wood beam at the entry sets a warm, welcoming tone, while the living room is highlighted by elegant coffered ceilings. The kitchen is both stylish and functional, offering granite countertops, custom backsplash, stainless steel appliances, a walk-in pantry, and an island perfect for gathering and entertaining. The layout provides two bedrooms and a full bathroom at the front of the home, and the primary suite plus an additional bedroom in the rear. The spacious primary suite boasts a vaulted ceiling and serene views of the backyard. Step outside to the back patio and enjoy expansive views with no direct rear neighbors--an ideal setting for relaxing or entertaining in the fully fenced in yard.
-
2026-03-06price $284,500 978-char remark
Show marketing remark (978 chars)
NEW PRIVACY FENCE JUST INSTALLED at this charming four-bedroom home in the highly sought-after Gable Crest neighborhood, located within the Milton School District. The floor plan features an open-concept kitchen, living, and dining area filled with abundant natural light. A wood beam at the entry sets a warm, welcoming tone, while the living room is highlighted by elegant coffered ceilings. The kitchen is both stylish and functional, offering granite countertops, custom backsplash, stainless steel appliances, a walk-in pantry, and an island perfect for gathering and entertaining. The layout provides two bedrooms and a full bathroom at the front of the home, and the primary suite plus an additional bedroom in the rear. The spacious primary suite boasts a vaulted ceiling and serene views of the backyard. Step outside to the back patio and enjoy expansive views with no direct rear neighbors--an ideal setting for relaxing or entertaining in the fully fenced in yard.
-
2026-01-16$287,000 Active 978-char remark
Show marketing remark (978 chars)
NEW PRIVACY FENCE JUST INSTALLED at this charming four-bedroom home in the highly sought-after Gable Crest neighborhood, located within the Milton School District. The floor plan features an open-concept kitchen, living, and dining area filled with abundant natural light. A wood beam at the entry sets a warm, welcoming tone, while the living room is highlighted by elegant coffered ceilings. The kitchen is both stylish and functional, offering granite countertops, custom backsplash, stainless steel appliances, a walk-in pantry, and an island perfect for gathering and entertaining. The layout provides two bedrooms and a full bathroom at the front of the home, and the primary suite plus an additional bedroom in the rear. The spacious primary suite boasts a vaulted ceiling and serene views of the backyard. Step outside to the back patio and enjoy expansive views with no direct rear neighbors--an ideal setting for relaxing or entertaining in the fully fenced in yard.
-
2021-05-26soldstatus $230,400 796-char remark
Show marketing remark (796 chars)
New Construction in Gable Crest! The Rosette French I floorplan offers 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. A wood beam lintel is featured leading out the foyer into the dining room. Kitchen includes stainless appliances, custom wood cabinets, custom backsplash, stainless steel under mount double bowl sink and 3cm granite countertops. Living room features a tray coffered ceiling. The flooring includes wood laminate, tile and carpet through out the home. Master bath features a custom tile shower. Exterior of home includes a sodded yard and landscaping at the front. *Ask us how you can save money towards your closing costs by using our Preferred Lender & Title!* (Plan and Specs subject to change at builder's discretion. Rendering is a picture representation of home only - colors will change.
-
2021-02-19$230,400 796-char remark
Show marketing remark (796 chars)
New Construction in Gable Crest! The Rosette French I floorplan offers 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. A wood beam lintel is featured leading out the foyer into the dining room. Kitchen includes stainless appliances, custom wood cabinets, custom backsplash, stainless steel under mount double bowl sink and 3cm granite countertops. Living room features a tray coffered ceiling. The flooring includes wood laminate, tile and carpet through out the home. Master bath features a custom tile shower. Exterior of home includes a sodded yard and landscaping at the front. *Ask us how you can save money towards your closing costs by using our Preferred Lender & Title!* (Plan and Specs subject to change at builder's discretion. Rendering is a picture representation of home only - colors will change.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,110 · $176/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,110 · $176/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,417
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,936
- − Property taxes
- −$2,110
- − Insurance
- −$1,422
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,033
- − Management
- −$2,033
- − HOA
- −$372
- − Depreciation
- −$8,276
- Taxable loss
- −$6,767
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,624
- After-tax cash flow
- $-104/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Milton
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #89
- US rank
- #9617
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milton, LA
- County
- Lafayette Parish · 207,544 people
- City population
- 24
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,592
- Household income
- $86,005
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1860.0
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 13% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 20% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.28%
- Current HPI
- 143.6305
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.23%
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+23.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $284,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-01-16 Listed $287,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2021-05-26 Sold (MLS) $230,400 AcadianaMLS
- 2021-02-19 Listed $230,400 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+43.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,110 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…