309 N Polk St · Maysville, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$26,040
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MAYSVILLE MO HOME WITH 1 BEDROOM, FORMAL DINING ROOM, MAIN FLOOR LAUNDRY ROOM AND LOCATED ON . 70 LOT. THERE IS SO MUCH ROOM TO GROW ON THIS PROPERTY. SPEND YOUR SUMMER DAYS ON THIS COVERED FRONT PORCH WHILE YOU WATCH THE SUN GO DOWN.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Formal dining room
- Located on .70 lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $26k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $613 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $26k).
- Recommended offer: $24k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#262 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Maysville R-I (rural): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #64 of 324 in MO (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $180 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $781 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 34.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 100.96%
- DSCR
- 5.49
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $116,582
- List price
- $26,040
- Delta
- -75.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 5.78×
- Total profit
- $34,863
- Equity at exit
- $3,883
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.07×
- Total profit
- $80,720
- Equity at exit
- $2,251
Cash invested: $7,291 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64469
- Home prices YoY
- -5.9%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$137
- Tax from tax record
- −$29 /mo · $350/yr
- Insurance
- −$11
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $613
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,510
- Closing costs
- $781
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 604 S Polk St Unit HZ101 Maysville, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,000 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $26,040 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $26,040 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $26,040 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $28,520 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $28,520 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $28,520 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $28,520 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $28,520 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $28,520 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $28,520 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $28,520 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $28,520 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $28,520 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $28,520 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $28,520 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-16price $28,520 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
MAYSVILLE MO HOME WITH 1 BEDROOM, FORMAL DINING ROOM, MAIN FLOOR LAUNDRY ROOM AND LOCATED ON . 70 LOT. THERE IS SO MUCH ROOM TO GROW ON THIS PROPERTY. SPEND YOUR SUMMER DAYS ON THIS COVERED FRONT PORCH WHILE YOU WATCH THE SUN GO DOWN.
-
2026-04-01$31,000 Active 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
MAYSVILLE MO HOME WITH 1 BEDROOM, FORMAL DINING ROOM, MAIN FLOOR LAUNDRY ROOM AND LOCATED ON . 70 LOT. THERE IS SO MUCH ROOM TO GROW ON THIS PROPERTY. SPEND YOUR SUMMER DAYS ON THIS COVERED FRONT PORCH WHILE YOU WATCH THE SUN GO DOWN.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $350 · $29/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $350 · $29/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,459
- − Property taxes
- −$350
- − Insurance
- −$130
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$960
- − Management
- −$960
- − Depreciation
- −$758
- Taxable income
- $7,384
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,772
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,589/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Maysville R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2920550
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,475
- Composite
- 40.33/100
- National rank
- #3747
- State rank
- #64 of 324 in MO
Livability — Maysville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #262
- US rank
- #12497
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Maysville, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,218
Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,582 people
- By 2030
- 12,539 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 12,429 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 12,259 · -2.6%
- By 2075
- 11,143 · -11.4%
- By 2100
- 9,345 · -25.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.6) · D 18.1% · R 80.7% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.1pp toward R · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -62.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.6 2020: R+59.8 2016: R+59.2 2012: R+42.8 2008: R+25.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -11.27%
- Current HPI
- 181.2765
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-8.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $28,520 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Listed $31,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $350 · +14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…