1216-1 W Lafayette Ave #3 · Baltimore, MD 21217

$40,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,022 sqft · Condo public records · 45 Days on market

Built 1991 $39/sqft · 63% below area $150/mo HOA · 10% of rent ↓ 35% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Rent growth +4.2/5.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

ONLINE AUCTION: Bidding begins 6/3/2026 @ 10:00 AM. Bidding ends 6/5/2026 @ 12:30 PM. List Price is Suggested Opening Bid. Deposit: $5,000. Condominium located in the Sandtown-Winchester area. In close proximity to both Lafayette Square Park & Harlem Square Park. Easy access to major traffic artery N Fremont Ave. Property is Vacant.

Key facts

• $150 HOA
• Built 1991
• Listed 45 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Fee simple ownership
• HOA & community: Monthly condo/coop fee of $150 (fee includes other items; association amenities listed as other)

Exterior

• Parking: On-street parking
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
• Home design: Garden-style building (1–4 floors); Unit/flat; Entry on the 2nd floor; Brick construction
• Construction: Brick construction; Above-grade and below-grade structures noted
• Exterior features: Located within city limits; Ground rent paid annually

Interior

• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level; 1 full bathroom total
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling; Natural gas hot water
• Interior features: Unfinished basement
• Laundry & utility: No in-unit washer/dryer hookups

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $40k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $766 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
• Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 29.3% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
• Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 331 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $1,546/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 2921% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $38,800 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.87% ✓
• Cap rate: 29.26%
• Cash-on-cash: 82.03%
• DSCR: 4.65
• GRM: 2.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $108,202
• List price: $40,000
• Delta: -63.03%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 87.2%
• Equity multiple: 5.31×
• Total profit: $48,269
• Equity at exit: $5,964

10-year hold

• IRR: 91.2%
• Equity multiple: 12.72×
• Total profit: $131,251
• Equity at exit: $3,458

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State Maryland: 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City Baltimore: 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58

Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 21217

• Rents YoY: 6.6%
• Active inventory: 331
• Price-to-rent: 2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,546 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$210
• Tax from tax record: −$80 /mo · $955/yr
• Insurance: −$17
• HOA: −$150
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$325
• Net cashflow: $766

Break-even live

Break-even rent $577

Max offer price $40,000

Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $788	-5% $777	+0% $766	+5% $754	+10% $743
Rent	-10% $643	-5% $705	+0% $766	+5% $827	+10% $888
Rate	-1.0pp $786	-0.5pp $776	base $766	+0.5pp $755	+1.0pp $745

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $10,000
• Closing costs: $1,200
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1339 W Lafayette Ave #1 Baltimore, MD	2.0	2.0	700	$1,600	$2.29	13d	1	0.10mi
1315 Harlem Ave Unit C Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.0	900	$1,425	$1.58	44d	1	0.18mi
1315 Harlem Ave Unit B Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.0	900	$1,425	$1.58	24d	1	0.18mi
1049 Brantley Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.0	1200	$1,350	$1.12	24d	1	0.24mi
1346 N Carey St Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.5	1100	$1,500	$1.36	44d	1	0.40mi
813 N Fulton Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.0	1200	$1,350	$1.12	44d	1	0.41mi
1110 Shields Pl Unit 1129 Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.0	770	$1,100	$1.43	44d	1	0.42mi
1534 N Stricker St Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.5	900	$1,475	$1.64	15d	1	0.56mi
1519 Penrose Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1200	$1,875	$1.56	44d	1	0.57mi
1306 McCulloh St #1 Baltimore, MD	1.0	1.0	750	$1,200	$1.60	44d	1	0.58mi
1562 N Woodyear St Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.5	788	$1,325	$1.68	24d	1	0.58mi
1409 McCulloh St Unit McCulloh UA Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.5	1080	$1,550	$1.44	44d	1	0.59mi
1433 N Fulton Ave Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.0	1200	$1,500	$1.25	44d	1	0.59mi
1506 Madison Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD	1.0	1.0	1300	$1,400	$1.08	3d	1	0.61mi
1524 Madison Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD	2.0	2.0	800	$1,600	$2.00	24d	1	0.61mi
2028 Druid Hill Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.5	1437	$1,750	$1.22	3d	1	0.62mi
2028 Druid Hill Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.5	1437	$1,799	$1.25	11d	1	0.62mi
1614 N Calhoun St Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.0	950	$1,300	$1.37	44d	1	0.62mi
1920 McCulloh St Apt 2 Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,450	$1.45	44d	1	0.62mi
1909 McCulloh St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.0	717	$1,300	$1.81	24d	1	0.64mi
101 N Schroeder St Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.0–2.0	1037	$2,481	$2.39	3d	12	0.65mi
1931 McCulloh St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,500	$1.50	44d	1	0.65mi
1846 W Saratoga St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.0	1250	$1,300	$1.04	44d	1	0.67mi
1410 Eutaw Pl Unit 6 Baltimore, MD	1.0	1.0	750	$1,500	$2.00	44d	1	0.68mi
28 N Norris St Baltimore, MD	1.0	2.0	700	$1,450	$2.07	44d	1	0.68mi
2037 McCulloh St Unit 3 Baltimore, MD	2.0	2.0	937	$1,650	$1.76	18d	1	0.69mi
1310 Eutaw Pl Unit 4 Baltimore, MD	1.0	1.0	1100	$1,500	$1.36	44d	1	0.69mi
2143 Druid Hill Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.0	915	$1,400	$1.53	44d	1	0.70mi
519 Sanford Pl Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.0	1300	$1,650	$1.27	17d	1	0.72mi
10 S Carey St Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.0	1140	$1,550	$1.36	24d	1	0.75mi
1501 N Payson St Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.0	1400	$1,550	$1.11	44d	1	0.75mi
1829 Eutaw Pl Unit B Baltimore, MD	2.0	2.0	1278	$2,100	$1.64	5d	1	0.76mi
2012 W Saratoga St Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.0	1300	$1,700	$1.31	24d	1	0.77mi
1624 Westwood Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1000	$1,900	$1.90	44d	1	0.78mi
1123 N Eutaw St Baltimore, MD	2.0	2.0	1052	$1,582	$1.50	5d	4	0.79mi
1601 Frederick Ave Unit 3 Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.0	1050	$1,050	$1.00	5d	1	0.79mi
1729 N Fulton Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1081	$1,795	$1.66	44d	1	0.79mi
307 Dolphin St Baltimore, MD	1.0–3.0	1.0	732	$1,624	$2.22	18d	3	0.79mi
1000 Hollins St Unit 1000 Hollins Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.5	1472	$2,600	$1.77	45d	1	0.80mi
1806 N Mount St Baltimore, MD	3.0	3.0	1200	$1,700	$1.42	20d	1	0.80mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $150 · $1,800/yr
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 26 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $40,000 Active 45 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $40,000 Active 44 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $40,000 Active 43 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $40,000 Active 42 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $40,000 Active 40 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $40,000 Active 36 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $40,000 Active 35 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $40,000 Active 34 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $40,000 Active 31 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $40,000 Active 30 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $40,000 Active 29 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $40,000 Active 28 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $40,000 Active 27 DOM
14. 2026-05-04
    listed $60,000 Active 342-char remark
15. 2023-05-31
    historical
16. 2023-05-24
    price $65,000
17. 2023-05-16
    price $140,000
18. 2023-04-14
    listed $70,000 Active
19. 2021-03-29
    soldstatus $54,000
20. 2020-08-20
    historical
21. 2020-04-15
    listed $30,000 Active
22. 2014-10-14
    historical
23. 2014-06-13
    soldstatus $7,800 Sold
24. 2014-05-08
    status Contract
25. 2014-04-24
    listed $5,000 Active
26. 1991-11-12
    soldstatus $61,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $955 · $80/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $955 · $80/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,557
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,241
• − Property taxes: −$955
• − Insurance: −$200
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,485
• − Management: −$1,485
• − HOA: −$1,800
• − Depreciation: −$1,164
• Taxable income: $9,228
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,215
• After-tax cash flow: $6,973/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Baltimore City Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 2400090
• Math proficiency: 7% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 16% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $42,108
• Composite: 10.08/100
• National rank: #9805
• State rank: #24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #90
• US rank: #3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Baltimore, MD
• County: Baltimore City · 558,601 people
• City population: 588,727
• Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
• Population (ZIP): 30,792
• Household income: $38,409
• Rent vs Own: 70.0% rent · 30.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 2921.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 624,249 people
• By 2030: 621,541 · -0.4%
• By 2040: 609,756 · -2.3%
• By 2050: 597,249 · -4.3%
• By 2075: 552,236 · -11.5%
• By 2100: 513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (81%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 81% White 12% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 1% Hispanic 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, China, South Korea
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -187.20%
• Current HPI: 104.2102
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.63%
• Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.97%
• F500 in state: 12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Aerospace / Defense	1	$71B
▸Utilities	1	$25B
▸Hotels	1	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$7B
▸Real Estate	1	$6B
▸Chemicals	1	$2B

Price history

-35.0% since first listed

14 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-20 Price Changed $40,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2026-05-04 Listed $60,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2023-05-31 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
• 2023-05-24 Price Changed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2023-05-16 Price Changed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2023-04-14 Listed $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2021-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
• 2020-08-20 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
• 2020-04-15 Listed $30,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2014-10-14 Delisted — MRIS
• 2014-06-13 Sold (MLS) $7,800 MRIS
• 2014-05-08 Pending — MRIS
• 2014-04-24 Listed $5,000 MRIS
• 1991-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $61,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $955 · +25.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.