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801 Valley Ave
F Composite 24.66
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Cash flow +0.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$325,000

801 Valley Ave · Needles, CA 92363
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 812 sqft · Other public records · 54 Days on market
Built 1954 1.46 ac lot $400/sqft · 43% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

A truly distinctive multi-parcel estate offering scale, flexibility, and architectural character rarely found at this price point. Set on approximately 1.46 acres across three separate parcels, this one-of-a-kind property delivers a unique blend of residential living and expansive utility—ideal for multi-generational living, creative use, or those seeking space beyond the ordinary. At the heart of the home is a stunning barndominium-style great room, where soaring ceilings, exposed architectural framing, and oversized ceiling fans create a dramatic sense of volume and openness. The space feels both grand and inviting—designed for gathering, entertaining, or reimagining to suit y

Key facts

  • Industrial character
  • Multi parcel estate
  • 1.46 acre lot

Tags

MULTI PARCEL ESTATEBARNDOMINIUM STYLE GREAT ROOMSELF CONTAINED LIVING AREAFULLY FENCED BACKYARDQUONSET STYLE STRUCTUREINDUSTRIAL CHARACTER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is a corner parcel and part of additional parcels; Lot described as over 40,000 sq ft (0-1 unit/acre)
  • HOA & community: Rural community

Exterior

  • Parking: Four garage spaces; Six uncovered parking spaces; Total of ten parking spaces; Garage plus additional/other parking (see remarks)
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: Single-story house; Updated/remodeled condition; No attached units or common walls; Property has a view; Entry level: 1 (front entry)
  • Construction: House structure; Updated/remodeled
  • Exterior features: Open patio; Patio present; No pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Family-style kitchen with dining ell
  • Bedrooms: Five bedrooms on the main level; All bedrooms located on the lower/main floor; Main floor primary bedroom
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One 3/4 bathroom; Bathrooms with tub-shower and separate shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling (see remarks)
  • Interior features: Beamed ceilings; Front entry
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (60.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (65.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $112k (65.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 1.3% vs local median 5.3% in Needles — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#492 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Needles Unified (town): math 22% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #1,194 of 1,400 in CA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Needles Middle (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #419 of 498 statewide, top 85%, 192 students, 80% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $325k implies a 306% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $112,467 (65.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 65% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.35%
Cap rate
1.28%
Cash-on-cash
-17.90%
DSCR
0.20
GRM
24.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$755,276
List price
$325,000
Delta
-56.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.64% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.6%
Equity multiple
0.23×
Total profit
$-69,993
Equity at exit
$121,985
10-year hold
IRR
-8.0%
Equity multiple
-0.08×
Total profit
$-98,057
Equity at exit
$171,013

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92363

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
161
Price-to-rent
24.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,125 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax est. 1.5%
$406 /mo · $4,875/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$-1,358

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,843
Max offer price $128,566
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-1,133 -5% $-1,245 +0% $-1,358 +5% $-1,470 +10% $-1,582
Rent -10% $-1,446 -5% $-1,402 +0% $-1,358 +5% $-1,313 +10% $-1,269
Rate -1.0pp $-1,194 -0.5pp $-1,275 base $-1,358 +0.5pp $-1,442 +1.0pp $-1,527

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
412 D St Needles, CA 2.0 1.0 1096 $1,200 $1.09 15d 1 0.13mi
110 S L St Needles, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 45d 1 0.69mi
214 Spruce St Needles, CA 1.0 1.0 542 $1,100 $2.03 45d 1 0.87mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $325,000 Active 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $325,000 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $325,000 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $325,000 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $325,000 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $325,000 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $325,000 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $325,000 Active 45 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $325,000 Active 43 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $325,000 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $325,000 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $325,000 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $325,000 Active 37 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $325,000 Active 35 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $325,000 Active 34 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $325,000 Active 33 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $325,000 Active 32 DOM
  18. 2026-04-28
    listed $325,000 Active 2096-char remark
  19. 2025-04-14
    historical
  20. 2024-11-17
    listed $450,000 Active
  21. 2008-06-19
    soldstatus $80,000
  22. 1991-01-23
    soldstatus $100,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥116°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,496
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$4,875
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,080
− Management
−$1,080
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable loss
−$22,823
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,478
After-tax cash flow
$-10,813/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Needles Unified
NCES district ID
0626760
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$31,795
Composite
23.35/100
National rank
#13305
State rank
#1194 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Needles

Score
62/100
State rank
#492
US rank
#16661

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Needles, CA
Population (ZIP)
5,392

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 16% Native American 11% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.64%
Current HPI
279.7931
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+225.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $325,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-04-14 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2024-11-17 Listed $450,000 CRMLS
  • 2008-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 1991-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…