151 Barrilleaux St · Lockport, LA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.58%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home situated on a desirable corner lot in Lockport. This property features a large living room, a dedicated office that could serve as a flex space, and a functional layout with plenty of room to spread out. While the home could benefit from some updating, it offers a solid opportunity for a buyer to add their own style and improvements. With generous living space and a great location, you'll also enjoy the added perk of being along the local parade route.
Key facts
- Flex space
- Great location
- Dedicated office
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $410 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
- Recommended offer: $154k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#168 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Lafourche Parish (other): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #22 of 98 in LA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 319 units permitted in Lafourche Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.41%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $182,255
- List price
- $169,000
- Delta
- -7.27%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 616 Tenth St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,651 (-2%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $45 | 92 |
| 207 Ferdinand St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,809 (+8%) | 10mo | $199,000 | $110 | 74 |
| 1113 Catherine St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,730 (+3%) | 3mo | $55,000 | $32 | 60 |
| 612 Ethel St | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,883 (+12%) | 21mo | $175,000 | $93 | 44 |
| 621 Ethel St | 0.33mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,454 (-14%) | 21mo | $172,500 | $119 | 38 |
| 221 N Willow St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,504 (-10%) | 24mo | $150,000 | $100 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,304
- Equity at exit
- $25,198
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $32,298
- Equity at exit
- $14,612
Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70374
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,830 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$886
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $944/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$384
- Net cashflow
- $410
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,250
- Closing costs
- $5,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160 Church St Lockport, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1816 | $1,830 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.11mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $169,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $169,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $169,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $169,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $169,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $169,000 493-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Spacious 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home situated on a desirable corner lot in Lockport. This property features a large living room, a dedicated office that could serve as a flex space, and a functional layout with plenty of room to spread out. While the home could benefit from some updating, it offers a solid opportunity for a buyer to add their own style and improvements. With generous living space and a great location, you’ll also enjoy the added perk of being along the local parade route.
-
2026-05-05price $169,000 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Spacious 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home situated on a desirable corner lot in Lockport. This property features a large living room, a dedicated office that could serve as a flex space, and a functional layout with plenty of room to spread out. While the home could benefit from some updating, it offers a solid opportunity for a buyer to add their own style and improvements. With generous living space and a great location, you’ll also enjoy the added perk of being along the local parade route.
-
2026-03-17$179,000 Active 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
Spacious 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home situated on a desirable corner lot in Lockport. This property features a large living room, a dedicated office that could serve as a flex space, and a functional layout with plenty of room to spread out. While the home could benefit from some updating, it offers a solid opportunity for a buyer to add their own style and improvements. With generous living space and a great location, you'll also enjoy the added perk of being along the local parade route.
-
2026-03-17$179,000 Active 493-char remark
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
Spacious 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home situated on a desirable corner lot in Lockport. This property features a large living room, a dedicated office that could serve as a flex space, and a functional layout with plenty of room to spread out. While the home could benefit from some updating, it offers a solid opportunity for a buyer to add their own style and improvements. With generous living space and a great location, you'll also enjoy the added perk of being along the local parade route.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $944 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $944 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 58% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,960
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,467
- − Property taxes
- −$944
- − Insurance
- −$845
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,757
- − Management
- −$1,757
- − Depreciation
- −$4,916
- Taxable income
- $2,274
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$546
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,378/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafourche Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200900
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -43.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,703
- Composite
- 34.4/100
- National rank
- #5205
- State rank
- #22 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lockport
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #168
- US rank
- #14113
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lockport, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,506
Population outlook (Lafourche County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,122 people
- By 2030
- 103,361 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 104,401 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 102,795 · +0.7%
- By 2075
- 95,599 · -6.4%
- By 2100
- 82,303 · -19.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 18%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafourche
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.1) · D 18.4% · R 80.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.0pp · 2024: -62.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.1 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+48.5 2008: R+46.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.36%
- Current HPI
- 99.1459
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-5.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $169,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $169,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-17 Listed $179,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-17 Listed $179,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+38.6%/yrLatest (2024): $944 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…