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151 Barrilleaux St
C+ Composite 62.68
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.8/15.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,000

151 Barrilleaux St · Lockport, LA 70374
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 94 Days on market
Built 1965 5,662 sqft lot $101/sqft · 23% above area Est $182k · 7% under ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home situated on a desirable corner lot in Lockport. This property features a large living room, a dedicated office that could serve as a flex space, and a functional layout with plenty of room to spread out. While the home could benefit from some updating, it offers a solid opportunity for a buyer to add their own style and improvements. With generous living space and a great location, you'll also enjoy the added perk of being along the local parade route.

Key facts

  • Flex space
  • Great location
  • Dedicated office

Tags

CORNER LOTDEDICATED OFFICEFLEX SPACEGREAT LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $410 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#168 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lafourche Parish (other): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #22 of 98 in LA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 319 units permitted in Lafourche Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $153,790 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
9.21%
Cash-on-cash
10.41%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$182,255
List price
$169,000
Delta
-7.27%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
616 Tenth St 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,651 (-2%) 2mo $75,000 $45 92
207 Ferdinand St 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,809 (+8%) 10mo $199,000 $110 74
1113 Catherine St 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,730 (+3%) 3mo $55,000 $32 60
612 Ethel St 0.29mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,883 (+12%) 21mo $175,000 $93 44
621 Ethel St 0.33mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,454 (-14%) 21mo $172,500 $119 38
221 N Willow St 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,504 (-10%) 24mo $150,000 $100 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,304
Equity at exit
$25,198
10-year hold
IRR
8.9%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$32,298
Equity at exit
$14,612

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70374

Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,830 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$886
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $944/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$384
Net cashflow
$410

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,311
Max offer price $169,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,250
Closing costs
$5,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
160 Church St Lockport, LA 4.0 2.0 1816 $1,830 $1.01 43d 1 0.11mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $169,000 Active 94 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,000 Active 93 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,000 Active 92 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,000 Active 91 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,000 Active 90 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,000 Active 88 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,000 Active 87 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $169,000 Active 85 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,000 Active 84 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,000 Active 83 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,000 Active 82 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $169,000 Active 79 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,000 Active 78 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,000 Active 77 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,000 Active 76 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,000 Active 75 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $169,000 Active 74 DOM
  18. 2026-05-05
    price $169,000 493-char remark
    Show marketing remark (499 chars)

    Spacious 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home situated on a desirable corner lot in Lockport. This property features a large living room, a dedicated office that could serve as a flex space, and a functional layout with plenty of room to spread out. While the home could benefit from some updating, it offers a solid opportunity for a buyer to add their own style and improvements. With generous living space and a great location, you’ll also enjoy the added perk of being along the local parade route.

  19. 2026-05-05
    price $169,000 499-char remark
    Show marketing remark (499 chars)

    Spacious 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home situated on a desirable corner lot in Lockport. This property features a large living room, a dedicated office that could serve as a flex space, and a functional layout with plenty of room to spread out. While the home could benefit from some updating, it offers a solid opportunity for a buyer to add their own style and improvements. With generous living space and a great location, you’ll also enjoy the added perk of being along the local parade route.

  20. 2026-03-17
    listed $179,000 Active 499-char remark
    Show marketing remark (493 chars)

    Spacious 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home situated on a desirable corner lot in Lockport. This property features a large living room, a dedicated office that could serve as a flex space, and a functional layout with plenty of room to spread out. While the home could benefit from some updating, it offers a solid opportunity for a buyer to add their own style and improvements. With generous living space and a great location, you'll also enjoy the added perk of being along the local parade route.

  21. 2026-03-17
    listed $179,000 Active 493-char remark
    Show marketing remark (493 chars)

    Spacious 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home situated on a desirable corner lot in Lockport. This property features a large living room, a dedicated office that could serve as a flex space, and a functional layout with plenty of room to spread out. While the home could benefit from some updating, it offers a solid opportunity for a buyer to add their own style and improvements. With generous living space and a great location, you'll also enjoy the added perk of being along the local parade route.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$944 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$944 · $79/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 58% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,960
− Mortgage interest
−$9,467
− Property taxes
−$944
− Insurance
−$845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,757
− Management
−$1,757
− Depreciation
−$4,916
Taxable income
$2,274
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$546
After-tax cash flow
$4,378/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lafourche Parish
NCES district ID
2200900
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -43.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -32.00%
Median HH income
$49,703
Composite
34.4/100
National rank
#5205
State rank
#22 of 98 in LA

Livability — Lockport

Score
64/100
State rank
#168
US rank
#14113

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lockport, LA
Population (ZIP)
6,506

Population outlook (Lafourche County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
102,122 people
By 2030
103,361 · +1.2%
By 2040
104,401 · +2.2%
By 2050
102,795 · +0.7%
By 2075
95,599 · -6.4%
By 2100
82,303 · -19.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 18%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lafourche

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.1) · D 18.4% · R 80.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-16.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.0pp · 2024: -62.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.1 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+48.5 2008: R+46.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.36%
Current HPI
99.1459
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $169,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $169,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $179,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $179,000 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

+38.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $944 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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