1002 E 3rd St · Okmulgee, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.2/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home sits on just over 1/4 acre parcel. It has 4 Bedrooms, 2 full baths and 1/2 bath. It has a large kitchen w/ island and built in oven/range. Separate Utility room, 2 car garage, parking in front of home and a large fenced side yard. Easy access to restaurants and convenient stores. This would make an excellent location for converting to a business located in a very visible location next to HWY 75. Qualifies for commercial zoning.
Key facts
- 1/4 acre parcel
- Fenced side yard
- Large kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax information available
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Two garage spaces; Garage faces side; Asphalt driveway
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Fiber optic available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story; Faces north; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built per public records
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Shed(s); Chain-link fencing; Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in oven; Oven; Range; Stove
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Hall bath and full bath on the first level
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Laminate counters; Electric oven and range connections; Vinyl and wood-frame windows; No additional interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Utility room on the first level (inside)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $234 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $139k).
- Recommended offer: $122k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#300 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Okmulgee (town): math 3% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #264 of 270 in OK (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Okmulgee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Okmulgee County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 162 days — a 12% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $102k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 162 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.21%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $180,910
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1343 E 9th St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 2,176 (-5%) | 19mo | $110,000 | $51 | 48 |
| 1329 E 10th St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 2,217 (-3%) | 23mo | $175,000 | $79 | 47 |
| 1303 E 8th St S | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 2,005 (-12%) | 13mo | $179,000 | $89 | 42 |
| 711 N Grand Ave | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,228 (-3%) | 16mo | $161,000 | $72 | 41 |
| 908 S Miami Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 2,340 (+2%) | 22mo | $185,000 | $79 | 40 |
| 704 E 12th St | 0.61mi | 3/3.0 | 1,988 (-13%) | 14mo | $37,500 | $19 | 38 |
| 1601 E 6th St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 2,020 (-12%) | 10mo | $220,000 | $109 | 34 |
| 322 S Porter Ave | 0.62mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,949 (-15%) | 1mo | $202,500 | $104 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-7,650
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $12,409
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74447
- Home prices YoY
- -3.6%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,408 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$91 /mo · $1,093/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $234
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $139,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 145 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-02-11price $139,000
-
2026-01-07$145,000 Active
-
2022-08-16soldstatus $102,000
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2022-08-12soldstatus $102,000 Closed 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
This home sits on just over 1/4 acre parcel. It has 4 Bedrooms, 2 full baths and 1/2 bath. It has a large kitchen w/ island and built in oven/range. Separate Utility room, 2 car garage, parking in front of home and a large fenced side yard. Easy access to restaurants and convenient stores. This would make an excellent location for converting to a business located in a very visible location next to HWY 75. Qualifies for commercial zoning.
-
2022-05-25status Pending 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
This home sits on just over 1/4 acre parcel. It has 4 Bedrooms, 2 full baths and 1/2 bath. It has a large kitchen w/ island and built in oven/range. Separate Utility room, 2 car garage, parking in front of home and a large fenced side yard. Easy access to restaurants and convenient stores. This would make an excellent location for converting to a business located in a very visible location next to HWY 75. Qualifies for commercial zoning.
-
2022-05-11$120,000 Active 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
This home sits on just over 1/4 acre parcel. It has 4 Bedrooms, 2 full baths and 1/2 bath. It has a large kitchen w/ island and built in oven/range. Separate Utility room, 2 car garage, parking in front of home and a large fenced side yard. Easy access to restaurants and convenient stores. This would make an excellent location for converting to a business located in a very visible location next to HWY 75. Qualifies for commercial zoning.
-
2018-12-05historical
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2018-06-05$75,500 Active
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2018-06-05historical
-
2018-04-11price $75,500
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2017-12-05$82,900 Active
-
2006-01-14soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,093 · $91/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,251 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$158/yr (+$13/mo · 14.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,890
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$1,093
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,351
- − Management
- −$1,351
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $570
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$137
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,671/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Okmulgee
- NCES district ID
- 4022800
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 7% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,078
- Composite
- 3.66/100
- National rank
- #10069
- State rank
- #264 of 270 in OK
Livability — Okmulgee
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #300
- US rank
- #17773
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Okmulgee, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,500
Population outlook (Okmulgee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,543 people
- By 2030
- 36,528 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 34,430 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 32,498 · -13.4%
- By 2075
- 28,814 · -23.3%
- By 2100
- 25,193 · -32.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Native American 15% Two or more races 15% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Okmulgee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.7) · D 27.7% · R 70.4% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.7pp toward R · 2008: -17.0pp · 2024: -42.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.7 2020: R+37.1 2016: R+32.7 2012: R+17.5 2008: R+17.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.69%
- Current HPI
- 257.2856
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+85.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $139,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-01-07 Listed $145,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
- 2022-08-12 Sold (MLS) $102,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-05-25 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-05-11 Listed $120,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2018-12-05 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2018-06-05 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2018-06-05 Listed $75,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2018-04-11 Price Changed $75,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2017-12-05 Listed $82,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2006-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,093 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…