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1002 E 3rd St
C Composite 58.41
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.2/10.0

$139,000

1002 E 3rd St · Okmulgee, OK 74447
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,290 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 162 Days on market
Built 1925 0.29 ac lot Est $181k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home sits on just over 1/4 acre parcel. It has 4 Bedrooms, 2 full baths and 1/2 bath. It has a large kitchen w/ island and built in oven/range. Separate Utility room, 2 car garage, parking in front of home and a large fenced side yard. Easy access to restaurants and convenient stores. This would make an excellent location for converting to a business located in a very visible location next to HWY 75. Qualifies for commercial zoning.

Key facts

  • 1/4 acre parcel
  • Fenced side yard
  • Large kitchen

Tags

1/4 ACRE PARCELLARGE KITCHENBUILT IN OVENFENCED SIDE YARDCOMMERCIAL ZONING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax information available

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Two garage spaces; Garage faces side; Asphalt driveway
  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Fiber optic available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-story; Faces north; Crawlspace foundation
  • Construction: Wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built per public records
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Shed(s); Chain-link fencing; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in oven; Oven; Range; Stove
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Hall bath and full bath on the first level
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Laminate counters; Electric oven and range connections; Vinyl and wood-frame windows; No additional interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Utility room on the first level (inside)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $234 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $139k).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#300 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Okmulgee (town): math 3% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #264 of 270 in OK (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Okmulgee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Okmulgee County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 162 days — a 12% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $102k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $122,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 162 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.31%
Cash-on-cash
7.21%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$180,910
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1343 E 9th St 0.51mi 3/2.0 2,176 (-5%) 19mo $110,000 $51 48
1329 E 10th St 0.53mi 3/2.0 2,217 (-3%) 23mo $175,000 $79 47
1303 E 8th St S 0.39mi 3/1.0 2,005 (-12%) 13mo $179,000 $89 42
711 N Grand Ave 0.69mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,228 (-3%) 16mo $161,000 $72 41
908 S Miami Ave 0.72mi 3/2.0 2,340 (+2%) 22mo $185,000 $79 40
704 E 12th St 0.61mi 3/3.0 1,988 (-13%) 14mo $37,500 $19 38
1601 E 6th St 0.68mi 3/1.5 2,020 (-12%) 10mo $220,000 $109 34
322 S Porter Ave 0.62mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,949 (-15%) 1mo $202,500 $104 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.3%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-7,650
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$12,409
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74447

Home prices YoY
-3.6%
Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,408 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$91 /mo · $1,093/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$234

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,111
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 162 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,000 Active 161 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active 160 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 159 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 157 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $139,000 Active 156 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active 153 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 152 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 151 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active 150 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,000 Active 147 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active 146 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 145 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 144 DOM
  15. 2026-02-11
    price $139,000
  16. 2026-01-07
    listed $145,000 Active
  17. 2022-08-16
    soldstatus $102,000
  18. 2022-08-12
    soldstatus $102,000 Closed 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    This home sits on just over 1/4 acre parcel. It has 4 Bedrooms, 2 full baths and 1/2 bath. It has a large kitchen w/ island and built in oven/range. Separate Utility room, 2 car garage, parking in front of home and a large fenced side yard. Easy access to restaurants and convenient stores. This would make an excellent location for converting to a business located in a very visible location next to HWY 75. Qualifies for commercial zoning.

  19. 2022-05-25
    status Pending 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    This home sits on just over 1/4 acre parcel. It has 4 Bedrooms, 2 full baths and 1/2 bath. It has a large kitchen w/ island and built in oven/range. Separate Utility room, 2 car garage, parking in front of home and a large fenced side yard. Easy access to restaurants and convenient stores. This would make an excellent location for converting to a business located in a very visible location next to HWY 75. Qualifies for commercial zoning.

  20. 2022-05-11
    listed $120,000 Active 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    This home sits on just over 1/4 acre parcel. It has 4 Bedrooms, 2 full baths and 1/2 bath. It has a large kitchen w/ island and built in oven/range. Separate Utility room, 2 car garage, parking in front of home and a large fenced side yard. Easy access to restaurants and convenient stores. This would make an excellent location for converting to a business located in a very visible location next to HWY 75. Qualifies for commercial zoning.

  21. 2018-12-05
    historical
  22. 2018-06-05
    listed $75,500 Active
  23. 2018-06-05
    historical
  24. 2018-04-11
    price $75,500
  25. 2017-12-05
    listed $82,900 Active
  26. 2006-01-14
    soldstatus $75,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,093 · $91/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,251 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$158/yr (+$13/mo · 14.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,890
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$1,093
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,351
− Management
−$1,351
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$570
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$137
After-tax cash flow
$2,671/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Okmulgee
NCES district ID
4022800
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
7% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$31,078
Composite
3.66/100
National rank
#10069
State rank
#264 of 270 in OK

Livability — Okmulgee

Score
61/100
State rank
#300
US rank
#17773

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Okmulgee, OK
Population (ZIP)
15,500

Population outlook (Okmulgee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,543 people
By 2030
36,528 · -2.7%
By 2040
34,430 · -8.3%
By 2050
32,498 · -13.4%
By 2075
28,814 · -23.3%
By 2100
25,193 · -32.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Native American 15% Two or more races 15% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Okmulgee

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.7) · D 27.7% · R 70.4% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-25.7pp toward R · 2008: -17.0pp · 2024: -42.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.7 2020: R+37.1 2016: R+32.7 2012: R+17.5 2008: R+17.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -9.69%
Current HPI
257.2856
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+85.3% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-11 Price Changed $139,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-01-07 Listed $145,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
  • 2022-08-12 Sold (MLS) $102,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-05-25 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-05-11 Listed $120,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2018-12-05 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2018-06-05 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2018-06-05 Listed $75,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2018-04-11 Price Changed $75,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2017-12-05 Listed $82,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2006-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,093 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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