5757 Gage Ln #102 · Lely, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Wonderful south central Naples location at Augusta Court. This complex sits back off of the road and overlooks green space from the lanai. The carport and covered storage are between the condo and the road. This 2 bedroom condo is beautifully updated with new kitchen, updated baths, wood look tile flooring, raised kitchen ceiling, and granite counters. Freshly painted with soft beachy colors. Another great feature is hurricane windows. Super convenient first floor location (did not flood) with easy access from covered parking to front door. Low maintenance fees with nice amenities in a friendly, residential complex.
Key facts
- Hurricane windows
- Low maintenance fees
- Nice amenities
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community pool; Clubhouse; Bocce; Barbecue; Bike storage
Exterior
- Parking: 1 garage space; 1 carport space
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: No additional utility details provided
- Home design: Condominium; Shingle roof; Pets allowed with approval
- Construction: Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Lanai; Mid-street location; Not on waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Assigned storage space; Electric shutters
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $229k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $465 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $229k).
- Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#586 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Lely Elementary School (math 45% / reading 46%, grade D-, #1,247 of 2,144 statewide, top 59%, 499 students, 62% FRL); Manatee Middle School (math 61% / reading 43%, grade C+, #217 of 571 statewide, top 40%, 749 students, 64% FRL); Lely High School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #304 of 667 statewide, top 47%, 1,504 students, 54% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 46% at this address vs 58% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Collier average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 598 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,347/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 954% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 213 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 213 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.94%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,865
- Equity at exit
- $34,145
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.25×
- Total profit
- $80,162
- Equity at exit
- $19,800
Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34113
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 598
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,347 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,201
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$286 /mo · $3,435/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$530
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$703
- Net cashflow
- $465
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $623 | -5% $544 | +0% $465 | +5% $386 | +10% $307 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $200 | -5% $333 | +0% $465 | +5% $597 | +10% $729 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $580 | -0.5pp $523 | base $465 | +0.5pp $406 | +1.0pp $345 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,250
- Closing costs
- $6,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 905 Augusta Blvd Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,850 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 940 Augusta Blvd Unit D939 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $2,200 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 709 Augusta Blvd Unit 709-5 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $4,000 | $2.70 | 15d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 5857 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd #208 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $3,000 | $2.65 | 15d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 705 Augusta Blvd Unit 705-5 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $2,000 | $1.78 | 15d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 701 Augusta Blvd Unit 701-8 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $4,800 | $3.84 | 15d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 4556 Andover Way Unit E106 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $1,900 | $1.62 | 15d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 4556 Andover Way Unit E104 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $5,000 | $4.66 | 15d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 5841 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd Unit 2 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $2,500 | $2.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 5841 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd Unit I-203 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $3,500 | $3.45 | 15d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 5651 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd Unit C-108 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,800 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 605 Augusta Blvd #4 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $3,950 | $3.51 | 15d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 605 Augusta Blvd #14 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $4,000 | $3.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 760 Augusta Blvd Unit D204 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1294 | $2,300 | $1.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 575 Augusta Blvd Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 555 Augusta Blvd Unit 3-1 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1249 | $4,200 | $3.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 5635 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd Apt 203D Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,700 | $1.61 | 22d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 413 Augusta Blvd #302 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $5,500 | $3.96 | 22d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 5535 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd #302 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1205 | $2,800 | $2.32 | 25d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 5502 Greenwood Cir #1 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,400 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 520 Augusta Blvd Unit B204 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1294 | $2,200 | $1.70 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 5778 Greenwood Cir Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $4,000 | $2.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 265 Deerwood Cir Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1179 | $5,000 | $4.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 5733 Deauville Cir Unit G308 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1427 | $3,600 | $2.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5595 Greenwood Cir #92 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $5,000 | $3.45 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5741 Deauville Cir Unit F108 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1427 | $3,600 | $2.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 5499 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1071 | $1,775 | $1.66 | 15d | 2 | 0.64mi |
| 5932 Cranbrook Way Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $2,200 | $1.68 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3655 Amberly Cir Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $2,500 | $2.06 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5708 Deauville Cir Unit 308 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $4,500 | $3.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4410 Chantelle Dr Unit H-205 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $3,500 | $2.59 | 15d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3685 Amberly Cir Unit D305 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $5,100 | $3.86 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5754 Deauville Cir Unit E104 Naples, FL | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,190 | $0.98 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5908 Cranbrook Way Unit I202 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $2,500 | $1.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 332 Charlemagne Blvd Unit H103 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $3,495 | $3.23 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 332 Charlemagne Blvd Unit H101 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $3,500 | $3.23 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5419 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd Unit 307F Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1071 | $1,950 | $1.82 | 15d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 360 Charlemagne Blvd Unit D105 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $3,200 | $2.96 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 5792 Deauville Cir Unit A103 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $3,900 | $3.23 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 6072 Polly Ave Naples, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,800 | $2.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $229,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $229,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $229,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $229,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $229,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $229,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $229,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $229,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $229,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $229,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $229,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $229,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $229,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-04-13price $229,000
-
2026-02-18price $249,000
-
2026-01-05price $260,000
-
2025-11-19$265,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,161
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,828
- − Property taxes
- −$3,435
- − Insurance
- −$1,942
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,213
- − Management
- −$3,213
- − HOA
- −$6,360
- − Depreciation
- −$6,662
- Taxable income
- $2,508
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$602
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,977/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lely
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #586
- US rank
- #11224
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lely, FL
- County
- Collier County · 396,295 people
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,056
- Household income
- $81,674
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 954.0
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 10% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 24% French/Haitian/Cajun 9% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -194.86%
- Current HPI
- 279.4232
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.59%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-13.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $229,000 MIML
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $249,000 MIML
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $260,000 MIML
- 2025-11-19 Listed $265,000 MIML
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…