420 Woodward St · Amory, MS
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$91,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Calling first time homebuyers or investors. Come see this 3 bedroom, 1 bath house located on corner lot. This home offers new floors throughout w/ fenced-in backyard. Please call to set up your showing today. Information is deemed reliable, but is not guaranteed.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Laundry room
- Patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual property tax listed as $1,445.53
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport
- Home design: Single-family residential property
- Construction: Brick construction; Built on a slab foundation
- Exterior features: Lot measures approximately 85 x 120 (about 0.3 acre)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Total of 5 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $91k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-256 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $46k (49.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($945 rent vs $91k).
- Recommended offer: $46k (49.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#76 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Amory School District (town): math 44% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #34 of 130 in MS (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $629 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $91k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.05%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $67,977
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Green Cv | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,129 (+5%) | 22mo | $71,078 | $63 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -38.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.21×
- Total profit
- $-30,784
- Equity at exit
- $13,568
- IRR
- -53.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.84×
- Total profit
- $-46,782
- Equity at exit
- $7,868
Cash invested: $25,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38821
- Home prices YoY
- -18.1%
- Active inventory
- 101
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $945 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$477
- Tax from tax record
- −$61 /mo · $730/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$199
- Net cashflow
- $-256
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,750
- Closing costs
- $2,730
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $91,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $91,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 423-char remark
-
2026-06-16$91,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $730 · $61/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $730 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,344
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,097
- − Property taxes
- −$730
- − Insurance
- −$5,574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$908
- − Management
- −$908
- − Depreciation
- −$2,647
- Taxable loss
- −$4,519
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,084
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,983/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Amory School District
- NCES district ID
- 2800450
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,071
- Composite
- 36.17/100
- National rank
- #4733
- State rank
- #34 of 130 in MS
Livability — Amory
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #76
- US rank
- #10386
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Amory, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,417
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,903 people
- By 2030
- 32,612 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 29,761 · -12.2%
- By 2050
- 26,788 · -21.0%
- By 2075
- 20,058 · -40.8%
- By 2100
- 14,566 · -57.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Scottish 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.7% · R 67.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.7pp toward R · 2008: -17.2pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+30.7 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+15.9 2008: R+17.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.08%
- Current HPI
- 141.0581
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+266.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $91,000 NEMSBD
- 2023-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
- 2023-02-16 Sold (MLS) — NEMSBD
- 2023-01-11 Listed $95,000 NEMSBD
- 2020-07-15 Sold (MLS) — NEMSBD
- 2020-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
- 2019-11-05 Listed $75,000 NEMSBD
- 2017-02-07 Sold (MLS) — NEMSBD
- 2017-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
- 2016-05-24 Listed $64,500 NEMSBD
- 2015-03-23 Sold (MLS) — NEMSBD
- 2015-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
- 2015-01-15 Listed $24,800 NEMSBD
Property tax history
+11.9%/yrLatest (2025): $730 · +12.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…