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420 Woodward St
D+ Composite 48.5
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.6/30.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$91,000

420 Woodward St · Amory, MS 38821
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,079 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1975 0.30 ac lot Est $68k · 34% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Calling first time homebuyers or investors. Come see this 3 bedroom, 1 bath house located on corner lot. This home offers new floors throughout w/ fenced-in backyard. Please call to set up your showing today. Information is deemed reliable, but is not guaranteed.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Laundry room
  • Patio

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANLAUNDRY ROOMFENCED BACKYARDPATIO

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual property tax listed as $1,445.53

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport
  • Home design: Single-family residential property
  • Construction: Brick construction; Built on a slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot measures approximately 85 x 120 (about 0.3 acre)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Total of 5 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $91k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-256 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $46k (49.6% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($945 rent vs $91k).
  • Recommended offer: $46k (49.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#76 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Amory School District (town): math 44% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #34 of 130 in MS (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $629 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $91k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $45,839 (49.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.55%
Cash-on-cash
8.05%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$67,977
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4 Green Cv 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,129 (+5%) 22mo $71,078 $63 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-38.0%
Equity multiple
-0.21×
Total profit
$-30,784
Equity at exit
$13,568
10-year hold
IRR
-53.0%
Equity multiple
-0.84×
Total profit
$-46,782
Equity at exit
$7,868

Cash invested: $25,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38821

Home prices YoY
-18.1%
Active inventory
101
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$945 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$477
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $730/yr
Insurance
$38
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$199
Net cashflow
$-256

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,269
Max offer price $45,839
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,750
Closing costs
$2,730
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $91,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $91,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    remarks 423-char remark
  4. 2026-06-16
    listed $91,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$730 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$730 · $61/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,344
− Mortgage interest
−$5,097
− Property taxes
−$730
− Insurance
−$5,574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$908
− Management
−$908
− Depreciation
−$2,647
Taxable loss
−$4,519
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,084
After-tax cash flow
$-1,983/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Amory School District
NCES district ID
2800450
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,071
Composite
36.17/100
National rank
#4733
State rank
#34 of 130 in MS

Livability — Amory

Score
67/100
State rank
#76
US rank
#10386

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Amory, MS
Population (ZIP)
12,417

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,903 people
By 2030
32,612 · -3.8%
By 2040
29,761 · -12.2%
By 2050
26,788 · -21.0%
By 2075
20,058 · -40.8%
By 2100
14,566 · -57.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Scottish 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.7% · R 67.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.7pp toward R · 2008: -17.2pp · 2024: -35.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.9 2020: R+30.7 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+15.9 2008: R+17.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.08%
Current HPI
141.0581
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+266.9% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $91,000 NEMSBD
  • 2023-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
  • 2023-02-16 Sold (MLS) NEMSBD
  • 2023-01-11 Listed $95,000 NEMSBD
  • 2020-07-15 Sold (MLS) NEMSBD
  • 2020-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
  • 2019-11-05 Listed $75,000 NEMSBD
  • 2017-02-07 Sold (MLS) NEMSBD
  • 2017-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
  • 2016-05-24 Listed $64,500 NEMSBD
  • 2015-03-23 Sold (MLS) NEMSBD
  • 2015-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
  • 2015-01-15 Listed $24,800 NEMSBD

Property tax history

+11.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $730 · +12.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…