415 E Harris Ave · San Angelo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* Reduced Price! * This property is full of potential - with just a little TLC, it can truly shine- perfect for investors or anyone looking for a project with a big upside. Don't miss this 2 bedroom 2 bath home with a water well, metal roof, sprinkler system, tankless water heater and a detached two car garage with tons of extra storage! Located on an amazing lot right in town near Shannon hospital and downtown shopping Go check it out today!!
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Extra storage
- Sprinkler system
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.50%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $125,708
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- -12.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415 E Harris Ave | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,310 (0%) | 1mo | $109,900 | $84 | 99 |
| 407 Koberlin St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 1,347 (+3%) | 5mo | $126,000 | $94 | 78 |
| 119 N Malone St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-5%) | 4mo | $159,500 | $128 | 72 |
| 231 N Malone St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 1,284 (-2%) | 10mo | $187,900 | $146 | 70 |
| 721 Spaulding St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,403 (+7%) | 1mo | $184,900 | $132 | 64 |
| 916 Preusser St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,277 (-2%) | 12mo | $175,000 | $137 | 60 |
| 709 E Harris Ave | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 1,118 (-15%) | 10mo | $155,000 | $139 | 52 |
| 213 N Pope St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-8%) | 14mo | $169,500 | $141 | 48 |
| 1118 Preusser St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,242 (-5%) | 14mo | $151,998 | $122 | 45 |
| 202 S Baze St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,415 (+8%) | 15mo | $252,000 | $178 | 45 |
| 123 S Baze St | 0.50mi | 3/4.0 (+1) | 1,464 (+12%) | 2mo | $179,900 | $123 | 43 |
| 115 W 3rd St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 1,208 (-8%) | 11mo | $154,900 | $128 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $9,848
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.20×
- Total profit
- $67,824
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76903
- Rents YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 227
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,367 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$137 /mo · $1,648/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $320
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 212 Koberlin St San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $945 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1173 Benedict Dr San Angelo, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 868 | $1,213 | $1.40 | 21d | 10 | 0.80mi |
| 15 N Bell St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1288 | $1,850 | $1.44 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 209 West Avenue C Unit A San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1320 Orient St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,595 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1222 S Abe St Unit CK-03 San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1007 | $1,425 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 318 Montague Ave San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,850 | $1.77 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1569 Clayton St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $1,850 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 902 Shiloh St Unit RE-908-16 San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,125 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 902 Shiloh St Unit RE-908-C San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 925 | $1,175 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
* Reduced Price! * This property is full of potential - with just a little TLC, it can truly shine- perfect for investors or anyone looking for a project with a big upside. Don't miss this 2 bedroom 2 bath home with a water well, metal roof, sprinkler system, tankless water heater and a detached two car garage with tons of extra storage! Located on an amazing lot right in town near Shannon hospital and downtown shopping Go check it out today!!
-
2026-04-08price $109,900 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
* Reduced Price! * This property is full of potential - with just a little TLC, it can truly shine- perfect for investors or anyone looking for a project with a big upside. Don't miss this 2 bedroom 2 bath home with a water well, metal roof, sprinkler system, tankless water heater and a detached two car garage with tons of extra storage! Located on an amazing lot right in town near Shannon hospital and downtown shopping Go check it out today!!
-
2025-12-02$119,900 Active 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
* Reduced Price! * This property is full of potential - with just a little TLC, it can truly shine- perfect for investors or anyone looking for a project with a big upside. Don't miss this 2 bedroom 2 bath home with a water well, metal roof, sprinkler system, tankless water heater and a detached two car garage with tons of extra storage! Located on an amazing lot right in town near Shannon hospital and downtown shopping Go check it out today!!
-
2025-10-07status Active
-
2025-10-07price $139,900
-
2025-10-01status Pending
-
2025-08-29price $149,900
-
2025-06-20$164,900 Active
-
2024-11-01soldstatus
-
2020-05-14soldstatus
-
2019-06-26soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,405
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$1,648
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,312
- − Management
- −$1,312
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $2,229
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$535
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,311/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Angelo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838700
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,501
- Composite
- 25.56/100
- National rank
- #7427
- State rank
- #627 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Angelo
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5030
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Angelo, TX
- County
- Tom Green County · 113,188 people
- City population
- 81,357
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,947
- Household income
- $49,498
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1255.0
Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 135,110 people
- By 2030
- 144,090 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 162,561 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 182,158 · +34.8%
- By 2075
- 232,274 · +71.9%
- By 2100
- 268,218 · +98.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 56% White 36% Two or more races 26% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 49% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 33%
Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -164.90%
- Current HPI
- 217.0406
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.46%
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-33.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — SAAR TX
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $109,900 SAAR TX
- 2025-12-02 Listed $119,900 SAAR TX
- 2025-10-07 Relisted — SAAR TX
- 2025-10-07 Price Changed $139,900 SAAR TX
- 2025-10-01 Pending — SAAR TX
- 2025-08-29 Price Changed $149,900 SAAR TX
- 2025-06-20 Listed $164,900 SAAR TX
- 2024-11-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-05-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-06-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+19.8%/yrLatest (2025): $5,744 · +220.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…