1944 W 8th St · New York, NY 11223

$958,888

8 bd · 5.0 ba · 1,264 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 50 Days on market

Built 1925 2,000 sqft lot Est $1478k · 35% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +12.3/30.0
• Rent growth +5.0/5.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• DSCR +3.6/10.0
• 1% rule +2.7/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Welcome to this Semi-Detached 2-Family Home with Finished Basement in the Heart of Gravesend. Located on a quiet, residential block in Gravesend, this solid semi-detached two-family home with a partially finished basement offers tremendous potential for both end-users and investors. With a total of 4 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, this property is perfect for multi-generational living, rental income, or a comfortable primary residence. The home is just a few minutes away from the N train, providing quick access to Manhattan and beyond. You'll also enjoy being close to Avenue U, Kings Highway, and a wide variety of shops, restaurants, and supermarkets. The property sits within a well-regarded s

Key facts

• Finished basement
• 2,000 sq ft lot
• Parking

Tags

• SEMI-DETACHED 2-FAMILY HOME
• FINISHED BASEMENT
• QUIET RESIDENTIAL BLOCK
• WELL-REGARDED SCHOOL DISTRICT
• HIGH-DEMAND NEIGHBORHOOD

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2 × 4.0-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $959k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-183 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-92/mo.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $927k (3.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $739k (23.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $739k (23.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.1%/yr); 216 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $7,386/mo this rent would consume 140% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 6011% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $29k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($930k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $738,600 (23.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
5. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.77% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.06%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.82%
• DSCR: 0.96
• GRM: 10.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $1,477,616
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
431 Kings Hwy	0.47mi	8/2.5	1,240 (-2%)	8mo	$1,450,000	$1,169	59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -12.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.52×
• Total profit: $-128,268
• Equity at exit: $142,973

10-year hold

• IRR: 2.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.19×
• Total profit: $49,885
• Equity at exit: $82,907

Cash invested: $268,489 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 11223

• Rents YoY: 13.1%
• Active inventory: 216
• Price-to-rent: 21.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $7,386 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$5,029
• Tax from tax record: −$590 /mo · $7,079/yr
• Insurance: −$400
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,551
• Net cashflow: $-183

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,618

Max offer price $926,554

Occupancy floor 97%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	4.0	2.5	$7,386
Total (2 units)			$7,386

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $239,722
• Closing costs: $28,767
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2025-11-12
   status Pending
2. 2025-09-23
   listed $958,888 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $7,079 · $590/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $11,642 · $970/mo
• Expected delta: +$4,563/yr (+$380/mo · 64.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $88,632
• − Mortgage interest: −$53,713
• − Property taxes: −$7,079
• − Insurance: −$4,794
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$7,091
• − Management: −$7,091
• − Depreciation: −$27,895
• Taxable loss: −$19,030
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$4,567
• After-tax cash flow: $2,371/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Kings County · 2,614,986 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 78,093
• Household income: $63,368
• Rent vs Own: 63.9% rent · 36.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 6011.0

Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,847,441 people
• By 2030: 2,937,006 · +3.1%
• By 2040: 3,095,491 · +8.7%
• By 2050: 3,228,968 · +13.4%
• By 2075: 3,321,723 · +16.7%
• By 2100: 3,111,387 · +9.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
• Race & ethnicity: White 51% Asian 26% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 5% Two or more races 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
• Common ancestry: Scotch-Irish 4% Subsaharan African 4% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 46% · China, Canada, Philippines
• Languages at home: 41% English-only · Chinese 17% Russian/Polish/Slavic 15% Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Kings

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -286.92%
• Current HPI: 430.9891
• Rent YoY: ▲ 13.09%
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2025-11-12 Pending — BNYMLS
• 2025-09-23 Listed $958,888 BNYMLS

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,079 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.