218 Tin Top Rd · Grant, AL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautifully remodeled and updated double wide manufactured home on almost a half acre lot. Home features LVP flooring throughout, all new appliances, freestanding tub in the master bathroom, new roof, new A/C, new water heater, electric fireplace, and large decks on the front and back of the home. There is privacy fencing along the backside of the property and gravel driveway/parking.
Key facts
- Privacy fencing
- New water heater
- New a/c
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $361 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 2.6% in Grant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#235 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Marshall County (rural): math 14% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #86 of 129 in AL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 163 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.37%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-3,734
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $26,449
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35747
- Home prices YoY
- -28.9%
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,900 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $361
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2253 Old Union Rd Grant, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-05days on market $165,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $165,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-04-22price $165,000 387-char remark
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
Beautifully remodeled and updated double wide manufactured home on almost a half acre lot. Home features LVP flooring throughout, all new appliances, freestanding tub in the master bathroom, new roof, new A/C, new water heater, electric fireplace, and large decks on the front and back of the home. There is privacy fencing along the backside of the property and gravel driveway/parking.
-
2026-03-07price $175,000 387-char remark
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
Beautifully remodeled and updated double wide manufactured home on almost a half acre lot. Home features LVP flooring throughout, all new appliances, freestanding tub in the master bathroom, new roof, new A/C, new water heater, electric fireplace, and large decks on the front and back of the home. There is privacy fencing along the backside of the property and gravel driveway/parking.
-
2025-12-05$185,000 Active 387-char remark
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
Beautifully remodeled and updated double wide manufactured home on almost a half acre lot. Home features LVP flooring throughout, all new appliances, freestanding tub in the master bathroom, new roof, new A/C, new water heater, electric fireplace, and large decks on the front and back of the home. There is privacy fencing along the backside of the property and gravel driveway/parking.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$2,475
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,824
- − Management
- −$1,824
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $1,809
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$434
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,894/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This beautifully remodeled double-wide manufactured home is in excellent condition with new appliances, updated bathrooms, and a new roof. The large decks and privacy fencing add to its appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and could attract more buyers
- Both Add a small shed or storage unit — Provides additional storage and could increase rental value
- Both Install a smart home system — Enhances home's features and could attract tech-savvy buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and could attract more buyers ↑
- Both Add a small shed or storage unit — Provides additional storage and could increase rental value ↑
- Both Install a smart home system — Enhances home's features and could attract tech-savvy buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marshall County
- NCES district ID
- 0100006
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,439
- Composite
- 21.88/100
- National rank
- #8234
- State rank
- #86 of 129 in AL
Livability — Grant
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #235
- US rank
- #17358
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,546
Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 97,402 people
- By 2030
- 98,138 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 98,502 · +1.1%
- By 2050
- 97,024 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 89,334 · -8.3%
- By 2100
- 74,749 · -23.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marshall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+71.7) · D 13.8% · R 85.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.4pp toward R · 2008: -56.4pp · 2024: -71.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+71.7 2020: R+68.7 2016: R+69.5 2012: R+60.1 2008: R+56.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.60%
- Current HPI
- 225.7152
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-10.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $165,000 VMLS
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $175,000 VMLS
- 2025-12-05 Listed $185,000 VMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…