512 Virginia Ave · Waxahachie, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.5/15.0
- Cash flow +9.7/30.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come see this beautiful home on a nice corner lot! Lovely second living room with stone fireplace! Updated kitchen with granite counters, SPC waterproof plank flooring, Stainless steel appliances and Updated bathrooms with granite counters! New exterior and interior paint! New flooring including carpet, SPC plank flooring and tile! new Led lighting and windows throughout home as well!! New garage doors with opener and the Foundation done with a life time transferable warranty and New 30 yr roof. Owner finance available with 20% down and 10%interest rate! If coming to Open Houses please respect social distancing and a max of 5 people total in home at a time!! Thanks!!
Key facts
- Second living area
- Stone fireplace
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Accepts Cash, Conventional, and VA financing
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener and double doors (garage faces front); 2 covered parking spaces; No carport spaces
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: City water with individual water meter; City sewer; Curbs; All-weather road
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Entry level: one story; Deed restrictions
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built in 1968
- Exterior features: Covered porch(es); Covered patio/porch; Gutters; Outdoor storage; Chain link and wood fencing; Corner lot with few trees; Utilities easement
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Built-in cabinets; Granite countertops / natural stone
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (level 1) — 13 x 12; Bedroom (level 1) — 10 x 12; Bedroom (level 1) — 10 x 15; Bedroom (level 1) — 10 x 9; Den (level 1) — 21 x 16; Living room (level 1) — 13 x 17
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Luxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Cable TV available; Granite counters; Window coverings; Two living areas; One dining area; 7 total rooms; One-level layout; Wood-burning stone fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-163 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $221k (11.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (11.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $220k (11.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.3% in Waxahachie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#71 in TX, #2,592 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: commute F.
- Waxahachie ISD (suburban): math 45% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #253 of 826 in TX (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Northside El (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #1,006 of 4,322 statewide, top 25%, 523 students, 65% FRL); Finley J H (math 46% / reading 39%, grade D-, #553 of 1,662 statewide, top 34%, 816 students, 49% FRL); Waxahachie H S (math 38% / reading 46%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 2,963 students, 45% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 865 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,016 units permitted in Ellis County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ellis County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.79%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $281,380
- List price
- $250,000
- Delta
- -11.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 Virginia Ave | 0.30mi | 4/2.5 | 1,756 (-3%) | 2mo | $355,000 | $202 | 77 |
| 205 Cynisca St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,794 (-1%) | 1mo | $357,500 | $199 | 73 |
| 710 Mc Murry Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,804 (-1%) | 4mo | $329,000 | $182 | 63 |
| 1610 Alexander Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,878 (+3%) | 2mo | $334,000 | $178 | 62 |
| 503 Tulane Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,549 (-15%) | 3mo | $279,000 | $180 | 58 |
| 206 Vanderbilt Ln | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,698 (-6%) | 0mo | $299,999 | $177 | 58 |
| 1309 Sycamore St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,652 (-9%) | 5mo | $299,000 | $181 | 57 |
| 701 Queens Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,059 (+13%) | 2mo | $343,900 | $167 | 53 |
| 723 Nandina Way | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,691 (-7%) | 7mo | $319,900 | $189 | 52 |
| 109 Dartmouth Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,563 (-14%) | 7mo | $250,000 | $160 | 46 |
| 816 Amherst Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,955 (+8%) | 7mo | $365,000 | $187 | 46 |
| 105 Dartmouth Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,066 (+14%) | 8mo | $289,000 | $140 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.4% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-49,833
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- -12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-52,467
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75165
- Home prices YoY
- -24.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 865
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,204 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$489 /mo · $5,862/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$463
- Net cashflow
- $-163
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-21 | -5% $-92 | +0% $-163 | +5% $-233 | +10% $-304 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-337 | -5% $-250 | +0% $-163 | +5% $-76 | +10% $12 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-37 | -0.5pp $-99 | base $-163 | +0.5pp $-227 | +1.0pp $-293 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 803 Hibiscus Trl Waxahachie, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,975 | $1.46 | 26d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 708 Nandina Way Waxahachie, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $2,395 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 207 Kirksey St Waxahachie, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1436 | $1,795 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 819 Hibiscus Trl Waxahachie, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,975 | $1.46 | 0d | 5 | 0.53mi |
| 104 Auburn St Waxahachie, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1622 | $2,100 | $1.29 | 9d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 117 Solon Rd Waxahachie, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,700 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 224 Patrick St Waxahachie, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1766 | $2,250 | $1.27 | 9d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 113 Monticello Dr Waxahachie, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,995 | $1.42 | 16d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 113 Monticello Dr Waxahachie, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,995 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 112 Savannah St Waxahachie, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1359 | $1,950 | $1.43 | 20d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 101 Wilmington Ave Waxahachie, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1624 | $2,124 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 105 Brandy Ln Unit 1019509P Waxahachie, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2206 | $16,643 | $7.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 105 Brandy Ln Waxahachie, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2216 | $9,750 | $4.40 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 105 Trey Ct Waxahachie, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $2,050 | $1.59 | 26d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 342 Leisure Ln Waxahachie, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1755 | $2,250 | $1.28 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 342 Leisure Ln Waxahachie, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1755 | $2,250 | $1.28 | 1d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 19 Country Club Pl Unit 19 Waxahachie, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $2,195 | $1.47 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 208 Lewis St Waxahachie, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $2,100 | $1.70 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1250 U.S. 287 Waxahachie, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1042 | $2,319 | $2.22 | 1d | 18 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 47 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $250,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $250,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $250,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $250,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16status $250,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $250,000 Active Option Contract 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $250,000 Active Option Contract 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $250,000 Active Option Contract 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $250,000 Active Option Contract 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $250,000 Active Option Contract 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08status $250,000 Active Option Contract 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $250,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $250,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $250,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $250,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02price $250,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $275,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $275,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-04-20$275,000 Active 961-char remark
-
2024-03-29historical $2,250
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2024-02-07$2,250
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2020-06-22soldstatus
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2020-06-17soldstatus Sold 675-char remark
Show marketing remark (675 chars)
Come see this beautiful home on a nice corner lot! Lovely second living room with stone fireplace! Updated kitchen with granite counters, SPC waterproof plank flooring, Stainless steel appliances and Updated bathrooms with granite counters! New exterior and interior paint! New flooring including carpet, SPC plank flooring and tile! new Led lighting and windows throughout home as well!! New garage doors with opener and the Foundation done with a life time transferable warranty and New 30 yr roof. Owner finance available with 20% down and 10%interest rate! If coming to Open Houses please respect social distancing and a max of 5 people total in home at a time!! Thanks!!
-
2020-05-29status Pending 675-char remark
Show marketing remark (675 chars)
Come see this beautiful home on a nice corner lot! Lovely second living room with stone fireplace! Updated kitchen with granite counters, SPC waterproof plank flooring, Stainless steel appliances and Updated bathrooms with granite counters! New exterior and interior paint! New flooring including carpet, SPC plank flooring and tile! new Led lighting and windows throughout home as well!! New garage doors with opener and the Foundation done with a life time transferable warranty and New 30 yr roof. Owner finance available with 20% down and 10%interest rate! If coming to Open Houses please respect social distancing and a max of 5 people total in home at a time!! Thanks!!
-
2020-05-21historical Active Option Contract 675-char remark
Show marketing remark (675 chars)
Come see this beautiful home on a nice corner lot! Lovely second living room with stone fireplace! Updated kitchen with granite counters, SPC waterproof plank flooring, Stainless steel appliances and Updated bathrooms with granite counters! New exterior and interior paint! New flooring including carpet, SPC plank flooring and tile! new Led lighting and windows throughout home as well!! New garage doors with opener and the Foundation done with a life time transferable warranty and New 30 yr roof. Owner finance available with 20% down and 10%interest rate! If coming to Open Houses please respect social distancing and a max of 5 people total in home at a time!! Thanks!!
-
2020-03-11price $199,500 675-char remark
Show marketing remark (675 chars)
Come see this beautiful home on a nice corner lot! Lovely second living room with stone fireplace! Updated kitchen with granite counters, SPC waterproof plank flooring, Stainless steel appliances and Updated bathrooms with granite counters! New exterior and interior paint! New flooring including carpet, SPC plank flooring and tile! new Led lighting and windows throughout home as well!! New garage doors with opener and the Foundation done with a life time transferable warranty and New 30 yr roof. Owner finance available with 20% down and 10%interest rate! If coming to Open Houses please respect social distancing and a max of 5 people total in home at a time!! Thanks!!
-
2020-03-11price $1,999,500 675-char remark
Show marketing remark (675 chars)
Come see this beautiful home on a nice corner lot! Lovely second living room with stone fireplace! Updated kitchen with granite counters, SPC waterproof plank flooring, Stainless steel appliances and Updated bathrooms with granite counters! New exterior and interior paint! New flooring including carpet, SPC plank flooring and tile! new Led lighting and windows throughout home as well!! New garage doors with opener and the Foundation done with a life time transferable warranty and New 30 yr roof. Owner finance available with 20% down and 10%interest rate! If coming to Open Houses please respect social distancing and a max of 5 people total in home at a time!! Thanks!!
-
2020-02-27$209,900 Active 675-char remark
Show marketing remark (675 chars)
Come see this beautiful home on a nice corner lot! Lovely second living room with stone fireplace! Updated kitchen with granite counters, SPC waterproof plank flooring, Stainless steel appliances and Updated bathrooms with granite counters! New exterior and interior paint! New flooring including carpet, SPC plank flooring and tile! new Led lighting and windows throughout home as well!! New garage doors with opener and the Foundation done with a life time transferable warranty and New 30 yr roof. Owner finance available with 20% down and 10%interest rate! If coming to Open Houses please respect social distancing and a max of 5 people total in home at a time!! Thanks!!
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2017-01-12soldstatus
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2017-01-06soldstatus Sold
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Great house for a Rental or 203K project. Near Sagu. Lots of trees. Some updates have been done. One of the sellers has a Texas Real Estate License. .. .. Show during top light hours. .. .No electricity. ..
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2016-12-24status Pending
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Great house for a Rental or 203K project. Near Sagu. Lots of trees. Some updates have been done. One of the sellers has a Texas Real Estate License. .. .. Show during top light hours. .. .No electricity. ..
-
2016-12-16historical Active Option Contract
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Great house for a Rental or 203K project. Near Sagu. Lots of trees. Some updates have been done. One of the sellers has a Texas Real Estate License. .. .. Show during top light hours. .. .No electricity. ..
-
2016-12-01$99,900 Active
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Great house for a Rental or 203K project. Near Sagu. Lots of trees. Some updates have been done. One of the sellers has a Texas Real Estate License. .. .. Show during top light hours. .. .No electricity. ..
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2016-09-01historical
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2016-08-18price $129,000
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2016-08-08price $131,900
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2016-07-19price $135,900
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2016-07-08$139,000 Active
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2016-03-18historical
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2016-01-29$129,000 Active
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2015-05-18historical
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2015-03-20price $121,500
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2014-12-30$127,500 Active
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2010-01-29soldstatus
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2010-01-20soldstatus
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2009-12-07historical
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2009-07-24$80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,862 · $489/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,862 · $489/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,448
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$5,862
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,116
- − Management
- −$2,116
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$6,173
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,481
- After-tax cash flow
- $-469/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waxahachie ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4844730
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,434
- Composite
- 39.14/100
- National rank
- #4034
- State rank
- #253 of 826 in TX
Livability — Waxahachie
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #71
- US rank
- #2592
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waxahachie, TX
- County
- Ellis County · 199,237 people
- City population
- 67,417
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,513
- Household income
- $86,391
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1365.0
Population outlook (Ellis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 194,556 people
- By 2030
- 209,679 · +7.8%
- By 2040
- 238,837 · +22.8%
- By 2050
- 265,451 · +36.4%
- By 2075
- 326,571 · +67.9%
- By 2100
- 362,156 · +86.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 26% Black 14% Two or more races 13%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 15%
Political lean MEDSL · Ellis
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.0% · R 65.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.2pp toward D · 2008: -42.2pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+45.4 2012: R+47.5 2008: R+42.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.58%
- Current HPI
- 255.0247
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.40%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+212.5% since first listed32 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-06-07 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $250,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-20 Listed $275,000 NTREIS
- 2024-03-29 Rental Removed $2,250 NTREIS
- 2024-02-07 Listed for Rent $2,250 NTREIS
- 2020-06-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-06-17 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2020-05-29 Pending — NTREIS
- 2020-05-21 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2020-03-11 Price Changed $199,500 NTREIS
- 2020-03-11 Price Changed $1,999,500 NTREIS
- 2020-02-27 Listed $209,900 NTREIS
- 2017-01-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-01-06 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2016-12-24 Pending — NTREIS
- 2016-12-16 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2016-12-01 Listed $99,900 NTREIS
- 2016-09-01 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2016-08-18 Price Changed $129,000 NTREIS
- 2016-08-08 Price Changed $131,900 NTREIS
- 2016-07-19 Price Changed $135,900 NTREIS
- 2016-07-08 Listed $139,000 NTREIS
- 2016-03-18 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2016-01-29 Listed $129,000 NTREIS
- 2015-05-18 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2015-03-20 Price Changed $121,500 NTREIS
- 2014-12-30 Listed $127,500 NTREIS
- 2010-01-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2010-01-20 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2009-12-07 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2009-07-24 Listed $80,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $5,862 · +16.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…