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124 County Road 466
B- Composite 66.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$68,235

124 County Road 466 · Ben Bolt, TX 78332
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,800 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 286 Days on market
Built 1935 Poor condition 0.34 ac lot $38/sqft · 66% below area ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

JUST LISTED THIS FIXER UPPER! Take a look at this promising fixer-upper opportunity in Alice, Texas! This three-bedroom, two-bathroom home has approximately 1,800 square feet of living space and is located on a large one third of an acre lot that has plenty of room for expansion and outdoor activities. While in need of work and renovations, this property presents the chance to create your dream home. Sold as-is, it offers a blank canvas for customization and transformation into a wonderful living space. This location provides you with direct access to US-281, and easy access to local parks, RV centers, and more! WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream home.

Key facts

  • 0.34 acre lot
  • Built 1935
  • Listed 286 days

Tags

LARGE ONE THIRD ACRE LOTDIRECT ACCESS TO US-281EASY ACCESS TO LOCAL PARKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $709 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
  • Recommended offer: $60k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Ben Bolt-Palito Blanco ISD (rural): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #639 of 826 in TX (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 220 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Jim Wells County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $472 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jim Wells County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 286 days — a 12% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $60,046 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 286 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.13%
Cap rate
18.76%
Cash-on-cash
44.53%
DSCR
2.98
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$200,990
List price
$68,235
Delta
-66.05%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.5%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$34,103
Equity at exit
$10,174
10-year hold
IRR
47.7%
Equity multiple
5.60×
Total profit
$87,851
Equity at exit
$5,900

Cash invested: $19,106 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78332

Active inventory
220
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,452 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$358
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $625/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$305
Net cashflow
$709

Break-even live

Break-even rent $555
Max offer price $68,235
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,059
Closing costs
$2,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $68,235 Active 286 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $68,235 Active 285 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $68,235 Active 284 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $68,235 Active 283 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $68,235 Active 281 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $68,235 Active 280 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $68,235 Active 277 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $68,235 Active 276 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $68,235 Active 275 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $68,235 Active 273 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $68,235 Active 271 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $68,235 Active 270 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $68,235 Active 269 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $68,235 Active 268 DOM
  15. 2026-02-20
    price $68,235 844-char remark
    Show marketing remark (844 chars)

    JUST LISTED THIS FIXER UPPER! Take a look at this promising fixer-upper opportunity in Alice, Texas! This three-bedroom, two-bathroom home has approximately 1,800 square feet of living space and is located on a large one third of an acre lot that has plenty of room for expansion and outdoor activities. While in need of work and renovations, this property presents the chance to create your dream home. Sold as-is, it offers a blank canvas for customization and transformation into a wonderful living space. This location provides you with direct access to US-281, and easy access to local parks, RV centers, and more! WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream home.

  16. 2025-09-05
    listed $73,235 Active 844-char remark
    Show marketing remark (844 chars)

    JUST LISTED THIS FIXER UPPER! Take a look at this promising fixer-upper opportunity in Alice, Texas! This three-bedroom, two-bathroom home has approximately 1,800 square feet of living space and is located on a large one third of an acre lot that has plenty of room for expansion and outdoor activities. While in need of work and renovations, this property presents the chance to create your dream home. Sold as-is, it offers a blank canvas for customization and transformation into a wonderful living space. This location provides you with direct access to US-281, and easy access to local parks, RV centers, and more! WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$625 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,249 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$623/yr (+$52/mo · 99.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,429
− Mortgage interest
−$3,822
− Property taxes
−$625
− Insurance
−$341
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,394
− Management
−$1,394
− Depreciation
−$1,985
Taxable income
$7,867
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,888
After-tax cash flow
$6,620/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This fixer-upper property requires extensive renovations to bring it up to code and improve its safety and aesthetics. The home is in poor condition and presents a significant opportunity for an investor to create a move-in-ready property.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Exposed framing in kitchen and bathrooms — Structural integrity compromised
  • Major Missing cabinets and countertops in kitchen — Basic functionality lost
  • Major Exposed drywall and missing paint in interior walls — Safety hazard and aesthetic issue
  • Major Weathered siding and missing trim — Structural integrity and aesthetics compromised
  • Major Exposed subfloor and missing flooring — Safety hazard and aesthetic issue
  • Major Broken glass in windows — Safety hazard
  • Major Exposed ductwork in HVAC — Safety hazard and functionality compromised

Value-add opportunities

  • Both New roof — Improves safety and aesthetics
  • Both New siding and trim — Improves safety and aesthetics
  • Both New flooring and cabinets — Improves safety and aesthetics
  • Both New drywall and paint — Improves safety and aesthetics
  • Both New windows — Improves safety and aesthetics
  • Both New HVAC system — Improves safety and functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exposed framing in kitchen and bathrooms · Structural integrity compromised Major $15,000–50,000
Missing cabinets and countertops in kitchen · Basic functionality lost Major $15,000–50,000
Exposed drywall and missing paint in interior walls · Safety hazard and aesthetic issue Major $15,000–50,000
Weathered siding and missing trim · Structural integrity and aesthetics compromised Major $15,000–50,000
Exposed subfloor and missing flooring · Safety hazard and aesthetic issue Major $15,000–50,000
Broken glass in windows · Safety hazard Major $15,000–50,000
Exposed ductwork in HVAC · Safety hazard and functionality compromised Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 7 items $105,000–350,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both New roof — Improves safety and aesthetics
  • Both New siding and trim — Improves safety and aesthetics
  • Both New flooring and cabinets — Improves safety and aesthetics
  • Both New drywall and paint — Improves safety and aesthetics
  • Both New windows — Improves safety and aesthetics
  • Both New HVAC system — Improves safety and functionality

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ben Bolt-Palito Blanco ISD
NCES district ID
4809870
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,867
Composite
25.21/100
National rank
#7509
State rank
#639 of 826 in TX

Livability — Ben Bolt

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Ben Bolt, TX
City population
338
Population (ZIP)
27,281

Population outlook (Jim Wells County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
43,325 people
By 2030
44,156 · +1.9%
By 2040
45,790 · +5.7%
By 2050
47,455 · +9.5%
By 2075
51,800 · +19.6%
By 2100
52,006 · +20.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (84%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 84% White 14% Two or more races 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 76%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
50% English-only · Spanish 49%

Political lean MEDSL · Jim Wells

2024 margin
R (+15.5) · D 42.0% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -15.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.5 2020: R+9.8 2016: D+10.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -123.86%
Current HPI
77.6253
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $68,235 HARMLS
  • 2025-09-05 Listed $73,235 HARMLS

Property tax history

-20.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $625 · -20.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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