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404 S Maple St
D Composite 41.41
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.6/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

404 S Maple St · Springfield, GA 31329
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 800 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 89 Days on market
Built 1955 5,227 sqft lot $269/sqft · at area comps Est $226k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Recently updated home on quiet cut-de-sac within walking distance or a golf-cart ride away from Laurel St. , a. k. a. the 'Stars Hollow' of Effingham County, GA! This 3 bed, 1 bath home features beautiful floors and neutral colors throughout. Don't let the square-footage keep you away; the floorplan uses the space well! Enjoy peace and quiet outside on the covered front & back decks, and when you don't feel like cooking, take the golf cart down the road for tacos, burgers, or ice cream! You will love being part of the Springfield community, "the heart of Effingham County. "

Key facts

  • Covered back decks
  • Covered front decks
  • Walking distance

Tags

QUIET CUT-DE-SACWALKING DISTANCECOVERED FRONT DECKSCOVERED BACK DECKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-435/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $209k (3.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (19.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (19.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.2% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#116 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Effingham County (rural): math 49% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #16 of 174 in GA (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 836 units permitted in Effingham County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Effingham County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $115k; list at $215k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 96% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $172,470 (19.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.09%
Cash-on-cash
-0.72%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$225,682
List price
$215,000
Delta
-4.73%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.5%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-37,175
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
-9.6%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-35,456
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31329

Home prices YoY
-14.7%
Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,725 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$182 /mo · $2,180/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$362
Net cashflow
$-36

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,771
Max offer price $208,597
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
309 E 3rd St Springfield, GA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 44d 1 0.10mi
308 E 3rd St Springfield, GA 3.0 1.0 825 $1,200 $1.45 44d 1 0.13mi
402 E 3rd St Unit B Springfield, GA 2.0 2.0 925 $1,300 $1.41 23d 1 0.14mi
301 E Second St Springfield, GA 3.0 1.5 980 $1,295 $1.32 44d 1 0.15mi
141 Oakwood Dr Springfield, GA 3.0 2.0 1094 $1,700 $1.55 44d 1 0.27mi
1018 Poplar Ct Unit A Springfield, GA 2.0 2.0 1061 $1,450 $1.37 44d 1 0.64mi
813 N Ash St Unit B Springfield, GA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,200 $1.41 23d 1 0.72mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $215,000 Active 89 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $215,000 Active 88 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $215,000 Active 87 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $215,000 Active 86 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $215,000 Active 83 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $215,000 Active 82 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $215,000 Active 81 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $215,000 Active 80 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active 79 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $215,000 Active 78 DOM
  11. 2026-04-27
    price $215,000 596-char remark
    Show marketing remark (596 chars)

    Recently updated home on quiet cut-de-sac within walking distance or a golf-cart ride away from Laurel St. , a. k. a. the 'Stars Hollow' of Effingham County, GA! This 3 bed, 1 bath home features beautiful floors and neutral colors throughout. Don't let the square-footage keep you away; the floorplan uses the space well! Enjoy peace and quiet outside on the covered front & back decks, and when you don't feel like cooking, take the golf cart down the road for tacos, burgers, or ice cream! You will love being part of the Springfield community, "the heart of Effingham County. "

  12. 2026-04-08
    price $219,000 596-char remark
    Show marketing remark (596 chars)

    Recently updated home on quiet cut-de-sac within walking distance or a golf-cart ride away from Laurel St. , a. k. a. the 'Stars Hollow' of Effingham County, GA! This 3 bed, 1 bath home features beautiful floors and neutral colors throughout. Don't let the square-footage keep you away; the floorplan uses the space well! Enjoy peace and quiet outside on the covered front & back decks, and when you don't feel like cooking, take the golf cart down the road for tacos, burgers, or ice cream! You will love being part of the Springfield community, "the heart of Effingham County. "

  13. 2026-03-09
    listed $227,000 Active 596-char remark
    Show marketing remark (596 chars)

    Recently updated home on quiet cut-de-sac within walking distance or a golf-cart ride away from Laurel St. , a. k. a. the 'Stars Hollow' of Effingham County, GA! This 3 bed, 1 bath home features beautiful floors and neutral colors throughout. Don't let the square-footage keep you away; the floorplan uses the space well! Enjoy peace and quiet outside on the covered front & back decks, and when you don't feel like cooking, take the golf cart down the road for tacos, burgers, or ice cream! You will love being part of the Springfield community, "the heart of Effingham County. "

  14. 2023-12-20
    historical $1,495
  15. 2023-12-15
    listed $1,495
  16. 2023-10-03
    soldstatus $115,000
  17. 2021-11-23
    soldstatus $54,750
  18. 2019-04-05
    soldstatus $65,000
  19. 2008-09-09
    soldstatus $75,000
  20. 2008-07-16
    soldstatus $85,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,180 · $182/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,180 · $182/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 96% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,696
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$2,180
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,656
− Management
−$1,656
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$4,168
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,000
After-tax cash flow
$565/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Effingham County
NCES district ID
1301980
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$60,503
Composite
42.56/100
National rank
#3195
State rank
#16 of 174 in GA

Livability — Springfield

Score
69/100
State rank
#116
US rank
#8573

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, GA
County
Effingham County · 68,439 people
Metro
Savannah, GA
Population (ZIP)
9,609
Household income
$78,483
Rent vs Own
22.5% rent · 77.5% own
Severe rent burden
80.0

Population outlook (Effingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
67,399 people
By 2030
72,297 · +7.3%
By 2040
81,602 · +21.1%
By 2050
89,494 · +32.8%
By 2075
105,976 · +57.2%
By 2100
111,943 · +66.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 22% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Effingham

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.1) · D 25.2% · R 74.3%
2008→2024 swing
+1.6pp toward D · 2008: -50.7pp · 2024: -49.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.1 2020: R+49.5 2016: R+55.6 2012: R+51.2 2008: R+50.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.15%
Current HPI
255.5281
Rent YoY
Metro
Savannah, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+152.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $215,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $219,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $227,000 Hive MLS
  • 2023-12-20 Rental Removed $1,495 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-12-15 Listed for Rent $1,495 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 2021-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $54,750 Public Records
  • 2019-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2008-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2008-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,180 · +31.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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