404 S Maple St · Springfield, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 96.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.4/30.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Recently updated home on quiet cut-de-sac within walking distance or a golf-cart ride away from Laurel St. , a. k. a. the 'Stars Hollow' of Effingham County, GA! This 3 bed, 1 bath home features beautiful floors and neutral colors throughout. Don't let the square-footage keep you away; the floorplan uses the space well! Enjoy peace and quiet outside on the covered front & back decks, and when you don't feel like cooking, take the golf cart down the road for tacos, burgers, or ice cream! You will love being part of the Springfield community, "the heart of Effingham County. "
Key facts
- Covered back decks
- Covered front decks
- Walking distance
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-435/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $209k (3.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (19.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $172k (19.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.2% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#116 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, amenities F.
- Effingham County (rural): math 49% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #16 of 174 in GA (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 836 units permitted in Effingham County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Effingham County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $215k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 96% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.72%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $225,682
- List price
- $215,000
- Delta
- -4.73%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-37,175
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- -9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-35,456
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31329
- Home prices YoY
- -14.7%
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,725 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$182 /mo · $2,180/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$362
- Net cashflow
- $-36
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309 E 3rd St Springfield, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 308 E 3rd St Springfield, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,200 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 402 E 3rd St Unit B Springfield, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,300 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 301 E Second St Springfield, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 980 | $1,295 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 141 Oakwood Dr Springfield, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1094 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1018 Poplar Ct Unit A Springfield, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1061 | $1,450 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 813 N Ash St Unit B Springfield, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $215,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $215,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $215,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $215,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $215,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $215,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $215,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $215,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $215,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $215,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-04-27price $215,000 596-char remark
Show marketing remark (596 chars)
Recently updated home on quiet cut-de-sac within walking distance or a golf-cart ride away from Laurel St. , a. k. a. the 'Stars Hollow' of Effingham County, GA! This 3 bed, 1 bath home features beautiful floors and neutral colors throughout. Don't let the square-footage keep you away; the floorplan uses the space well! Enjoy peace and quiet outside on the covered front & back decks, and when you don't feel like cooking, take the golf cart down the road for tacos, burgers, or ice cream! You will love being part of the Springfield community, "the heart of Effingham County. "
-
2026-04-08price $219,000 596-char remark
Show marketing remark (596 chars)
Recently updated home on quiet cut-de-sac within walking distance or a golf-cart ride away from Laurel St. , a. k. a. the 'Stars Hollow' of Effingham County, GA! This 3 bed, 1 bath home features beautiful floors and neutral colors throughout. Don't let the square-footage keep you away; the floorplan uses the space well! Enjoy peace and quiet outside on the covered front & back decks, and when you don't feel like cooking, take the golf cart down the road for tacos, burgers, or ice cream! You will love being part of the Springfield community, "the heart of Effingham County. "
-
2026-03-09$227,000 Active 596-char remark
Show marketing remark (596 chars)
Recently updated home on quiet cut-de-sac within walking distance or a golf-cart ride away from Laurel St. , a. k. a. the 'Stars Hollow' of Effingham County, GA! This 3 bed, 1 bath home features beautiful floors and neutral colors throughout. Don't let the square-footage keep you away; the floorplan uses the space well! Enjoy peace and quiet outside on the covered front & back decks, and when you don't feel like cooking, take the golf cart down the road for tacos, burgers, or ice cream! You will love being part of the Springfield community, "the heart of Effingham County. "
-
2023-12-20historical $1,495
-
2023-12-15$1,495
-
2023-10-03soldstatus $115,000
-
2021-11-23soldstatus $54,750
-
2019-04-05soldstatus $65,000
-
2008-09-09soldstatus $75,000
-
2008-07-16soldstatus $85,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,180 · $182/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,180 · $182/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 96% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,696
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$2,180
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,656
- − Management
- −$1,656
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$4,168
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,000
- After-tax cash flow
- $565/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Effingham County
- NCES district ID
- 1301980
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,503
- Composite
- 42.56/100
- National rank
- #3195
- State rank
- #16 of 174 in GA
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #116
- US rank
- #8573
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, GA
- County
- Effingham County · 68,439 people
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,609
- Household income
- $78,483
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 80.0
Population outlook (Effingham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 67,399 people
- By 2030
- 72,297 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 81,602 · +21.1%
- By 2050
- 89,494 · +32.8%
- By 2075
- 105,976 · +57.2%
- By 2100
- 111,943 · +66.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 22% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Effingham
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.1) · D 25.2% · R 74.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: -50.7pp · 2024: -49.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.1 2020: R+49.5 2016: R+55.6 2012: R+51.2 2008: R+50.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.15%
- Current HPI
- 255.5281
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+152.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $215,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $219,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $227,000 Hive MLS
- 2023-12-20 Rental Removed $1,495 APPFOLIO
- 2023-12-15 Listed for Rent $1,495 APPFOLIO
- 2023-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2021-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $54,750 Public Records
- 2019-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2008-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2008-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,180 · +31.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…