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628 N Hilltop Rd
B- Composite 69.22
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,000

628 N Hilltop Rd · Bellevue, IL 61604
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · Manufactured public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1971 6,141 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Double Wide Set up on Piers. Unit set on its own land. 4 Parcel ID'S Home "SOLD AS IS" additional addendums to be signed with an accepted offer.

Key facts

  • Large deck
  • Fenced yard
  • Outdoor space

Tags

FENCED YARDLARGE DECKOUTDOOR SPACEINTERIOR RENOVATIONSPEORIA LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership; Property not currently leased; Possession at closing
  • HOA & community: No master association fees required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (owned), 2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Built approximately 51-60 years ago; Built before 1978
  • Exterior features: School bus service; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 122; Less than 0.25 acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (main level, approx. 12 x 10)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on main level); Master bedroom on main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Dining room; Family room; Living room; Laundry room
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $49k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $529 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $49k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#601 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Limestone Chsd 310 (rural): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #486 of 919 in IL (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Limestone Community High School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 924 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $49k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
Recommended offer $49,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.35%
Cap rate
19.24%
Cash-on-cash
46.24%
DSCR
3.06
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.7%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$24,970
Equity at exit
$7,306
10-year hold
IRR
48.5%
Equity multiple
5.52×
Total profit
$62,018
Equity at exit
$4,237

Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61604

Home prices YoY
-24.6%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
180
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,153 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$257
Tax from tax record
$105 /mo · $1,258/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$529

Break-even live

Break-even rent $484
Max offer price $49,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $556 -5% $543 +0% $529 +5% $515 +10% $501
Rent -10% $438 -5% $483 +0% $529 +5% $574 +10% $620
Rate -1.0pp $553 -0.5pp $541 base $529 +0.5pp $516 +1.0pp $503

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,250
Closing costs
$1,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5917 W Plank Rd Apt 3 Bellevue, IL 2.0 1.0 700 $775 $1.11 14d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $49,000 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    remarks 469-char remark
  6. 2026-06-15
    listed $49,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,258 · $105/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,258 · $105/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,836
− Mortgage interest
−$2,745
− Property taxes
−$1,258
− Insurance
−$245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,107
− Management
−$1,107
− Depreciation
−$1,425
Taxable income
$5,949
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,428
After-tax cash flow
$4,916/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Limestone Chsd 310
NCES district ID
1722950
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$49,759
Composite
28.99/100
National rank
#11932
State rank
#486 of 919 in IL

Livability — Bellevue

Score
65/100
State rank
#601
US rank
#12423

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bellevue, IL
County
Peoria County · 120,495 people
City population
114,670
Metro
Peoria, IL
Population (ZIP)
28,313
Household income
$52,414
Rent vs Own
32.0% rent · 68.0% own
Severe rent burden
815.0

Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
183,007 people
By 2030
179,643 · -1.8%
By 2040
171,782 · -6.1%
By 2050
163,508 · -10.7%
By 2075
140,178 · -23.4%
By 2100
114,493 · -37.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 29% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Peoria

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.15%
Current HPI
165.8838
Rent YoY
▲ 2.30%
Metro
Peoria, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+66.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $49,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 2008-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 2008-12-10 Sold (MLS) $25,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-10-07 Listed $29,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,258 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…