5 Monaco Ter · Lely, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.98%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$319,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Riviera Colony, where comfortable, low-maintenance living meets the best of the Naples lifestyle. Located in a well-established land-owned community, this spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bath home with a den or office offers more than 1,500 square feet of thoughtfully designed single-level living, ideal for both full-time residents and seasonal homeowners. The open and functional floor plan provides comfortable living and entertaining space, while the screened front porch creates the perfect spot to enjoy your morning coffee, unwind in the evening, or gather with friends and neighbors. Situated on a quiet lot, the property offers both privacy and convenience. Built in 2006, this home featu
Key facts
- Screened front porch
- 2024 hvac system
- Newer roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land lease expires 2026-05-01; Pets allowed (call/conditional)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association; Quarterly association fee of $395; Association includes cable TV; Community amenities: billiard room, pool, management; Street lights; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; 1 covered space; 1 carport space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Underground utilities
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Entry on level 1; Faces north; Resale property
- Construction: Shingle roof; Manufactured construction
- Exterior features: Glass-enclosed lanai / porch; Screened porch; Porch; Community pool; Rectangular lot; Lot exposures to the south; Municipal irrigation
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Den; Screened porch
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Impact glass windows; Window coverings / treatments; Cable TV available; Partially furnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $320k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-125 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $298k (6.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $307k (4.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $298k (6.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#586 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 771 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,069/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 980% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $320k implies a 357% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.03%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-68,562
- Equity at exit
- $47,698
- IRR
- -30.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.16×
- Total profit
- $-103,708
- Equity at exit
- $27,659
Cash invested: $89,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34112
- Rents YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 771
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,069 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,678
- Tax from tax record
- −$180 /mo · $2,165/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$132
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$644
- Net cashflow
- $-125
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $56 | -5% $-35 | +0% $-125 | +5% $-216 | +10% $-306 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-368 | -5% $-247 | +0% $-125 | +5% $-4 | +10% $117 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $36 | -0.5pp $-44 | base $-125 | +0.5pp $-208 | +1.0pp $-293 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $79,975
- Closing costs
- $9,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Maui Cir #30 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $2,795 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4911 Catalina Dr Unit 22 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,950 | $1.62 | 14d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 4907 Catalina Dr Unit 45 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,900 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 4977 Pepper Cir #205 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,250 | $1.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 332 Charlemagne Blvd Unit H101 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $3,500 | $3.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 332 Charlemagne Blvd Unit H103 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $3,495 | $3.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 360 Charlemagne Blvd Unit D105 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $3,200 | $2.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 148 Lake Point Ln Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1530 | $2,100 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 5419 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd Unit 307F Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1071 | $1,950 | $1.82 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 4410 Chantelle Dr Unit H-205 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $3,500 | $2.59 | 14d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4830 Cortez Cir Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1218 | $3,100 | $2.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 5499 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1071 | $1,775 | $1.66 | 14d | 2 | 0.48mi |
| 4900 Biscayne Dr #22 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $1,800 | $1.62 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4261 Pearl Harbor Dr Unit 1546170P Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1797 | $3,387 | $1.88 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 5595 Greenwood Cir #92 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $5,000 | $3.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 232 Pebble Beach Blvd #104 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,975 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 4231 Gulfstream Dr Apt 102 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,995 | $1.69 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4300 Gulfstream Dr Unit 2D Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $1,295 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 5483 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd Unit 201B Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1071 | $1,800 | $1.68 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 240 Pebble Beach Blvd #702 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $4,000 | $3.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 167 Torrey Pines Pt Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1907 | $9,000 | $4.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 5502 Greenwood Cir #1 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,400 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 5778 Greenwood Cir Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $4,000 | $2.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 5535 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd #302 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1205 | $2,800 | $2.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3308 Duchess Dr Naples, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1735 | $3,600 | $2.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 213 Bay Meadows Dr Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $5,500 | $3.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3408 Fuchsia Ct Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $2,900 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 239 Torrey Pines Pt Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1907 | $12,090 | $6.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5635 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd Apt 203D Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,700 | $1.61 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4360 Petal Dr Naples, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1018 | $2,566 | $2.52 | 14d | 37 | 0.77mi |
| 5651 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd Unit C-108 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,800 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3195 Boca Ciega Dr Unit C10 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,000 | $2.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5708 Deauville Cir Unit 308 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $4,500 | $3.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 6875 Saona Ct Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $8,000 | $5.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 5792 Deauville Cir Unit A103 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $3,900 | $3.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3250 W Crown Pointe Blvd #101 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1653 | $7,000 | $4.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 127 Palmetto Dunes Cir Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1906 | $7,500 | $3.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 6561 Dominica Dr Unit 8-101 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2214 | $8,500 | $3.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5733 Deauville Cir Unit G308 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1427 | $3,600 | $2.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5741 Deauville Cir Unit F108 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1427 | $3,600 | $2.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $132 · $1,584/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $319,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $319,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $319,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $319,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $319,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $319,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $319,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $319,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $319,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $319,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $319,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $319,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $319,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $319,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-04-21$319,900 Active
-
2005-04-25soldstatus $70,000
-
1987-08-01soldstatus $34,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,165 · $180/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,655 · $221/mo
- Expected delta
- +$490/yr (+$41/mo · 22.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 98% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,827
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,919
- − Property taxes
- −$2,165
- − Insurance
- −$6,718
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,946
- − Management
- −$2,946
- − HOA
- −$1,584
- − Depreciation
- −$9,306
- Taxable loss
- −$6,758
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,622
- After-tax cash flow
- $117/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lely
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #586
- US rank
- #11224
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Collier County · 396,295 people
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,193
- Household income
- $69,842
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 980.0
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 9% Black 6% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4% Romanian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -235.10%
- Current HPI
- 256.9182
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.69%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+840.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Listed $319,900 FORTMLS
- 2005-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1987-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,165 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…