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17 Nowling Dr
C- Composite 50.97
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.2/30.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0

$249,000

17 Nowling Dr · DeFuniak Springs, FL 32433
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,064 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 284 Days on market
Built 1948 1.12 ac lot Est $357k · 30% under ↓ 23% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

THE POSSIBILITIES ARE ENDLESS!! This 3 BR 1 BA house faces Hwy 90W in DeFuniak Springs and sits on a large lot (1.12 acre). A metal roof, hardwood floors, central heat & air, plus FOUR enclosed porches and lots of extra lot space offer unlimited potential for this older property located in C-1 zoning. Low impact uses for this property include residential, retail, office space or possibly a home-based daycare center. .(Some improvements may be needed with the highway frontage depending on intended use). While the house needs some updating, , it certainly could be lived in while renovations are made. (There is an uninstalled dishwasher, range, and newer kitchen cabinets located on one o

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • C-1 zoning
  • Central heat and air

Tags

METAL ROOFHARDWOOD FLOORSCENTRAL HEAT AND AIRFOUR ENCLOSED PORCHESLARGE LOTC-1 ZONING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned City Commercial
  • HOA & community: Subdivision: KAM AKERS

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached covered carport (2 carport spaces, 2 covered spaces); Driveway parking for about 6 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service; Natural gas available; Phone and TV cable available
  • Home design: Florida cottage style; Single-story; Facing unspecified; Year built 1948
  • Construction: Frame construction with off-grade foundation; Metal roof (pitched)
  • Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Workshop (separate structure); Cleared, level interior lot; Within 1/2 mile to water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the first floor)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the first floor)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Electric heating controls and supplemental floor/space heat; Central air; Window air units
  • Interior features: Fireplace; Window treatments; Screened porches (multiple)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups likely available (energy features list electric water heater and multiple heating controls)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-235 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $208k (16.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (28.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (28.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#694 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
  • Walton (rural): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #10 of 73 in FL (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Maude Saunders Elementary School (math 58% / reading 52%, grade C, #872 of 2,144 statewide, top 42%, 553 students, 87% FRL); Emerald Coast Middle School (math 70% / reading 65%, grade A-, #77 of 571 statewide, top 14%, 868 students, 24% FRL); Walton High School (math 52% / reading 53%, grade C-, #154 of 667 statewide, top 24%, 856 students, 65% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 423 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,883 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (1,322 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Walton County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 284 days — a 12% lower offer ($219k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $178,924 (28.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 284 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.16%
Cash-on-cash
-4.04%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$357,072
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
441 Country Club Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,848 (-10%) 21mo $319,295 $173 49
80 Engelbrecht Rd 0.37mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,298 (+11%) 19mo $225,000 $98 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.4%
Equity multiple
2.73×
Total profit
$120,636
Equity at exit
$224,319
10-year hold
IRR
19.3%
Equity multiple
6.26×
Total profit
$366,982
Equity at exit
$483,752

Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32433

Home prices YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
423
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,789 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,306
Tax from tax record
$239 /mo · $2,866/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$376
Net cashflow
$-235

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,087
Max offer price $207,511
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-94 -5% $-164 +0% $-235 +5% $-305 +10% $-376
Rent -10% $-376 -5% $-306 +0% $-235 +5% $-164 +10% $-94
Rate -1.0pp $-109 -0.5pp $-172 base $-235 +0.5pp $-299 +1.0pp $-365

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,250
Closing costs
$7,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
594 Hunters Ridge Rd Defuniak Springs, FL 3.0 2.0 1654 $1,950 $1.18 15d 1 1.07mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $249,000 Active 284 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,000 Active 281 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,000 Active 280 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,000 Active 279 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,000 Active 278 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $249,000 Active 276 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,000 Active 275 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $249,000 Active 273 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,000 Active 272 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,000 Active 271 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,000 Active 270 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $249,000 Active 267 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,000 Active 266 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,000 Active 265 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,000 Active 264 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,000 Active 263 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $249,000 Active 262 DOM
  18. 2025-09-10
    listed $249,000 Active
  19. 2024-03-07
    listed $325,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,866 · $239/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,866 · $239/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,471
− Mortgage interest
−$13,948
− Property taxes
−$2,866
− Insurance
−$1,245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,718
− Management
−$1,718
− Depreciation
−$7,244
Taxable loss
−$7,267
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,744
After-tax cash flow
$-1,074/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Walton
NCES district ID
1201980
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$46,794
Composite
52.03/100
National rank
#1634
State rank
#10 of 73 in FL

Livability — DeFuniak Springs

Score
64/100
State rank
#694
US rank
#14475

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
DeFuniak Springs, FL
County
Walton County · 70,839 people
City population
19,746
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
Population (ZIP)
19,746
Household income
$52,199
Rent vs Own
25.4% rent · 74.6% own
Severe rent burden
356.0

Population outlook (Walton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
80,014 people
By 2030
88,120 · +10.1%
By 2040
103,537 · +29.4%
By 2050
117,034 · +46.3%
By 2075
143,901 · +79.8%
By 2100
155,138 · +93.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Walton

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.8) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
2008→2024 swing
-12.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -57.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.8 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+56.1 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+45.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.77%
Current HPI
367.046
Rent YoY
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-23.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-10 Listed $249,000 ECAR
  • 2024-03-07 Listed $325,000 ECAR

Property tax history

+37.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,866 · +9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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