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7305 Northern Dr
C+ Composite 60.23
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$130,000

7305 Northern Dr · Belleville, IL 62223
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,136 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1950 0.25 ac lot Est $167k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 2-bedroom 1.5 bath home with a full unfinished basement. The home features a spacious living & dining room, hardwood flooring, and new flooring in the kitchen. The full basement could double your living space offering excellent added value and includes an additional bathroom that was just updated. The property also includes a 1-car attached garage and a large fenced backyard complete with a versatile workshop building, ideal for hobbies, storage, or workspace. The workshop is equipped with electric. Conveniently located near the St. Clair County Country Club, this home offers great potential. Call today to schedule your appt.

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Newer roof
  • Dual closets

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORINGCOVE MOLDINGDUAL CLOSETSFULLY EQUIPPED KITCHENNEWER ROOFDETACHED OUTBUILDING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Possession: Close plus 15 days; Earnest money is held
  • Financial info: Special service area: No
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 garage space); Total parking for 4 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Built approximately 71–80 years ago; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Unfinished full basement; Structure age: 71–80 years
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 78 x 145; Lot roughly 0.25–0.49 acre; Vinyl siding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level — 9 x 13, vinyl flooring
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level) — 15 x 15, hardwood flooring; Bedroom 2 (main level) — 12 x 10, hardwood flooring; Additional bedrooms listed
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living areas and bedrooms; Vinyl flooring in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Basement bathroom present
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 5 total rooms; Unfinished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($417/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
  • Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $61k; list at $130k implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
6.61%
Cash-on-cash
1.15%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$166,992
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
233 Sunset Dr 0.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,183 (+4%) 0mo $159,900 $135 76
245 Oliver Lee Dr 0.18mi 2/1.0 1,245 (+10%) 3mo $20,000 $16 69
7522 Claymont Ct #3 0.16mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,260 (+11%) 2mo $149,500 $119 67
13 Chamberlain Ct 0.68mi 2/1.0 1,110 (-2%) 1mo $165,000 $149 60
204 Whitehall Ct 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,184 (+4%) 5mo $149,900 $127 56
311 Chevy Chase Dr 0.70mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,176 (+4%) 1mo $245,000 $208 54
905 Blue Ridge Dr 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,152 (+1%) 6mo $181,500 $158 54
408 Southgate Dr 0.65mi 2/1.0 1,068 (-6%) 2mo $159,500 $149 54
23 Windsor Dr 0.66mi 2/1.0 1,198 (+6%) 5mo $155,000 $129 52
108 Lakeview Dr 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,040 (-8%) 1mo $165,000 $159 52
45 Sherwood Frst 0.74mi 2/1.5 966 (-15%) 8mo $110,000 $114 32
408 Blue Ridge Dr 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,296 (+14%) 9mo $190,000 $147 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.1%
Equity multiple
2.89×
Total profit
$68,665
Equity at exit
$112,399
10-year hold
IRR
21.5%
Equity multiple
6.48×
Total profit
$199,565
Equity at exit
$237,544

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62223

Home prices YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
103
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,309 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$263 /mo · $3,157/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$35

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,264
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
920 S 74th St Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 12d 1 0.63mi
6105 W Washington St Belleville, IL 3.0 1.5 1120 $1,575 $1.41 23d 1 0.69mi
7235 Westfield Plaza Dr Belleville, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0 795 $975 $1.23 2d 1 1.17mi
5784 Brett Michael Ln Belleville, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 801 $1,195 $1.49 7d 7 1.30mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on marketlisting id $130,000 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 76 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 70 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 69 DOM
  10. 2026-04-15
    price $130,000
  11. 2026-04-14
    listed $130,000 Active 646-char remark
    Show marketing remark (646 chars)

    Charming 2-bedroom 1.5 bath home with a full unfinished basement. The home features a spacious living & dining room, hardwood flooring, and new flooring in the kitchen. The full basement could double your living space offering excellent added value and includes an additional bathroom that was just updated. The property also includes a 1-car attached garage and a large fenced backyard complete with a versatile workshop building, ideal for hobbies, storage, or workspace. The workshop is equipped with electric. Conveniently located near the St. Clair County Country Club, this home offers great potential. Call today to schedule your appt.

  12. 2026-03-22
    listed $135,000 Active
  13. 1992-04-20
    soldstatus $61,000
  14. 1992-04-20
    soldstatus $61,000
  15. 1991-03-18
    soldstatus $60,000
  16. 1991-03-18
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,157 · $263/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,157 · $263/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,702
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$3,157
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,256
− Management
−$1,256
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$1,681
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$403
After-tax cash flow
$821/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belleville Twp Hsd 201
NCES district ID
1705640
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$58,064
Composite
22.39/100
National rank
#8115
State rank
#308 of 620 in IL

Livability — Belleville

Score
78/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#2604

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
47,407
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
16,269
Household income
$73,700
Rent vs Own
23.6% rent · 76.4% own
Severe rent burden
656.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.50%
Current HPI
259.15
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+116.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $130,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $130,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-22 Listed $135,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1992-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
  • 1992-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
  • 1991-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 1991-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,157 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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