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4830 Waterline St
D Composite 41.53
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.9/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.0/30.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • DSCR +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$458,000

4830 Waterline St · McCordsville, IN 46055
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,102 sqft · SingleFamily · 116 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition 0.28 ac lot 3-car garage $148/sqft · 12% below area Est $520k · 12% under $58/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Presenting a newly constructed single-family residence at 4830 Waterline ST, MCCORDSVILLE, IN, USA, completed in 2025. Ideally situated in McCordsville just minutes from Fishers, Haven Ponds offers convenient access to I69 and I70 for an easy commute to downtown Indianapolis, along with nearby shopping, dining, and everyday essentials at Hamilton Town Center and surrounding retail. This thoughtfully designed two-story home features a bright, open-concept main level where the kitchen, cafe, and great room flow seamlessly together, creating an inviting and functional living space.

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • 3 garage spots
  • Built 2025

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $458k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-477 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $389k (15.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $348k (24.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $348k (24.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 4.0% in McCordsville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#181 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Mt Vernon Community School Corporation (rural): math 43% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #70 of 301 in IN (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Mccordsville Elementary School (math 54% / reading 38%, grade D-, #357 of 994 statewide, top 37%, 673 students, 25% FRL); Mt Vernon Middle School (math 37% / reading 46%, grade F, #108 of 330 statewide, top 34%, 1,070 students, 31% FRL); Mt Vernon High School (math 41% / reading 71%, grade C, #73 of 369 statewide, top 20%, 1,431 students, 27% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 656 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,091 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($114k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hancock County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($417k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $37k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $347,573 (24.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76% ✗
Cap rate
5.04%
Cash-on-cash
-4.47%
DSCR
0.80
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$520,218
List price
$458,000
Delta
-11.96%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4831 Waterline St 0.03mi 5/3.5 3,113 (+0%) 0mo $503,968 $162 96
9801 Forest Ridge Ln 0.09mi 5/3.5 3,113 (+0%) 4mo $496,995 $160 90
4913 Waterline St 0.10mi 4/3.5 (-1) 3,159 (+2%) 5mo $519,990 $165 81
9647 Brook Meadow Dr 0.58mi 5/3.0 3,120 (+1%) 4mo $414,000 $133 68
15143 Gallop Ln 0.72mi 5/3.0 3,150 (+2%) 4mo $510,000 $162 61
9824 Glad Grist Dr 0.54mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,957 (-5%) 1mo $492,840 $167 59
9884 Glad Grist Dr 0.58mi 5/3.0 2,839 (-8%) 2mo $469,900 $166 58
9986 Gallop Ln 0.53mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,955 (-5%) 5mo $495,000 $168 56
9743 Cimmaron Ave 0.63mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,762 (-11%) 0mo $390,000 $141 45
15154 Blue Ribbon Blvd 0.70mi 4/2.5 (-1) 3,387 (+9%) 2mo $546,000 $161 43
9892 Slater Dr 0.72mi 5/3.0 2,727 (-12%) 6mo $444,990 $163 42
9712 N Port Dr 0.73mi 5/3.5 3,487 (+12%) 5mo $484,000 $139 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.4%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-96,738
Equity at exit
$68,289
10-year hold
IRR
-10.5%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-89,603
Equity at exit
$39,599

Cash invested: $128,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
38 active · 22 under contract
Months of supply
9.5 mo (11%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$449,495 ($150/sqft)
Median days on market
82 d
This list price
53% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+11.9% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 46055

Home prices YoY
-20.1%
Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
656
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,476 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,402
Tax est. 1.5%
−$572 /mo · $6,870/yr
Insurance
−$191
HOA
−$58
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$730
Net cashflow
$-477

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,080
Max offer price $388,933
Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-161 -5% $-319 +0% $-477 +5% $-636 +10% $-794
Rent -10% $-752 -5% $-615 +0% $-477 +5% $-340 +10% $-203
Rate -1.0pp $-247 -0.5pp $-361 base $-477 +0.5pp $-596 +1.0pp $-717

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$114,500
Closing costs
$13,740
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10264 Normandy Way Fishers, IN 4.0 4.5 4401 $3,900 $0.89 85d 1 0.83mi
15854 Oakhurst Ln Unit M Fishers, IN 4.0 3.5 3624 $4,500 $1.24 0d 1 1.21mi
16123 Sedalia Dr Fishers, IN 4.0 2.5 2782 $3,300 $1.19 0d 1 1.26mi
16161 Lavina Ln Fishers, IN 5.0 3.0 2427 $2,950 $1.22 5d 1 1.28mi
16161 Lavina Ln Fishers, IN 5.0 3.0 2427 $2,650 $1.09 0d 1 1.28mi
8775 N Springview Dr McCordsville, IN 4.0 2.5 3062 $2,316 $0.76 134d 1 1.42mi
8728 N Springview Dr McCordsville, IN 4.0 2.5 2271 $2,346 $1.03 112d 1 1.47mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Property classified as residential with mandatory fee ownershipLot approximately 0.28 acres (1/4–1/2 acre)
HOA & community
Homeowners association with an annual fee of $700

Exterior

Parking
Attached 3-car garage
Utilities
Public waterMunicipal sewer connected
Home design
Single-family residenceTwo levelsNew construction
Construction
Vinyl siding with brick accentsSlab foundationBuilt by Silverthrone
Exterior features
Covered patio/porch

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherGas ovenRange hoodDisposal
Bedrooms
Primary bedroom with walk-in closetFive bedrooms total (one on main level, four on upper level)
Bathrooms
Three full bathrooms totalPrimary bathroom has tub and separate shower
Heating & cooling
Forced air heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
Attic accessPantryWalk-in closets
Laundry & utility
Upper-level laundry room (9x7)

HOA detail $58/mo · $696/yr

Likely covers
water

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-11-02
    days on market $458,000 Active 116 DOM
  2. 2026-11-01
    days on market $458,000 Active 115 DOM
  3. 2026-10-31
    days on market $458,000 Active 114 DOM
  4. 2026-10-30
    days on market $458,000 Active 113 DOM
  5. 2026-10-29
    days on market $458,000 Active 112 DOM
  6. 2026-10-28
    days on market $458,000 Active 111 DOM
  7. 2026-10-27
    days on market $458,000 Active 110 DOM
  8. 2026-10-26
    days on market $458,000 Active 109 DOM
  9. 2026-10-26
    days on market $458,000 Active 108 DOM
  10. 2026-10-24
    days on market $458,000 Active 107 DOM
  11. 2026-10-23
    days on market $458,000 Active 106 DOM
  12. 2026-10-22
    days on market $458,000 Active 105 DOM
  13. 2026-10-21
    days on market $458,000 Active 104 DOM
  14. 2026-10-20
    days on market $458,000 Active 103 DOM
  15. 2026-10-19
    days on market $458,000 Active 102 DOM
  16. 2026-10-18
    days on market $458,000 Active 101 DOM
  17. 2026-10-17
    days on market $458,000 Active 100 DOM
  18. 2026-10-16
    days on market $458,000 Active 99 DOM
  19. 2026-10-15
    days on market $458,000 Active 98 DOM
  20. 2026-10-14
    days on market $458,000 Active 97 DOM
  21. 2026-10-13
    days on market $458,000 Active 96 DOM
  22. 2026-10-12
    days on market $458,000 Active 95 DOM
  23. 2026-10-11
    days on market $458,000 Active 94 DOM
  24. 2026-10-10
    days on market $458,000 Active 93 DOM
  25. 2026-10-09
    days on market $458,000 Active 92 DOM
  26. 2026-10-08
    days on market $458,000 Active 91 DOM
  27. 2026-10-07
    days on market $458,000 Active 90 DOM
  28. 2026-10-06
    days on market $458,000 Active 89 DOM
  29. 2026-10-05
    days on market $458,000 Active 88 DOM
  30. 2026-10-04
    days on market $458,000 Active 87 DOM
  31. 2026-10-03
    days on market $458,000 Active 86 DOM
  32. 2026-10-02
    days on market $458,000 Active 85 DOM
  33. 2026-10-01
    days on market $458,000 Active 84 DOM
  34. 2026-09-30
    days on market $458,000 Active 83 DOM
  35. 2026-09-29
    days on market $458,000 Active 82 DOM
  36. 2026-09-28
    days on market $458,000 Active 81 DOM
  37. 2026-09-27
    days on market $458,000 Active 80 DOM
  38. 2026-09-25
    days on market $458,000 Active 78 DOM
  39. 2026-09-24
    days on market $458,000 Active 77 DOM
  40. 2026-09-23
    days on market $458,000 Active 76 DOM
  41. 2026-09-22
    days on market $458,000 Active 75 DOM
  42. 2026-09-21
    days on market $458,000 Active 74 DOM
  43. 2026-09-20
    days on market $458,000 Active 73 DOM
  44. 2026-09-19
    days on market $458,000 Active 72 DOM
  45. 2026-09-18
    days on market $458,000 Active 71 DOM
  46. 2026-09-17
    days on market $458,000 Active 70 DOM
  47. 2026-09-16
    days on market $458,000 Active 69 DOM
  48. 2026-09-15
    days on market $458,000 Active 68 DOM
  49. 2026-09-14
    days on market $458,000 Active 67 DOM
  50. 2026-09-13
    days on market $458,000 Active 66 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$41,709
− Mortgage interest
−$25,655
− Property taxes
−$6,870
− Insurance
−$2,290
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,337
− Management
−$3,337
− HOA
−$696
− Depreciation
−$13,324
Taxable loss
−$13,799
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,312
After-tax cash flow
$-2,416/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This newly built home offers a modern and well-maintained interior with a good condition exterior. It is ready for immediate occupancy and can be further enhanced with minor updates to increase its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more buyers/renters. ↑
  • Resale Kitchen appliances and cabinetry upgrades — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value for potential buyers. ↑
  • Resale Bathroom fixtures and tile upgrades — Modernizes bathrooms and adds value for potential buyers. ↑
  • Both Flooring upgrades (e.g., hardwood or tile) — Enhances interior aesthetics and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
  • Both HVAC system maintenance or upgrade — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency, attracting buyers/renters. ↑
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more buyers/renters. ↑
F Composite school gradezoned avg 48/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Fortville Elementary School D IN #314/994 Nat'l #14,249/41,679 Middle Mt Vernon Middle School F IN #108/330 Nat'l #5,602/14,009 High Mt Vernon High School C IN #73/369 Nat'l #4,311/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mt Vernon Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1807260
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$73,671
Composite
41.3/100
National rank
#3514
State rank
#70 of 301 in IN
C Composite livability gradescore 69/100

Livability — McCordsville

Score
69/100
State rank
#181
US rank
#8388

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
McCordsville, IN
County
Hancock County · 77,820 people
City population
16,010
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
Population (ZIP)
16,010
Household income
$113,784
Rent vs Own
17.7% rent · 82.3% own
Severe rent burden
7% of renters

Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
77,820 people
By 2030
79,914 · +2.7%
By 2040
82,734 · +6.3%
By 2050
83,348 · +7.1%
By 2075
82,439 · +5.9%
By 2100
74,181 · -4.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 13% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Hancock

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.7) · D 32.2% · R 65.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-4.1pp toward R · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -33.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.7 2020: R+37.5 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+29.6

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Price history

-11.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $475,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $485,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $495,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $495,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $515,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $535,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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