4830 Waterline St · McCordsville, IN
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$458,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Presenting a newly constructed single-family residence at 4830 Waterline ST, MCCORDSVILLE, IN, USA, completed in 2025. Ideally situated in McCordsville just minutes from Fishers, Haven Ponds offers convenient access to I69 and I70 for an easy commute to downtown Indianapolis, along with nearby shopping, dining, and everyday essentials at Hamilton Town Center and surrounding retail. This thoughtfully designed two-story home features a bright, open-concept main level where the kitchen, cafe, and great room flow seamlessly together, creating an inviting and functional living space.
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- 3 garage spots
- Built 2025
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $458k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-559 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $377k (17.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $337k (26.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $337k (26.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.9% in McCordsville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#181 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Mt Vernon Community School Corporation (rural): math 43% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #70 of 301 in IN (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Mccordsville Elementary School (math 54% / reading 38%, grade D-, #357 of 994 statewide, top 37%, 673 students, 25% FRL); Mt Vernon Middle School (math 37% / reading 46%, grade F, #108 of 330 statewide, top 34%, 1,070 students, 31% FRL); Mt Vernon High School (math 41% / reading 71%, grade C, #73 of 369 statewide, top 20%, 1,431 students, 27% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 580 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 40d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,091 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($114k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hancock County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($431k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $37k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.23%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $521,367
- List price
- $458,000
- Delta
- -12.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9801 Forest Ridge Ln | 0.09mi | 5/3.5 | 3,113 (+0%) | 2mo | $496,995 | $160 | 92 |
| 4913 Waterline St | 0.10mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,159 (+2%) | 4mo | $519,990 | $165 | 82 |
| 9647 Brook Meadow Dr | 0.58mi | 5/3.0 | 3,120 (+1%) | 3mo | $414,000 | $133 | 69 |
| 15143 Gallop Ln | 0.72mi | 5/3.0 | 3,150 (+2%) | 2mo | $510,000 | $162 | 62 |
| 9690 Highview Ln | 0.62mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 3,092 (-0%) | 4mo | $507,500 | $164 | 60 |
| 9800 Ridgecrest Ln | 0.45mi | 5/3.5 | 3,344 (+8%) | 7mo | $405,000 | $121 | 58 |
| 9986 Gallop Ln | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,955 (-5%) | 4mo | $495,000 | $168 | 58 |
| 4119 Murray Dr | 0.73mi | 5/3.5 | 2,994 (-4%) | 5mo | $455,000 | $152 | 54 |
| 15154 Blue Ribbon Blvd | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 3,387 (+9%) | 1mo | $546,000 | $161 | 44 |
| 9892 Slater Dr | 0.72mi | 5/3.0 | 2,727 (-12%) | 4mo | $444,990 | $163 | 43 |
| 4105 Murray Dr | 0.74mi | 5/3.0 | 2,739 (-12%) | 5mo | $425,000 | $155 | 42 |
| 9712 N Port Dr | 0.73mi | 5/3.5 | 3,487 (+12%) | 3mo | $484,000 | $139 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-102,171
- Equity at exit
- $68,289
- IRR
- -12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-102,027
- Equity at exit
- $39,599
Cash invested: $128,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 37 active · 18 under contract
- Months of supply
- 10.1 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $449,990 ($150/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 70 d
- This list price
- 51% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +12.1% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 46055
- Home prices YoY
- -20.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 580
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,372 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,402
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$572 /mo · $6,870/yr
- Insurance
- −$191
- HOA
- −$58
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$708
- Net cashflow
- $-559
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-242 | -5% $-401 | +0% $-559 | +5% $-717 | +10% $-875 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-825 | -5% $-692 | +0% $-559 | +5% $-426 | +10% $-293 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-328 | -0.5pp $-442 | base $-559 | +0.5pp $-678 | +1.0pp $-798 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $114,500
- Closing costs
- $13,740
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10264 Normandy Way Fishers, IN | 4.0 | 4.5 | 4401 | $3,900 | $0.89 | 40d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 16123 Sedalia Dr Fishers, IN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2782 | $3,400 | $1.22 | 0d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 16161 Lavina Ln Fishers, IN | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2427 | $2,950 | $1.22 | 0d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 8775 N Springview Dr McCordsville, IN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3062 | $2,316 | $0.76 | 88d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 8728 N Springview Dr McCordsville, IN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2271 | $2,346 | $1.03 | 67d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Property classified as residential with mandatory fee ownershipLot approximately 0.28 acres (1/4–1/2 acre)
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association with an annual fee of $700
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 3-car garage
- Utilities
- Public waterMunicipal sewer connected
- Home design
- Single-family residenceTwo levelsNew construction
- Construction
- Vinyl siding with brick accentsSlab foundationBuilt by Silverthrone
- Exterior features
- Covered patio/porch
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherGas ovenRange hoodDisposal
- Bedrooms
- Primary bedroom with walk-in closetFive bedrooms total (one on main level, four on upper level)
- Bathrooms
- Three full bathrooms totalPrimary bathroom has tub and separate shower
- Heating & cooling
- Forced air heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Attic accessPantryWalk-in closets
- Laundry & utility
- Upper-level laundry room (9x7)
HOA detail $58/mo · $696/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 50 events
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2026-09-24days on market $458,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-09-23days on market $458,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $458,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $458,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $458,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $458,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $458,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $458,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $458,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-09-15days on market $458,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $458,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $458,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $458,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-09-11days on market $458,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $458,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $458,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $458,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-08-31days on market $458,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $458,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $458,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $458,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $458,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $458,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $458,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $458,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $458,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $458,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-08-21pricedays on market $458,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $465,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $465,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $465,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $465,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $465,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $465,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $465,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $465,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $465,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $465,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $465,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $465,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $465,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $465,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $465,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $465,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $465,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $465,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $465,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $465,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $465,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-07-28pricedays on market $465,000 Active 19 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,469
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,655
- − Property taxes
- −$6,870
- − Insurance
- −$2,290
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,238
- − Management
- −$3,238
- − HOA
- −$696
- − Depreciation
- −$13,324
- Taxable loss
- −$14,841
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,562
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,145/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This newly built home offers a modern and well-maintained interior with a good condition exterior. It is ready for immediate occupancy and can be further enhanced with minor updates to increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more buyers/renters. ↑
- Resale Kitchen appliances and cabinetry upgrades — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value for potential buyers. ↑
- Resale Bathroom fixtures and tile upgrades — Modernizes bathrooms and adds value for potential buyers. ↑
- Both Flooring upgrades (e.g., hardwood or tile) — Enhances interior aesthetics and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both HVAC system maintenance or upgrade — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency, attracting buyers/renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more buyers/renters. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mt Vernon Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1807260
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,671
- Composite
- 41.3/100
- National rank
- #3514
- State rank
- #70 of 301 in IN
Livability — McCordsville
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #181
- US rank
- #8388
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McCordsville, IN
- County
- Hancock County · 77,820 people
- City population
- 16,010
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,010
- Household income
- $113,784
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 77,820 people
- By 2030
- 79,914 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 82,734 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 83,348 · +7.1%
- By 2075
- 82,439 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 74,181 · -4.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 13% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Hancock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.7) · D 32.2% · R 65.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.1pp toward R · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -33.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.7 2020: R+37.5 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+29.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.35%
- Current HPI
- 207.9764
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.18%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-11.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Price Changed $475,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $485,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Listed $495,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $495,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $515,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-10 Listed $535,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…