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1377 Fulton Ave
C Composite 57.89
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$88,000

1377 Fulton Ave · Tarrant, AL 35217
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,560 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 145 Days on market
Built 1925 7,405 sqft lot $56/sqft · 22% above area Est $72k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Investment Opportunity. Property was remodeled 24 months ago, with some cosmetic updates this property would make a great rental or flip. 3 bedrooms 1 bath, hardwood and lvp floors throughout. Off Street Parking, spacious yard and a covered porch give this home tons of potential. Sold As-Is, right redemption may apply.

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Covered porch
  • Remodeled

Tags

REMODELEDHARDWOOD FLOORSLVP FLOORSOFF STREET PARKINGSPACIOUS YARDCOVERED PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $407 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#507 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Tarrant City (suburban): math 4% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #121 of 129 in AL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Tarrant Intermediate School (math 4% / reading 18%, grade F, #560 of 627 statewide, top 90%, 402 students, 89% FRL); Tarrant High School (math 3% / reading 16%, grade F, #258 of 305 statewide, top 85%, 559 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools at 87% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $608 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $77,440 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
11.85%
Cash-on-cash
19.84%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$72,348
List price
$88,000
Delta
21.63%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1012 Birmingham St 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,572 (+1%) 3mo $26,000 $17 72
4101 49th Ter N 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,547 (-1%) 14mo $67,000 $43 71
636 Jefferson Blvd 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,505 (-4%) 0mo $65,000 $43 68
1249 Park Ave 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,456 (-7%) 12mo $108,000 $74 62
1140 Wharton Ave 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,568 (+0%) 12mo $130,000 $83 62
717 Jackson Blvd 0.57mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,604 (+3%) 8mo $65,000 $41 57
1360 Prosch Ave 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-14%) 11mo $84,000 $63 56
1225 Elizabeth Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,697 (+9%) 1mo $114,429 $67 55
4240 49th Ave 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,358 (-13%) 14mo $149,000 $110 50
1104 Linthicum St 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,340 (-14%) 7mo $56,000 $42 47
1433 Ford Ave 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,372 (-12%) 10mo $90,000 $66 44
4409 41st Pl N 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,793 (+15%) 2mo $150,000 $84 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.5%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$12,369
Equity at exit
$13,121
10-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$47,015
Equity at exit
$7,609

Cash invested: $24,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35217

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,201 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$461
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $517/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$407

Break-even live

Break-even rent $685
Max offer price $88,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $457 -5% $432 +0% $407 +5% $382 +10% $358
Rent -10% $313 -5% $360 +0% $407 +5% $455 +10% $502
Rate -1.0pp $452 -0.5pp $430 base $407 +0.5pp $385 +1.0pp $361

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,000
Closing costs
$2,640
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5015 42nd Pl N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,200 $0.80 45d 1 0.17mi
1237 Elm Ave Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.5 1312 $1,150 $0.88 45d 1 0.19mi
1236 Elm Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1888 $950 $0.50 45d 1 0.21mi
4212 50th Ave N Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1517 $1,595 $1.05 3d 1 0.22mi
4208 50th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1104 $1,200 $1.09 45d 1 0.23mi
1249 Waverly St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,000 $0.79 45d 1 0.24mi
4925 43rd Way N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1232 $1,461 $1.19 3d 1 0.27mi
1434 Thomason Ave Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1644 $1,100 $0.67 45d 1 0.28mi
1043 Jackson Blvd Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1300 $1,095 $0.84 16d 1 0.34mi
1401 Wharton Ave Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1104 $950 $0.86 20d 1 0.36mi
1224 Sloan Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 2164 $1,200 $0.55 4d 1 0.37mi
1076 Green St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1172 $1,050 $0.90 17d 1 0.43mi
1108 Hall St Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1680 $850 $0.51 45d 1 0.44mi
732 Fulton Ave Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1320 $1,450 $1.10 45d 1 0.55mi
4329 Harmon St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1227 $950 $0.77 45d 1 0.58mi
4329 Harmon St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1227 $950 $0.77 4d 1 0.58mi
1225 Elizabeth Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1697 $1,100 $0.65 20d 1 0.60mi
4418 43rd St N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1710 $925 $0.54 25d 1 0.62mi
619 Bell Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1550 $1,075 $0.69 45d 1 0.64mi
4329 Pulaski St Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1240 $1,353 $1.09 25d 1 0.64mi
1731 Mountain Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1160 $975 $0.84 45d 1 0.65mi
4344 Pulaski St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1268 $1,050 $0.83 45d 1 0.68mi
1816 Damon Cir Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1401 $1,153 $0.82 17d 1 0.70mi
4301 Greenwood St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,025 $0.90 4d 1 0.71mi
4400 43rd St N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1152 $850 $0.74 16d 1 0.74mi
4400 43rd St N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1152 $850 $0.74 45d 1 0.74mi
4217 43rd Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,200 $1.05 4d 1 0.76mi
3823 43rd Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,200 $0.80 45d 1 0.91mi
3823 43rd Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,200 $0.80 25d 1 0.91mi
1303 Main St Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1432 $1,300 $0.91 45d 1 0.94mi
4231 40th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1272 $850 $0.67 20d 1 0.98mi
4028 40th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1186 $950 $0.80 45d 1 0.98mi
1508 Saint Joseph St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1200 $995 $0.83 16d 1 0.98mi

Listing history 45 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $88,000 Active 145 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $88,000 Active 144 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $88,000 Active 143 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $88,000 Active 142 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $88,000 Active 140 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $88,000 Active 137 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $88,000 Active 136 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $88,000 Active 135 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $88,000 Active 134 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $88,000 Active 131 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $88,000 Active 130 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $88,000 Active 129 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $88,000 Active 128 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $88,000 Active 127 DOM
  15. 2026-05-05
    price $88,000 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity. Property was remodeled 24 months ago, with some cosmetic updates this property would make a great rental or flip. 3 bedrooms 1 bath, hardwood and lvp floors throughout. Off Street Parking, spacious yard and a covered porch give this home tons of potential. Sold As-Is, right redemption may apply.

  16. 2026-01-23
    listed $98,000 Active 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity. Property was remodeled 24 months ago, with some cosmetic updates this property would make a great rental or flip. 3 bedrooms 1 bath, hardwood and lvp floors throughout. Off Street Parking, spacious yard and a covered porch give this home tons of potential. Sold As-Is, right redemption may apply.

  17. 2025-08-27
    price $132,000
  18. 2025-08-07
    price $89,000
  19. 2023-11-03
    soldstatus $109,900 Sold
  20. 2023-11-03
    soldstatus $109,900
  21. 2023-10-05
    historical Contingent
  22. 2023-09-27
    listed $109,900 Active
  23. 2023-04-28
    price $74,900
  24. 2023-03-30
    price $79,900
  25. 2023-03-11
    price $69,900
  26. 2022-08-15
    soldstatus $741,200
  27. 2022-01-01
    historical
  28. 2021-12-29
    soldstatus $53,000 Sold
  29. 2021-12-10
    historical Contingent
  30. 2021-12-01
    historical
  31. 2021-11-10
    historical Contingent
  32. 2021-11-05
    historical
  33. 2021-10-01
    historical Contingent
  34. 2021-09-20
    status Active
  35. 2021-09-15
    price $64,000
  36. 2021-07-25
    historical Contingent
  37. 2021-07-13
    status Active
  38. 2021-06-26
    historical
  39. 2021-06-04
    status Active
  40. 2021-05-27
    historical Contingent
  41. 2021-05-14
    listed $68,000 Active
  42. 2018-03-29
    soldstatus $54,000
  43. 2011-08-19
    soldstatus $61,500
  44. 2009-12-14
    soldstatus $61,000
  45. 1989-12-14
    soldstatus $41,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$517 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$517 · $43/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,409
− Mortgage interest
−$4,929
− Property taxes
−$517
− Insurance
−$440
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,153
− Management
−$1,153
− Depreciation
−$2,560
Taxable income
$3,658
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$878
After-tax cash flow
$4,011/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tarrant City
NCES district ID
0103270
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$29,256
Composite
8.0/100
National rank
#9924
State rank
#121 of 129 in AL

Livability — Tarrant

Score
51/100
State rank
#507
US rank
#25136

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tarrant, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
12,240
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
12,240
Household income
$40,486
Rent vs Own
52.5% rent · 47.5% own
Severe rent burden
594.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 13%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.54%
Current HPI
117.416
Rent YoY
▲ 3.58%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+112.0% since first listed
31 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $88,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $98,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-08-27 Price Changed $132,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-08-07 Price Changed $89,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $109,900 Public Records
  • 2023-11-03 Sold (MLS) $109,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-10-05 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-09-27 Listed $109,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-04-28 Price Changed $74,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-03-30 Price Changed $79,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-03-11 Price Changed $69,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $741,200 Public Records
  • 2022-01-01 Delisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-12-29 Sold (MLS) $53,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-12-10 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-12-01 Delisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-11-10 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-11-05 Delisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-10-01 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-09-20 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-09-15 Price Changed $64,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-07-25 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-07-13 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-06-26 Delisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-06-04 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-05-27 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-05-14 Listed $68,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2018-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
  • 2011-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $61,500 Public Records
  • 2009-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
  • 1989-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $41,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $517 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…