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11291 County Rd 1232
C- Composite 50.12
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.7/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$224,567

11291 County Rd 1232 · Tyler, TX 75762
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,487 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 129 Days on market
Built 1978 0.44 ac lot $151/sqft · 16% below area Est $267k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nestled in the peaceful surroundings of Flint, Texas, this charming 1978 vintage home sits on a spacious 0.44-acre lot, framed by majestic oak trees. Located on a quiet cul-de-sac, the property offers serene pasture views, best enjoyed from the screened-in back porch, complete with a nostalgic porch swing. Beautiful and practical landscaping redesign offer open patios in front and back yard. Inside, the living room boasts an 11-foot vaulted ceiling, centered around a cozy wood-burning stove with a classic brick hearth. The home features updated luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, providing both style and easy maintenance. The oversized master bedroom is perfect for accommodating large furnishings and includes two reach-in closets for ample storage. The adjoining master bath maintains its vintage charm, complete with a shower/tub, linen storage, and retro swag lamps. Two additional guest bedrooms share a second full bath, also with a shower/tub combo. Thoughtful storage solutions continue with two hallway closets and another off the entry. The screened back porch, reinforced with hurricane-strength screens, offers the perfect bug-free environment to relax and entertain. The beautifully landscaped flower beds showcase a vibrant mix of herbs, perennials, and annuals, adding pops of color to this inviting home. With its timeless appeal and tranquil setting, this Flint gem is a perfect place to call home. Owens/Hubbard/Tyler Legacy schools.

Key facts

  • Two reach in closets
  • Serene pasture views
  • Open patios

Tags

SCREENED IN BACK PORCHTWO REACH IN CLOSETSVINTAGE CHARM MASTER BATHHURRICANE STRENGTH SCREENSSERENE PASTURE VIEWSOPEN PATIOS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $65 ($782/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (10.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $198k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.6% in Tyler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#147 in TX, #4,181 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime D+.
  • Tyler ISD (urban): math 39% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #449 of 826 in TX (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 354 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $197,618 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.64%
Cash-on-cash
1.24%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$267,260
List price
$224,567
Delta
-15.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.3%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-32,223
Equity at exit
$33,484
10-year hold
IRR
-5.5%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-22,653
Equity at exit
$19,416

Cash invested: $62,879 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75762

Home prices YoY
-28.4%
Active inventory
354
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,014 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,178
Tax from tax record
$255 /mo · $3,058/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$423
Net cashflow
$65

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,932
Max offer price $224,567
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $192 -5% $129 +0% $65 +5% $2 +10% $-62
Rent -10% $-94 -5% $-14 +0% $65 +5% $145 +10% $224
Rate -1.0pp $178 -0.5pp $122 base $65 +0.5pp $7 +1.0pp $-52

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,142
Closing costs
$6,737
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18662 FM 2493 Flint, TX 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1406 $2,145 $1.53 14d 1 0.42mi
19036 County Road 1202 Flint, TX 3.0 2.0 1361 $1,800 $1.32 44d 1 0.73mi
10742 County Road 169 Flint, TX 2.0 2.0 1151 $1,595 $1.39 44d 1 0.86mi
10754 County Road 169 Flint, TX 2.0 2.0 1151 $1,695 $1.47 44d 1 0.87mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $224,567 Active 129 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $224,567 Active 128 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $224,567 Active 127 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $224,567 Active 126 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $224,567 Active 125 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $224,567 Active 123 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $224,567 Active 122 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $224,567 Active 120 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $224,567 Active 119 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $224,567 Active 118 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $224,567 Active 117 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $224,567 Active 114 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $224,567 Active 112 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $224,567 Active 111 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $224,567 Active 110 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $224,567 Active 109 DOM
  17. 2026-04-17
    price $224,567 1463-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1463 chars)

    Nestled in the peaceful surroundings of Flint, Texas, this charming 1978 vintage home sits on a spacious 0.44-acre lot, framed by majestic oak trees. Located on a quiet cul-de-sac, the property offers serene pasture views, best enjoyed from the screened-in back porch, complete with a nostalgic porch swing. Beautiful and practical landscaping redesign offer open patios in front and back yard. Inside, the living room boasts an 11-foot vaulted ceiling, centered around a cozy wood-burning stove with a classic brick hearth. The home features updated luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, providing both style and easy maintenance. The oversized master bedroom is perfect for accommodating large furnishings and includes two reach-in closets for ample storage. The adjoining master bath maintains its vintage charm, complete with a shower/tub, linen storage, and retro swag lamps. Two additional guest bedrooms share a second full bath, also with a shower/tub combo. Thoughtful storage solutions continue with two hallway closets and another off the entry. The screened back porch, reinforced with hurricane-strength screens, offers the perfect bug-free environment to relax and entertain. The beautifully landscaped flower beds showcase a vibrant mix of herbs, perennials, and annuals, adding pops of color to this inviting home. With its timeless appeal and tranquil setting, this Flint gem is a perfect place to call home. Owens/Hubbard/Tyler Legacy schools.

  18. 2026-02-10
    listed $229,900 Active 1463-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1463 chars)

    Nestled in the peaceful surroundings of Flint, Texas, this charming 1978 vintage home sits on a spacious 0.44-acre lot, framed by majestic oak trees. Located on a quiet cul-de-sac, the property offers serene pasture views, best enjoyed from the screened-in back porch, complete with a nostalgic porch swing. Beautiful and practical landscaping redesign offer open patios in front and back yard. Inside, the living room boasts an 11-foot vaulted ceiling, centered around a cozy wood-burning stove with a classic brick hearth. The home features updated luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, providing both style and easy maintenance. The oversized master bedroom is perfect for accommodating large furnishings and includes two reach-in closets for ample storage. The adjoining master bath maintains its vintage charm, complete with a shower/tub, linen storage, and retro swag lamps. Two additional guest bedrooms share a second full bath, also with a shower/tub combo. Thoughtful storage solutions continue with two hallway closets and another off the entry. The screened back porch, reinforced with hurricane-strength screens, offers the perfect bug-free environment to relax and entertain. The beautifully landscaped flower beds showcase a vibrant mix of herbs, perennials, and annuals, adding pops of color to this inviting home. With its timeless appeal and tranquil setting, this Flint gem is a perfect place to call home. Owens/Hubbard/Tyler Legacy schools.

  19. 2025-01-15
    status Active
  20. 2025-01-08
    historical
  21. 2024-10-17
    listed $239,900 Active
  22. 2020-04-30
    soldstatus
  23. 2020-04-29
    soldstatus
  24. 2020-03-15
    listed $129,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,058 · $255/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,110 · $342/mo
Expected delta
+$1,051/yr (+$88/mo · 34.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,171
− Mortgage interest
−$12,579
− Property taxes
−$3,058
− Insurance
−$1,123
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,934
− Management
−$1,934
− Depreciation
−$6,533
Taxable loss
−$2,989
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$717
After-tax cash flow
$1,500/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tyler ISD
NCES district ID
4843470
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,090
Composite
32.69/100
National rank
#5650
State rank
#449 of 826 in TX

Livability — Tyler

Score
75/100
State rank
#147
US rank
#4181

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Smith County · 180,570 people
City population
127,842
Metro
Tyler, TX
Population (ZIP)
15,704
Household income
$90,057
Rent vs Own
14.6% rent · 85.4% own
Severe rent burden
98.0

Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,890 people
By 2030
261,665 · +5.1%
By 2040
286,114 · +15.0%
By 2050
308,006 · +23.8%
By 2075
354,171 · +42.3%
By 2100
372,828 · +49.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 13% Black 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Serbian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 13%

Political lean MEDSL · Smith

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+39.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.39%
Current HPI
197.2375
Rent YoY
Metro
Tyler, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+72.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $224,567 GTAR
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $229,900 GTAR
  • 2025-01-15 Relisted GTAR
  • 2025-01-08 Delisted GTAR
  • 2024-10-17 Listed $239,900 GTAR
  • 2020-04-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-04-29 Sold (MLS) GTAR
  • 2020-03-15 Listed $129,900 GTAR

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,058 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…