2149 E 31st St · Lorain, OH 44055

$75,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,123 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market

Built 1900 9,147 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.6/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This impressive 2,123 GLA two-story home offers a rare combination of size, versatility, and classic charm. With 4 bedrooms, 1 bathroom on the 2nd floor, and 2 additional bonus rooms and a bath in the finished attic that can easily function as bedroom 5 and 6, the layout adapts beautifully for those who want or need the added living space or expanded work-from-home needs. The modern, spacious kitchen provides abundant cupboard and counter space, making meal prep efficient and enjoyable. A formal dining room sits just off the kitchen—ideal for gatherings, holidays, and entertaining. The generous living room offers plenty of room to relax or host guests, giving the main level a comforta

Key facts

• Formal dining room
• Back porch
• Generous living room

Tags

• MODERN SPACIOUS KITCHEN
• FORMAL DINING ROOM
• GENEROUS LIVING ROOM
• FULL UNFINISHED BASEMENT
• LARGE OPEN FRONT PORCH
• BACK PORCH

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: 2-story house
• Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
• Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Porch

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
• Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom; Additional bedrooms on the second floor (three total on second floor listed)
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating
• Interior features: Full, unfinished basement; Bonus room on the third floor; One fireplace

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $815 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
• Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 5.9% in Lorain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#595 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, health & safety D.
• Lorain City (suburban): math 13% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #633 of 656 in OH (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $1,729/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 1140% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.31% ✓
• Cap rate: 19.33%
• Cash-on-cash: 46.58%
• DSCR: 3.07
• GRM: 3.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $195,316
• Comps found: 4

Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2066 E 30th St	0.17mi	4/1.5	2,059 (-3%)	2mo	$189,900	$92	83
2338 E 31st St	0.30mi	5/3.0 (+1)	2,024 (-5%)	6mo	$220,000	$109	64
2500 E 32nd St	0.48mi	3/1.0 (-1)	2,062 (-3%)	6mo	$105,000	$51	59
4015 Yale Dr	0.64mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,894 (-11%)	22mo	$170,000	$90	27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 43.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.90×
• Total profit: $39,806
• Equity at exit: $11,183

10-year hold

• IRR: 49.9%
• Equity multiple: 5.84×
• Total profit: $101,697
• Equity at exit: $6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 73 Landlord-Friendly
• State Ohio: 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 44055

• Home prices YoY: -30.5%
• Active inventory: 81
• Price-to-rent: 3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,729 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$393
• Tax from tax record: −$126 /mo · $1,513/yr
• Insurance: −$31
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$363
• Net cashflow: $815

Break-even live

Break-even rent $697

Max offer price $75,000

Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $18,750
• Closing costs: $2,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1763 E 36th St Lorain, OH	5.0	1.5	2000	$1,895	$0.95	1d	1	0.94mi
1639 E 31st St Unit 1637 Lorain, OH	3.0	1.0	1500	$1,200	$0.80	43d	1	1.20mi

Listing history 8 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $75,000 Active 9 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $75,000 Active 3 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   remarks 693-char remark
8. 2026-06-10
   listed $75,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,513 · $126/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,513 · $126/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,745
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,201
• − Property taxes: −$1,513
• − Insurance: −$375
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,660
• − Management: −$1,660
• − Depreciation: −$2,182
• Taxable income: $9,155
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,197
• After-tax cash flow: $7,584/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lorain City
• NCES district ID: 3904426
• Math proficiency: 13% ▼ -24.00%
• Reading proficiency: 26% ▼ -10.00%
• Median HH income: $32,823
• Composite: 15.81/100
• National rank: #9266
• State rank: #633 of 656 in OH

Livability — Lorain

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #595
• US rank: #10183

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lorain, OH
• County: Lorain County · 219,437 people
• City population: 69,409
• Metro: Cleveland-Elyria, OH
• Population (ZIP): 20,043
• Household income: $40,636
• Rent vs Own: 47.3% rent · 52.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1140.0

Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 314,924 people
• By 2030: 317,546 · +0.8%
• By 2040: 317,962 · +1.0%
• By 2050: 312,872 · -0.7%
• By 2075: 301,806 · -4.2%
• By 2100: 278,271 · -11.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
• Race & ethnicity: White 41% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 24% Black 14%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 27%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 5% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, Guatemala
• Languages at home: 75% English-only · Spanish 23%

Political lean MEDSL · Lorain

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -79.26%
• Current HPI: 180.9309
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Cleveland-Elyria, OH
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.98%
• F500 in state: 48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	3	$145B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$49B
▸Financial Services	3	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$93B
▸Aerospace / Defense	2	$47B
▸Utilities	2	$33B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-09 Listed $75,000 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,513 · +31.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.