139 Wilkes Ave · Mabscott, WV
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 bedroom, backyard is fenced & has storage shed. House appears to be in good condition. Large 24 ft x 6'4 covered front porch. Large back deck.
Key facts
- New metal roof
- 8 new windows
- Inside remodel
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $454 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#212 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Raleigh County Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #14 of 55 in WV (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 112 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Raleigh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Raleigh County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $21k; list at $65k implies a 210% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.95%
- DSCR
- 2.33
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $83,160
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 Quarry St | 0.26mi | 2/1.5 | 744 (-6%) | 15mo | $94,600 | $127 | 64 |
| 100 Bower Ave | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 816 (+3%) | 7mo | $65,000 | $80 | 59 |
| 107 Forrest Ave | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+6%) | 22mo | $90,000 | $107 | 58 |
| 203 1/2 Reservoir Rd | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-9%) | 11mo | $105,000 | $146 | 50 |
| 239 Kirk St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (0%) | 23mo | $23,000 | $29 | 48 |
| 210 Wyoming Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (0%) | 22mo | $74,000 | $93 | 47 |
| 1501 Harper Rd | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 907 (+14%) | 6mo | $95,000 | $105 | 42 |
| 124 Walker Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.5 | 910 (+15%) | 17mo | $36,000 | $40 | 38 |
| 343 Ewart Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 853 (+8%) | 15mo | $140,000 | $164 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $19,759
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 34.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.31×
- Total profit
- $60,179
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25801
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,078 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$29 /mo · $353/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$226
- Net cashflow
- $454
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $491 | -5% $473 | +0% $454 | +5% $436 | +10% $418 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $369 | -5% $412 | +0% $454 | +5% $497 | +10% $539 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $487 | -0.5pp $471 | base $454 | +0.5pp $437 | +1.0pp $420 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $65,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $65,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $65,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$65,000 Active
-
2017-10-30soldstatus $21,000 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
2 bedroom, backyard is fenced & has storage shed. House appears to be in good condition. Large 24 ft x 6'4 covered front porch. Large back deck.
-
2017-06-26$32,900 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
2 bedroom, backyard is fenced & has storage shed. House appears to be in good condition. Large 24 ft x 6'4 covered front porch. Large back deck.
-
1990-03-29soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $353 · $29/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $384 · $32/mo
- Expected delta
- +$30/yr (+$3/mo · 8.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,937
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$353
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,035
- − Management
- −$1,035
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $4,657
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,118
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,334/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Raleigh County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5401230
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,828
- Composite
- 29.74/100
- National rank
- #6445
- State rank
- #14 of 55 in WV
Livability — Mabscott
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #212
- US rank
- #18521
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mabscott, WV
- County
- Raleigh County · 31,128 people
- City population
- 934
- Metro
- Beckley, WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,128
- Household income
- $56,836
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1384.0
Population outlook (Raleigh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 73,505 people
- By 2030
- 70,954 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 66,038 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 61,919 · -15.8%
- By 2075
- 51,954 · -29.3%
- By 2100
- 39,724 · -46.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Raleigh
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.0% · R 76.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.5pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -54.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.3 2020: R+50.4 2016: R+52.8 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+25.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.60%
- Current HPI
- 210.0114
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.25%
- Metro
- Beckley, WV
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+333.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $65,000 FSBO.com
- 2017-10-30 Sold (MLS) $21,000 BBOR
- 2017-06-26 Listed $32,900 BBOR
- 1990-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $353 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…