28 Dogwood Dr Unit DO28 · Hamlin, NY 14464

$85,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured · 13 Days on market

Built 2026 Good condition

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +28.7/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +7.9/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Condition / age +3.8/5.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Charming 3-Bedroom Home with Modern Features

Key facts

• Built 2026
• Listed 13 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Listed for $85,900

Exterior

• Home design: Spec inventory home; Creekside of Hamlin plan

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Interior features: Living area of 924

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $86k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $285 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $86k).
• Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 4.1% in Hamlin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#557 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment C-, crime D, schools F.
• Brockport Central School District (town): math 45% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #369 of 590 in NY (top 62%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $594 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Recommended offer $85,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.29% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.27%
• Cash-on-cash: 14.21%
• DSCR: 1.63
• GRM: 6.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $39,732
• Comps found: 5

Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
99 Locust Dr	0.04mi	2/1.0 (-1)	924 (0%)	11mo	$39,900	$43	80
41 Roadside Dr	0.10mi	3/2.0	983 (+6%)	5mo	$80,000	$81	80
49 Sandybrook Dr	0.58mi	3/2.0	952 (+3%)	4mo	$32,000	$34	65
10 Dogwood Dr	0.02mi	3/1.0	786 (-15%)	6mo	$34,500	$44	65
69 Sandybrook Dr	0.61mi	3/1.0	960 (+4%)	2mo	$38,000	$40	60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 4.6%
• Equity multiple: 1.18×
• Total profit: $4,240
• Equity at exit: $12,808

10-year hold

• IRR: 14.0%
• Equity multiple: 2.13×
• Total profit: $27,122
• Equity at exit: $7,427

Cash invested: $24,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14464

• Home prices YoY: -15.0%
• Active inventory: 51
• Price-to-rent: 6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,112 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$450
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$107 /mo · $1,288/yr
• Insurance: −$36
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$234
• Net cashflow: $285

Break-even live

Break-even rent $751

Max offer price $85,900

Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $21,475
• Closing costs: $2,577
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $85,900 Active 13 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $85,900 Active 12 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $85,900 Active 11 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $85,900 Active 10 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $85,900 Active 8 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $85,900 Active 7 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $85,900 Active 5 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $85,900 Active 4 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $85,900 Active 3 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 44-char remark
11. 2026-06-07
    listed $85,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,344
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,812
• − Property taxes: −$1,288
• − Insurance: −$430
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,068
• − Management: −$1,068
• − Depreciation: −$2,499
• Taxable income: $2,181
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$523
• After-tax cash flow: $2,895/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with a well-maintained exterior and landscaping. A fresh coat of paint and some trimming would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint the exterior — Painting the exterior can enhance the curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
• Both Trim the bushes — Trimming the bushes can improve the landscaping and increase both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint the exterior — Painting the exterior can enhance the curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
• Both Trim the bushes — Trimming the bushes can improve the landscaping and increase both resale and rental value. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Brockport Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3605580
• Math proficiency: 45% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 55% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $55,571
• Composite: 43.28/100
• National rank: #3044
• State rank: #369 of 590 in NY

Livability — Hamlin

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #557
• US rank: #10030

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D- Cost of living A Crime D Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Hamlin, NY
• Population (ZIP): 6,725

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 759,460 people
• By 2030: 757,154 · -0.3%
• By 2040: 740,644 · -2.5%
• By 2050: 714,443 · -5.9%
• By 2075: 645,883 · -15.0%
• By 2100: 547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (95%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 95% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 7% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 0%
• Languages at home: 99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

• 2024 margin: D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -43.89%
• Current HPI: 248.1985
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B