Triplex
2192 Waterbury Rd · Waterbury, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.3/30.0
- ARV discount +11.2/15.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$510,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Do not miss your opportunity to own this beautifully maintained 3 family home in Cheshire. 3 2 bedroom units that are all currently rented to generate a positive cash flow immediately when you purchase. 1 Car oversized garage, updated units, oil heat. Schedule a private showing today
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Conveniently located
- 0.3 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1); Paved parking; Total of 5 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected
- Home design: Multi-family property (3-family)
- Construction: Frame construction; Brick and masonry foundation
- Exterior features: Level lot; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
Interior
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heat; Propane fuel for heating; Above-ground fuel tank; Propane domestic hot water
- Interior features: 14 total rooms; Full, unfinished basement with crawl space, hatchway access, dirt floor and concrete floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $510k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $341/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $510k).
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.6% in Waterbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#32 in CT, #2,205 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, employment D.
- Cheshire School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #15 of 153 in CT (top 10%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,501/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($145k/yr) (locally 234% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1840 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1840 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.61%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $555,238
- List price
- $510,000
- Delta
- -8.15%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 11 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2192 Waterbury Rd | 0.00mi | 6/3.0 | 2,960 (0%) | 1mo | $510,000 | $172 | 100 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-17,456
- Equity at exit
- $76,043
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $68,621
- Equity at exit
- $44,095
Cash invested: $142,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06410
- Active inventory
- 111
- Price-to-rent
- 23.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,501 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,674
- Tax from tax record
- −$435 /mo · $5,216/yr
- Insurance
- −$212
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,155
- Net cashflow
- $1,024
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | — | $5,502 |
| #1 | 2 | — | $1,834 |
| #2 | 2 | — | $1,834 |
| #3 | 2 | — | $1,834 |
| Total (3 units) | $5,501 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $127,500
- Closing costs
- $15,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-05status Under Contract 768-char remark
-
2026-05-01$510,000 Active 768-char remark
-
2023-07-09historical
-
2019-07-23soldstatus $310,000
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2019-07-22soldstatus $310,000 Closed 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Do not miss your opportunity to own this beautifully maintained 3 family home in Cheshire. 3 2 bedroom units that are all currently rented to generate a positive cash flow immediately when you purchase. 1 Car oversized garage, updated units, oil heat. Schedule a private showing today
-
2019-07-20historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Do not miss your opportunity to own this beautifully maintained 3 family home in Cheshire. 3 2 bedroom units that are all currently rented to generate a positive cash flow immediately when you purchase. 1 Car oversized garage, updated units, oil heat. Schedule a private showing today
-
2019-07-15historical 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Do not miss your opportunity to own this beautifully maintained 3 family home in Cheshire. 3 2 bedroom units that are all currently rented to generate a positive cash flow immediately when you purchase. 1 Car oversized garage, updated units, oil heat. Schedule a private showing today
-
2019-07-07historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Do not miss your opportunity to own this beautifully maintained 3 family home in Cheshire. 3 2 bedroom units that are all currently rented to generate a positive cash flow immediately when you purchase. 1 Car oversized garage, updated units, oil heat. Schedule a private showing today
-
2019-06-05status Active 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Do not miss your opportunity to own this beautifully maintained 3 family home in Cheshire. 3 2 bedroom units that are all currently rented to generate a positive cash flow immediately when you purchase. 1 Car oversized garage, updated units, oil heat. Schedule a private showing today
-
2019-05-13historical 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Do not miss your opportunity to own this beautifully maintained 3 family home in Cheshire. 3 2 bedroom units that are all currently rented to generate a positive cash flow immediately when you purchase. 1 Car oversized garage, updated units, oil heat. Schedule a private showing today
-
2019-05-11$320,000 Active 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Do not miss your opportunity to own this beautifully maintained 3 family home in Cheshire. 3 2 bedroom units that are all currently rented to generate a positive cash flow immediately when you purchase. 1 Car oversized garage, updated units, oil heat. Schedule a private showing today
-
2016-05-06soldstatus $1,150
Show marketing remark (130 chars)
NICE UNIT HAS ISLAND KITCHEN 2 BEDROOMS 1 BATH AVAIL MARCH 1ST AMD NO PETS AND SECURITY IST LAST MONTH CREDIT AND BACKGROUND CHECK
-
2016-02-08historical
Show marketing remark (130 chars)
NICE UNIT HAS ISLAND KITCHEN 2 BEDROOMS 1 BATH AVAIL MARCH 1ST AMD NO PETS AND SECURITY IST LAST MONTH CREDIT AND BACKGROUND CHECK
-
2016-02-07$1,150
Show marketing remark (130 chars)
NICE UNIT HAS ISLAND KITCHEN 2 BEDROOMS 1 BATH AVAIL MARCH 1ST AMD NO PETS AND SECURITY IST LAST MONTH CREDIT AND BACKGROUND CHECK
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,216 · $435/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,065 · $672/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,849/yr (+$237/mo · 54.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $66,012
- − Mortgage interest
- −$28,568
- − Property taxes
- −$5,216
- − Insurance
- −$2,550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,281
- − Management
- −$5,281
- − Depreciation
- −$14,836
- Taxable income
- $4,280
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,027
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,262/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cheshire School District
- NCES district ID
- 0900750
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 76% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $107,049
- Composite
- 64.78/100
- National rank
- #519
- State rank
- #15 of 153 in CT
Livability — Waterbury
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #32
- US rank
- #2205
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 115,012
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,904
- Household income
- $145,179
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 234.0
Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 496,846
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Two or more races 10% Asian 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Chinese 4% Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -321.35%
- Current HPI
- 244.0737
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+44247.8% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Sold (MLS) $510,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-05-05 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $510,000 Smart MLS
- 2023-07-09 Rental Removed — APPFOLIO
- 2019-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $310,000 Public Records
- 2019-07-22 Sold (MLS) $310,000 Smart MLS
- 2019-07-20 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2019-07-15 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2019-07-07 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2019-06-05 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2019-05-13 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2019-05-11 Listed $320,000 Smart MLS
- 2016-05-06 Sold (MLS) $1,150 Smart MLS
- 2016-02-08 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2016-02-07 Listed $1,150 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2023): $5,216 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…