3041 S Pines Dr #52 · Largo, FL
Flood risk 2/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.03%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.0/30.0
- ARV discount +6.7/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Active with Contract. Short Sale. Two story affordable townhome in central location! The interior features 2 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, kitchen with all appliances, dining/living room combo, laminate floors, carpeting and ceramic tile, Short sale. Great investment opportunity!!THERE IS NO HOA AND NO FEES!!!
Key facts
- Screened-in patio
- Walk-in closets
- Private fenced yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total acreage: less than 1/4 acre; Lot surfaced with asphalt; Lot size approximately 0.03 acres
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Community sidewalks; Street lights; Cats and dogs allowed; Association fee includes: None
Exterior
- Parking: Directions: From Ulmerton Road, drive north on Tall Pines Drive, turn right to go east on S Pines Drive; unit #52 will be on the left
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Townhouse; Two-story; Faces south; Unit #52
- Construction: Vinyl siding with frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as a residential townhouse
- Exterior features: Rear screened porch; Sidewalk
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Living room and dining room combined
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup; Laundry closet on upper level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-55 ($-661/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $232k (3.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (15.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $203k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.2% in Largo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#82 in FL, #1,240 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 371 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $240k implies a 585% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 371 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.98%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $235,800
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2811 S Pines Dr #20 | 0.19mi | 2/1.5 | 1,048 (0%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $177 | 90 |
| 3040 S Pines Dr #95 | 0.03mi | 2/1.5 | 1,048 (0%) | 12mo | $236,000 | $225 | 88 |
| 2820 S Pines Dr #125 | 0.15mi | 2/1.5 | 1,048 (0%) | 16mo | $265,000 | $253 | 80 |
| 2751 S Pines Dr #5 | 0.21mi | 2/1.5 | 1,048 (0%) | 22mo | $242,000 | $231 | 72 |
| 8856 Christie Dr #0 | 0.37mi | 2/2.5 | 1,205 (+15%) | 12mo | $254,900 | $212 | 44 |
| 8844 Christie Dr | 0.35mi | 2/2.5 | 1,205 (+15%) | 16mo | $275,000 | $228 | 42 |
| 8884 Christie Dr | 0.42mi | 2/2.5 | 1,205 (+15%) | 16mo | $255,000 | $212 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-48,298
- Equity at exit
- $35,770
- IRR
- -24.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.03×
- Total profit
- $-69,429
- Equity at exit
- $20,742
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33771
- Home prices YoY
- -30.2%
- Rents YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 220
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,029 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$300 /mo · $3,598/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$426
- Net cashflow
- $-55
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $111 | -5% $28 | +0% $-55 | +5% $-138 | +10% $-221 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-215 | -5% $-135 | +0% $-55 | +5% $25 | +10% $105 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $66 | -0.5pp $6 | base $-55 | +0.5pp $-117 | +1.0pp $-180 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3030 Whispering Dr N Largo, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1348 | $3,600 | $2.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 2871 S Pines Dr #24 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1048 | $1,800 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 3331 Whispering Dr N Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $2,190 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 8775 Christie Dr Largo, FL | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1300 | $2,198 | $1.69 | 18d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1601 Palm Way Largo, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,950 | $1.80 | 25d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3736 141st Pl Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $1,650 | $2.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3718 138th Ave N Unit 2 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,500 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3767 138th Ave N Unit B Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,495 | $1.92 | 2d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 779 34th St SE Unit 1319966P Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $2,941 | $2.97 | 8d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 636 Lake Palms Dr Unit Stylish Largo, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,200 | $2.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 636 Lake Palms Dr Unit Stylish Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 870 | $2,000 | $2.30 | 5d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 960 Starkey Rd #8402 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $2,200 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3073 Pine Tree Ave Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,350 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3135 Pine Tree Ave Unit A Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 923 | $1,395 | $1.51 | 22d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3135 Pine Tree Ave Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 923 | $1,395 | $1.51 | 11d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 960 Starkey Rd #5105 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $2,295 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 960 Starkey Rd #10305 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $2,200 | $1.66 | 15d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1200 Country Club Dr #3302 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $2,200 | $1.67 | 4d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1200 Country Club Dr #1502 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $2,350 | $1.78 | 4d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1200 Country Club Dr #4102 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $2,100 | $1.59 | 4d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 9122 Jakes Path Largo, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1461 | $2,600 | $1.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3022 Meadow Lake Ave Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 11d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3022 Meadow Lake Ave Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 14875 Cromwell Dr Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $2,195 | $1.48 | 17d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2505 E Bay Dr Lot 77 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,395 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 600 Starkey Rd Largo, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 982 | $1,774 | $1.81 | 3d | 21 | 0.93mi |
| 44 Countryclub Dr #44 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $2,300 | $1.80 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2291 E Bay Dr Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 708 | $1,600 | $2.26 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2291 E Bay Dr Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 708 | $1,600 | $2.26 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2045 E Bay Dr Largo, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1114 | $1,830 | $1.64 | 2d | 15 | 1.06mi |
| 225 Country Club Dr #1404 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,700 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 69 Country Club Dr Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $2,000 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 68 Country Club Dr Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1396 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3377 Sherwood Dr Unit A Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,650 | $1.55 | 8d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 84 21st Ter SE Unit 1502691P Largo, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1291 | $5,914 | $4.58 | 8d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 7360 Ulmerton Rd Unit NA Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $2,050 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 7360 Ulmerton Rd Unit 3C Largo, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 846 | $1,498 | $1.77 | 8d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 7360 Ulmerton Rd Unit 3C Largo, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 846 | $1,599 | $1.89 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 199 Fulton St NE Unit 4 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,600 | $2.11 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 9925 Ulmerton Rd #74 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1140 | $1,800 | $1.58 | 18d | 1 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,900 Active 371 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,900 Active 370 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,900 Active 369 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,900 Active 368 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,900 Active 366 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $239,900 Active 362 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,900 Active 361 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $239,900 Active 360 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $239,900 Active 357 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $239,900 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-06-02price $239,900 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 501-char remark
-
2026-06-01statusdays on market $235,000 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-05-21status Pending
-
2026-02-27price $235,000
-
2025-08-31price $249,000
-
2025-06-02$239,000 Active
-
2012-06-27soldstatus $35,000 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Active with Contract. Short Sale. Two story affordable townhome in central location! The interior features 2 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, kitchen with all appliances, dining/living room combo, laminate floors, carpeting and ceramic tile, Short sale. Great investment opportunity!!THERE IS NO HOA AND NO FEES!!!
-
2012-02-07$45,000 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Active with Contract. Short Sale. Two story affordable townhome in central location! The interior features 2 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, kitchen with all appliances, dining/living room combo, laminate floors, carpeting and ceramic tile, Short sale. Great investment opportunity!!THERE IS NO HOA AND NO FEES!!!
-
2005-08-15soldstatus $121,000 29-char remark
Show marketing remark (29 chars)
For Information Purposes Only
-
2005-08-15$119,900 29-char remark
Show marketing remark (29 chars)
For Information Purposes Only
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 3% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,346
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$3,598
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,948
- − Management
- −$1,948
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable loss
- −$4,764
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,143
- After-tax cash flow
- $482/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Largo
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #1240
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Largo, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 106,311
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,596
- Household income
- $59,993
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1243.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.36%
- Current HPI
- 313.5044
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.06%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+94.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $235,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-31 Price Changed $249,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-02 Listed $239,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-06-27 Sold (MLS) $35,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-02-07 Listed $45,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-08-15 Listed $119,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-08-15 Sold (MLS) $121,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…