4 Wellford Dr · Little Rock, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- ARV discount +4.7/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$104,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
wonderful home for your family; walking distance to neighborhood elementary school. Fresh paint inside (and exterior) and new flooring throughout; vacant/SUPRA; go, show and offer.
Key facts
- Brick-front ranch
- Spacious lot
- Long driveway
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Financing options may include VA, FHA, conventional loans, or cash
Exterior
- Parking: Carport for 1 car
- Security: Insulated doors
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric (Entergy); Natural gas
- Home design: Brick and frame exterior with metal/vinyl siding
- Construction: Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard with chain-link fence; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing stove; Kitchen roughly 10 x 12
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom about 14 x 12; Second bedroom about 10 x 12; Third bedroom about 10 x 12; Formal living room
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heat (gas); Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Washer connection; Dryer connection (gas and electric); Gas water heater; Sheetrock walls/ceilings
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer hookup; Dryer hookup (gas and electric)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $242 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 87 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $70k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.87%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $98,810
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Wellford Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,205 (0%) | 1mo | $96,500 | $80 | 100 |
| 7210 W Wakefield Dr Dr | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,175 (-2%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $60 | 70 |
| 20 S Wakefield | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,220 (+1%) | 4mo | $105,000 | $86 | 68 |
| 37 Allyson Cir | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,223 (+2%) | 1mo | $68,000 | $56 | 68 |
| 43 S Wakefield Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,139 (-6%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $149 | 67 |
| 5900 Lancaster Rd | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,196 (-1%) | 12mo | $111,000 | $93 | 58 |
| 5803 Butler Rd | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,217 (+1%) | 10mo | $100,000 | $82 | 57 |
| 5816 Butler Rd | 0.68mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,224 (+2%) | 10mo | $68,250 | $56 | 51 |
| 7516 Sandra Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,332 (+10%) | 14mo | $97,500 | $73 | 50 |
| 5 Sheffield Dr | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,150 (-5%) | 14mo | $80,000 | $70 | 48 |
| 7 Linkay Ct | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,075 (-11%) | 6mo | $138,000 | $128 | 45 |
| 6610 E Wakefield Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,036 (-14%) | 12mo | $101,000 | $97 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $395
- Equity at exit
- $15,641
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $28,693
- Equity at exit
- $9,070
Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72209
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,118 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$550
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $574/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$235
- Net cashflow
- $242
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $301 | -5% $271 | +0% $242 | +5% $212 | +10% $182 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $153 | -5% $197 | +0% $242 | +5% $286 | +10% $330 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $294 | -0.5pp $268 | base $242 | +0.5pp $214 | +1.0pp $187 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,225
- Closing costs
- $3,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Rugby Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,150 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 15 Timber Ln Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 925 | $975 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 21 Harrow Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $800 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 6120 Butler Rd Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1447 | $1,050 | $0.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 7 Harrow Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,095 | $1.25 | 20d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 7305 E Wakefield Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1056 | $1,150 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5801 W 59th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 973 | $1,173 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5701 Dreher Ln Unit 30 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $905 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5701 Dreher Ln Unit 100 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $905 | $1.01 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5701 Dreher Ln Unit 11 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $905 | $1.01 | 15d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 15 Rolling Ln Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5709 Windamere Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1213 | $1,075 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 5216 Gum Springs Rd Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1128 | $1,050 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6815 Forbing Rd Unit 26 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $950 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1 W Windsor Dr Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 24 Edgemont Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,150 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 76 W Windsor Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $1,190 | $0.85 | 20d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 9115 Ricky Ln Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1160 | $1,100 | $0.95 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-04-12status Under Contract
-
2026-04-07status Back on Market
-
2026-03-11status Under Contract
-
2026-02-25price $104,900
-
2026-01-05$114,900 New Listing
-
2021-06-24soldstatus $70,500
-
2021-06-01soldstatus $70,500 Sold 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
wonderful home for your family; walking distance to neighborhood elementary school. Fresh paint inside (and exterior) and new flooring throughout; vacant/SUPRA; go, show and offer.
-
2021-05-31historical 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
wonderful home for your family; walking distance to neighborhood elementary school. Fresh paint inside (and exterior) and new flooring throughout; vacant/SUPRA; go, show and offer.
-
2021-05-18historical Take Backups 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
wonderful home for your family; walking distance to neighborhood elementary school. Fresh paint inside (and exterior) and new flooring throughout; vacant/SUPRA; go, show and offer.
-
2021-05-17$79,000 New Listing 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
wonderful home for your family; walking distance to neighborhood elementary school. Fresh paint inside (and exterior) and new flooring throughout; vacant/SUPRA; go, show and offer.
-
2019-10-22status Under Contract
-
2019-10-01historical Take Backups
-
2019-10-01historical
-
2019-08-15$69,000 New Listing
-
2017-10-06historical
-
2017-09-21$59,000 New Listing
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $574 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $671 · $56/mo
- Expected delta
- +$98/yr (+$8/mo · 17.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,416
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,876
- − Property taxes
- −$574
- − Insurance
- −$524
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,073
- − Management
- −$1,073
- − Depreciation
- −$3,052
- Taxable income
- $1,244
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$299
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,601/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Rock School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509000
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,346
- Composite
- 21.0/100
- National rank
- #8457
- State rank
- #183 of 238 in AR
Livability — Little Rock
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #5295
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Little Rock, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 218,896
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,607
- Household income
- $40,231
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1510.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 15% White 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 29%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.75%
- Current HPI
- 176.4492
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.78%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+77.8% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-12 Pending — CARMLS
- 2026-04-07 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2026-03-11 Pending — CARMLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $104,900 CARMLS
- 2026-01-05 Listed $114,900 CARMLS
- 2021-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $70,500 Public Records
- 2021-06-01 Sold (MLS) $70,500 CARMLS
- 2021-05-31 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2021-05-18 Contingent — CARMLS
- 2021-05-17 Listed $79,000 CARMLS
- 2019-10-22 Pending — CARMLS
- 2019-10-01 Contingent — CARMLS
- 2019-10-01 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2019-08-15 Listed $69,000 CARMLS
- 2017-10-06 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2017-09-21 Listed $59,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
-0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $574 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…