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4 Wellford Dr
C Composite 56.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.4/30.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.7/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$104,900

4 Wellford Dr · Little Rock, AR 72209
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,205 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 70 Days on market
Built 1967 7,840 sqft lot Est $99k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

wonderful home for your family; walking distance to neighborhood elementary school. Fresh paint inside (and exterior) and new flooring throughout; vacant/SUPRA; go, show and offer.

Key facts

  • Brick-front ranch
  • Spacious lot
  • Long driveway

Tags

BRICK-FRONT RANCHSPACIOUS LOTMATURE TREESGENEROUS BACKYARDCOVERED FRONT ENTRYLONG DRIVEWAY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Financing options may include VA, FHA, conventional loans, or cash

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport for 1 car
  • Security: Insulated doors
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric (Entergy); Natural gas
  • Home design: Brick and frame exterior with metal/vinyl siding
  • Construction: Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Fully fenced yard with chain-link fence; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing stove; Kitchen roughly 10 x 12
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom about 14 x 12; Second bedroom about 10 x 12; Third bedroom about 10 x 12; Formal living room
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heat (gas); Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Washer connection; Dryer connection (gas and electric); Gas water heater; Sheetrock walls/ceilings
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer hookup; Dryer hookup (gas and electric)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $242 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 87 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $70k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $98,606 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
9.06%
Cash-on-cash
9.87%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$98,810
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4 Wellford Dr 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,205 (0%) 1mo $96,500 $80 100
7210 W Wakefield Dr Dr 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,175 (-2%) 6mo $70,000 $60 70
20 S Wakefield 0.45mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,220 (+1%) 4mo $105,000 $86 68
37 Allyson Cir 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,223 (+2%) 1mo $68,000 $56 68
43 S Wakefield Dr 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,139 (-6%) 10mo $170,000 $149 67
5900 Lancaster Rd 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,196 (-1%) 12mo $111,000 $93 58
5803 Butler Rd 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,217 (+1%) 10mo $100,000 $82 57
5816 Butler Rd 0.68mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,224 (+2%) 10mo $68,250 $56 51
7516 Sandra Dr 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,332 (+10%) 14mo $97,500 $73 50
5 Sheffield Dr 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,150 (-5%) 14mo $80,000 $70 48
7 Linkay Ct 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,075 (-11%) 6mo $138,000 $128 45
6610 E Wakefield Dr 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,036 (-14%) 12mo $101,000 $97 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.3%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$395
Equity at exit
$15,641
10-year hold
IRR
11.6%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$28,693
Equity at exit
$9,070

Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72209

Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
87
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,118 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$550
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $574/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$235
Net cashflow
$242

Break-even live

Break-even rent $812
Max offer price $104,900
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $301 -5% $271 +0% $242 +5% $212 +10% $182
Rent -10% $153 -5% $197 +0% $242 +5% $286 +10% $330
Rate -1.0pp $294 -0.5pp $268 base $242 +0.5pp $214 +1.0pp $187

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,225
Closing costs
$3,147
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
29 Rugby Dr Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,150 $1.00 15d 1 0.36mi
15 Timber Ln Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.5 925 $975 $1.05 45d 1 0.38mi
21 Harrow Dr Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 875 $800 $0.91 15d 1 0.40mi
6120 Butler Rd Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.5 1447 $1,050 $0.73 24d 1 0.45mi
7 Harrow Dr Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 875 $1,095 $1.25 20d 1 0.47mi
7305 E Wakefield Dr Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.5 1056 $1,150 $1.09 45d 1 0.57mi
5801 W 59th St Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 973 $1,173 $1.21 45d 1 0.70mi
5701 Dreher Ln Unit 30 Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.5 900 $905 $1.01 45d 1 0.90mi
5701 Dreher Ln Unit 100 Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.5 900 $905 $1.01 24d 1 0.90mi
5701 Dreher Ln Unit 11 Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.5 900 $905 $1.01 15d 1 0.90mi
15 Rolling Ln Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 45d 1 0.94mi
5709 Windamere Dr Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.5 1213 $1,075 $0.89 24d 1 0.96mi
5216 Gum Springs Rd Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 1128 $1,050 $0.93 45d 1 1.00mi
6815 Forbing Rd Unit 26 Little Rock, AR 2.0 2.0 1170 $950 $0.81 45d 1 1.08mi
1 W Windsor Dr Little Rock, AR 4.0 2.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 45d 1 1.33mi
24 Edgemont Dr Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,150 $1.14 24d 1 1.34mi
76 W Windsor Dr Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.0 1395 $1,190 $0.85 20d 1 1.47mi
9115 Ricky Ln Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.5 1160 $1,100 $0.95 15d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-04-12
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-04-07
    status Back on Market
  3. 2026-03-11
    status Under Contract
  4. 2026-02-25
    price $104,900
  5. 2026-01-05
    listed $114,900 New Listing
  6. 2021-06-24
    soldstatus $70,500
  7. 2021-06-01
    soldstatus $70,500 Sold 180-char remark
    Show marketing remark (180 chars)

    wonderful home for your family; walking distance to neighborhood elementary school. Fresh paint inside (and exterior) and new flooring throughout; vacant/SUPRA; go, show and offer.

  8. 2021-05-31
    historical 180-char remark
    Show marketing remark (180 chars)

    wonderful home for your family; walking distance to neighborhood elementary school. Fresh paint inside (and exterior) and new flooring throughout; vacant/SUPRA; go, show and offer.

  9. 2021-05-18
    historical Take Backups 180-char remark
    Show marketing remark (180 chars)

    wonderful home for your family; walking distance to neighborhood elementary school. Fresh paint inside (and exterior) and new flooring throughout; vacant/SUPRA; go, show and offer.

  10. 2021-05-17
    listed $79,000 New Listing 180-char remark
    Show marketing remark (180 chars)

    wonderful home for your family; walking distance to neighborhood elementary school. Fresh paint inside (and exterior) and new flooring throughout; vacant/SUPRA; go, show and offer.

  11. 2019-10-22
    status Under Contract
  12. 2019-10-01
    historical Take Backups
  13. 2019-10-01
    historical
  14. 2019-08-15
    listed $69,000 New Listing
  15. 2017-10-06
    historical
  16. 2017-09-21
    listed $59,000 New Listing

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$574 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$671 · $56/mo
Expected delta
+$98/yr (+$8/mo · 17.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,416
− Mortgage interest
−$5,876
− Property taxes
−$574
− Insurance
−$524
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,073
− Management
−$1,073
− Depreciation
−$3,052
Taxable income
$1,244
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$299
After-tax cash flow
$2,601/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Little Rock School District
NCES district ID
0509000
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$43,346
Composite
21.0/100
National rank
#8457
State rank
#183 of 238 in AR

Livability — Little Rock

Score
73/100
State rank
#22
US rank
#5295

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Little Rock, AR
County
Pulaski County · 372,764 people
City population
218,896
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
Population (ZIP)
31,607
Household income
$40,231
Rent vs Own
61.5% rent · 38.5% own
Severe rent burden
1510.0

Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,378 people
By 2030
423,720 · +2.0%
By 2040
435,182 · +4.8%
By 2050
440,904 · +6.1%
By 2075
445,521 · +7.3%
By 2100
419,173 · +0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 15% White 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 29%

Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -151.75%
Current HPI
176.4492
Rent YoY
▲ 4.78%
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+77.8% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-12 Pending CARMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Pending CARMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $104,900 CARMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Listed $114,900 CARMLS
  • 2021-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $70,500 Public Records
  • 2021-06-01 Sold (MLS) $70,500 CARMLS
  • 2021-05-31 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2021-05-18 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2021-05-17 Listed $79,000 CARMLS
  • 2019-10-22 Pending CARMLS
  • 2019-10-01 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2019-10-01 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2019-08-15 Listed $69,000 CARMLS
  • 2017-10-06 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2017-09-21 Listed $59,000 CARMLS

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $574 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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