17 Club Cir · Forest Park, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$67,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Awesome Henry County Home For Sale! * * Have a home to sell? BUY THIS HOME AND WE'LL BUY YOURS! Welcome home to this spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home with 1,600 square feet of living space, providing a bright open layout. The interior has been completely renovated with brand new finishes throughout. You'll find modern flooring, updated lighting, a beautiful large kitchen with new cabinets, and countertops, and fully updated bathrooms featuring beautiful granite counter tops and tile showers. This home is located in the Pooles Manor community, a peaceful and welcoming community offering various amenities such as a swimming pool, clubhouse, and play ground. This home provides worr
Key facts
- Modern flooring
- Large kitchen
- New cabinets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Land lease; Cash and private financing available
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Community clubhouse, playground, and pool
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking; Parking pad
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; High speed internet available; Cable available; Sewer connected; Water available
- Home design: Manufactured house / single family residence; Manufactured home subtype; Built in 1998; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Built in 1998
- Exterior features: Deck; Level lot; Updated/remodeled condition
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Separate shower; Soaking tub; One-level layout; Family room fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Mud room; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $68k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $976 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $68k).
- Recommended offer: $65k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.6% vs local median 5.2% in Forest Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#209 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
- Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Fairview Elementary School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #753 of 1,228 statewide, top 64%, 566 students, 69% FRL); Austin Road Middle School (math 15% / reading 35%, grade F, #291 of 470 statewide, top 64%, 542 students, 68% FRL); Stockbridge High School (math 5% / reading 28%, grade F, #284 of 424 statewide, top 67%, 1,543 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 43% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 244 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $467 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 61.97%
- DSCR
- 3.76
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $265,600
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120 Lakeside Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,580 (-1%) | 10mo | $240,000 | $152 | 71 |
| 203 Leigh Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,562 (-2%) | 12mo | $260,000 | $166 | 69 |
| 308 Fair Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 | 1,646 (+3%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $149 | 60 |
| 95 Lakeside Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,566 (-2%) | 21mo | $275,000 | $176 | 59 |
| 312 Orchard Hill Ct | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,374 (-14%) | 14mo | $253,000 | $184 | 57 |
| 50 Oakridge Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,752 (+10%) | 8mo | $253,300 | $145 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 62.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.87×
- Total profit
- $54,166
- Equity at exit
- $10,064
- IRR
- 67.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.39×
- Total profit
- $139,657
- Equity at exit
- $5,836
Cash invested: $18,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30294
- Home prices YoY
- -25.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 244
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,826 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$354
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$84 /mo · $1,012/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $976
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,875
- Closing costs
- $2,025
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 Poole Cir Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,475 | $1.37 | 19d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 46 Poole Cir Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,475 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 65 Poole Cir Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,475 | $1.37 | 19d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 67 Poole Cir Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,475 | $1.37 | 19d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 39 Poole Cir Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,475 | $1.37 | 13d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 37 Poole Cir Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,475 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 3637 Windmill Rd Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,695 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4402 Davana Dr Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,608 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4676 Tara Creek Trl Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2188 | $2,036 | $0.93 | 4d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4595 Westminster Dr Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1689 | $2,055 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3971 Brookstone Ct Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1891 | $2,256 | $1.19 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3378 Homeward Trl Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $1,695 | $1.44 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3346 Clevemont Way Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2216 | $1,886 | $0.85 | 5d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3303 Homeward Trl Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,799 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4910 Brookstone Pkwy Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1728 | $1,995 | $1.15 | 2d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3407 Homeward Trl Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $1,695 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 228 Solomon Dr Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2005 | $2,150 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3428 Homeward Trl Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $1,795 | $1.45 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3335 Crestview Ct Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1492 | $1,650 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3342 Crestview Ct Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $1,601 | $1.24 | 5d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4254 Catalpa Park Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2048 | $1,605 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4229 Catalpa Park Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,675 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 65 Juliana Dr Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $5,200 | $2.60 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4798 Moss Trce Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1730 | $1,990 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 85 Wilhelmina Dr Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $4,900 | $3.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $67,500 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $67,500 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $67,500 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $67,500 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $67,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $67,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $67,500 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $67,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $67,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $67,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $67,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $67,500 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-31statusdays on market $67,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-14$67,500 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,912
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,781
- − Property taxes
- −$1,012
- − Insurance
- −$338
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,753
- − Management
- −$1,753
- − Depreciation
- −$1,964
- Taxable income
- $11,311
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,715
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,998/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This mobile home is in excellent condition with recent renovations, making it move-in ready and ideal for both resale and rental markets.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace ceiling fans with energy-efficient models — Energy-efficient fans save on utility bills and improve air circulation
- Both Install smart home devices for energy management and security — Smart devices increase home value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace ceiling fans with energy-efficient models — Energy-efficient fans save on utility bills and improve air circulation ↑
- Both Install smart home devices for energy management and security — Smart devices increase home value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Henry County
- NCES district ID
- 1302820
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,594
- Composite
- 26.13/100
- National rank
- #7279
- State rank
- #89 of 174 in GA
Livability — Forest Park
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #209
- US rank
- #12698
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Henry County · 316,359 people
- City population
- 29,210
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,983
- Household income
- $79,762
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 864.0
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 249,041 people
- By 2030
- 264,369 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 294,459 · +18.2%
- By 2050
- 322,249 · +29.4%
- By 2075
- 392,310 · +57.5%
- By 2100
- 437,836 · +75.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 84% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% White 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.7) · D 64.5% · R 34.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +37.1pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 29.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.7 2020: D+20.5 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+7.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.99%
- Current HPI
- 213.1999
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.56%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $67,500 GAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…