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17 Club Cir
B Composite 71.0
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$67,500

17 Club Cir · Forest Park, GA 30294
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · SingleFamily · 32 Days on market
Built 1998 Good condition 8,712 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Awesome Henry County Home For Sale! * * Have a home to sell? BUY THIS HOME AND WE'LL BUY YOURS! Welcome home to this spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home with 1,600 square feet of living space, providing a bright open layout. The interior has been completely renovated with brand new finishes throughout. You'll find modern flooring, updated lighting, a beautiful large kitchen with new cabinets, and countertops, and fully updated bathrooms featuring beautiful granite counter tops and tile showers. This home is located in the Pooles Manor community, a peaceful and welcoming community offering various amenities such as a swimming pool, clubhouse, and play ground. This home provides worr

Key facts

  • Modern flooring
  • Large kitchen
  • New cabinets

Tags

COMPLETELY RENOVATEDMODERN FLOORINGUPDATED LIGHTINGLARGE KITCHENNEW CABINETSNEW COUNTERTOPS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Land lease; Cash and private financing available
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Community clubhouse, playground, and pool

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking; Parking pad
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; High speed internet available; Cable available; Sewer connected; Water available
  • Home design: Manufactured house / single family residence; Manufactured home subtype; Built in 1998; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Built in 1998
  • Exterior features: Deck; Level lot; Updated/remodeled condition

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (on main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Separate shower; Soaking tub; One-level layout; Family room fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Mud room; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $68k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $976 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $68k).
  • Recommended offer: $65k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.6% vs local median 5.2% in Forest Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#209 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Fairview Elementary School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #753 of 1,228 statewide, top 64%, 566 students, 69% FRL); Austin Road Middle School (math 15% / reading 35%, grade F, #291 of 470 statewide, top 64%, 542 students, 68% FRL); Stockbridge High School (math 5% / reading 28%, grade F, #284 of 424 statewide, top 67%, 1,543 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 43% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 244 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $467 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $65,475 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.71%
Cap rate
23.65%
Cash-on-cash
61.97%
DSCR
3.76
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$265,600
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
120 Lakeside Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,580 (-1%) 10mo $240,000 $152 71
203 Leigh Dr 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,562 (-2%) 12mo $260,000 $166 69
308 Fair Dr 0.69mi 3/2.5 1,646 (+3%) 1mo $245,000 $149 60
95 Lakeside Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,566 (-2%) 21mo $275,000 $176 59
312 Orchard Hill Ct 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,374 (-14%) 14mo $253,000 $184 57
50 Oakridge Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,752 (+10%) 8mo $253,300 $145 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
62.7%
Equity multiple
3.87×
Total profit
$54,166
Equity at exit
$10,064
10-year hold
IRR
67.7%
Equity multiple
8.39×
Total profit
$139,657
Equity at exit
$5,836

Cash invested: $18,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30294

Home prices YoY
-25.0%
Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
244
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,826 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$354
Tax est. 1.5%
$84 /mo · $1,012/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$383
Net cashflow
$976

Break-even live

Break-even rent $590
Max offer price $67,500
Occupancy floor 42%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,875
Closing costs
$2,025
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
48 Poole Cir Ellenwood, GA 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,475 $1.37 19d 1 0.06mi
46 Poole Cir Ellenwood, GA 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,475 $1.37 24d 1 0.07mi
65 Poole Cir Ellenwood, GA 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,475 $1.37 19d 1 0.09mi
67 Poole Cir Ellenwood, GA 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,475 $1.37 19d 1 0.10mi
39 Poole Cir Ellenwood, GA 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,475 $1.37 13d 1 0.11mi
37 Poole Cir Ellenwood, GA 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,475 $1.37 44d 1 0.11mi
3637 Windmill Rd Ellenwood, GA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,695 $1.41 24d 1 0.59mi
4402 Davana Dr Ellenwood, GA 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,608 $1.52 24d 1 0.81mi
4676 Tara Creek Trl Ellenwood, GA 4.0 3.0 2188 $2,036 $0.93 4d 1 0.87mi
4595 Westminster Dr Ellenwood, GA 3.0 2.5 1689 $2,055 $1.22 21d 1 0.99mi
3971 Brookstone Ct Ellenwood, GA 4.0 2.5 1891 $2,256 $1.19 5d 1 1.00mi
3378 Homeward Trl Ellenwood, GA 3.0 2.0 1176 $1,695 $1.44 21d 1 1.02mi
3346 Clevemont Way Ellenwood, GA 3.0 2.0 2216 $1,886 $0.85 5d 1 1.02mi
3303 Homeward Trl Ellenwood, GA 3.0 2.0 1456 $1,799 $1.24 22d 1 1.04mi
4910 Brookstone Pkwy Ellenwood, GA 4.0 3.0 1728 $1,995 $1.15 2d 1 1.06mi
3407 Homeward Trl Ellenwood, GA 3.0 2.0 1512 $1,695 $1.12 44d 1 1.09mi
228 Solomon Dr Ellenwood, GA 3.0 2.5 2005 $2,150 $1.07 44d 1 1.12mi
3428 Homeward Trl Ellenwood, GA 3.0 2.0 1242 $1,795 $1.45 13d 1 1.12mi
3335 Crestview Ct Ellenwood, GA 3.0 2.5 1492 $1,650 $1.11 24d 1 1.13mi
3342 Crestview Ct Ellenwood, GA 3.0 2.0 1290 $1,601 $1.24 5d 1 1.16mi
4254 Catalpa Park Ellenwood, GA 3.0 2.0 2048 $1,605 $0.78 44d 1 1.33mi
4229 Catalpa Park Ellenwood, GA 3.0 2.0 1280 $1,675 $1.31 44d 1 1.36mi
65 Juliana Dr Ellenwood, GA 4.0 2.5 2000 $5,200 $2.60 44d 1 1.38mi
4798 Moss Trce Ellenwood, GA 3.0 2.5 1730 $1,990 $1.15 24d 1 1.41mi
85 Wilhelmina Dr Ellenwood, GA 3.0 2.0 1600 $4,900 $3.06 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $67,500 Active 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $67,500 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $67,500 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $67,500 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $67,500 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $67,500 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $67,500 Active 22 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $67,500 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $67,500 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $67,500 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $67,500 Active 16 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $67,500 Active 15 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    statusdays on market $67,500 Active 14 DOM
  14. 2026-05-14
    listed $67,500 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,912
− Mortgage interest
−$3,781
− Property taxes
−$1,012
− Insurance
−$338
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,753
− Management
−$1,753
− Depreciation
−$1,964
Taxable income
$11,311
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,715
After-tax cash flow
$8,998/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in excellent condition with recent renovations, making it move-in ready and ideal for both resale and rental markets.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace ceiling fans with energy-efficient models — Energy-efficient fans save on utility bills and improve air circulation
  • Both Install smart home devices for energy management and security — Smart devices increase home value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace ceiling fans with energy-efficient models — Energy-efficient fans save on utility bills and improve air circulation
  • Both Install smart home devices for energy management and security — Smart devices increase home value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henry County
NCES district ID
1302820
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$62,594
Composite
26.13/100
National rank
#7279
State rank
#89 of 174 in GA

Livability — Forest Park

Score
65/100
State rank
#209
US rank
#12698

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Henry County · 316,359 people
City population
29,210
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
41,983
Household income
$79,762
Rent vs Own
19.4% rent · 80.6% own
Severe rent burden
864.0

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
249,041 people
By 2030
264,369 · +6.2%
By 2040
294,459 · +18.2%
By 2050
322,249 · +29.4%
By 2075
392,310 · +57.5%
By 2100
437,836 · +75.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (84%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 84% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% White 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.7) · D 64.5% · R 34.9%
2008→2024 swing
+37.1pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 29.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.7 2020: D+20.5 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+7.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -70.99%
Current HPI
213.1999
Rent YoY
▲ 4.56%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $67,500 GAMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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