10 Toll House Ln · West Hartford, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$339,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cottage style ranch home on avon mountain 500 feet off the road in a cluster of 4 homes*great condo alternative for starter or downsizing*sought after schools,convenient location easy to maintain*large lrm w/fpl*hwd thru out*mbd w/bath*e/i kth*sunporch broker/owner
Key facts
- Updated full bath
- Newer roof
- Enclosed porch
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Paved parking; 3 total parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Septic system; Electric service (standard); Propane for heating
- Home design: Single-family home
- Construction: Frame construction; Concrete foundation
- Exterior features: Level lot; Shingle siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Blue exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven/Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (propane fuel); Propane tank above ground; Window AC unit
- Interior features: Full unfinished basement; Attic with pull-down stairs; One fireplace; Four total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer included; Laundry on lower level; 40-gallon hot water tank
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $340k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-17 ($-204/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $337k (0.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $294k (13.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $294k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.3% in West Hartford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#27 in CT, #1,989 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- West Hartford School District (urban): math 56% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #39 of 153 in CT (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Norfeldt School (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A-, #62 of 553 statewide, top 13%, 336 students, 13% FRL); Hall High School (math 62% / reading 82%, grade B+, #14 of 194 statewide, top 8%, 1,408 students, 20% FRL) — zoned schools at 17% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($335k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $171k; list at $340k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.21%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-56,121
- Equity at exit
- $50,680
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-50,107
- Equity at exit
- $29,388
Cash invested: $95,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06117
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,938 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,782
- Tax from tax record
- −$414 /mo · $4,968/yr
- Insurance
- −$142
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$617
- Net cashflow
- $-17
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $175 | -5% $79 | +0% $-17 | +5% $-113 | +10% $-209 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-249 | -5% $-133 | +0% $-17 | +5% $99 | +10% $215 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $154 | -0.5pp $69 | base $-17 | +0.5pp $-105 | +1.0pp $-195 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $84,975
- Closing costs
- $10,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 140 Flagg Rd Unit R West Hartford, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 997 | $2,600 | $2.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $339,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $339,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $339,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $339,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $339,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $339,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $339,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $339,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $339,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-03$339,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,968 · $414/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,121 · $510/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,153/yr (+$96/mo · 23.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,258
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,040
- − Property taxes
- −$4,968
- − Insurance
- −$1,700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,821
- − Management
- −$2,821
- − Depreciation
- −$9,888
- Taxable loss
- −$5,979
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,435
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,231/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Hartford School District
- NCES district ID
- 0904920
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $85,173
- Composite
- 55.64/100
- National rank
- #1228
- State rank
- #39 of 153 in CT
Livability — West Hartford
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #27
- US rank
- #1989
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Hartford, CT
- County
- Hartford County · 754,208 people
- City population
- 63,441
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,116
- Household income
- $171,707
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 336.0
Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 1,063,519
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Asian 10% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 5% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Capitol
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -191.98%
- Current HPI
- 176.7207
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+299.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $339,900 Smart MLS
- 2009-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $171,000 Public Records
- 2009-11-20 Sold (MLS) $171,000 Smart MLS
- 2009-08-01 Listed $176,900 Smart MLS
- 2004-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2004-08-02 Sold (MLS) $165,000 Smart MLS
- 2004-05-05 Listed $165,000 Smart MLS
- 1996-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2019): $4,968 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…