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10 Toll House Ln
D Composite 42.59
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$339,900

10 Toll House Ln · West Hartford, CT 06117
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,032 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1930 6,534 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cottage style ranch home on avon mountain 500 feet off the road in a cluster of 4 homes*great condo alternative for starter or downsizing*sought after schools,convenient location easy to maintain*large lrm w/fpl*hwd thru out*mbd w/bath*e/i kth*sunporch broker/owner

Key facts

  • Updated full bath
  • Newer roof
  • Enclosed porch

Tags

WOODBURNING FIREPLACEUPDATED FULL BATHNEWER ROOFCUSTOM DESIGNED BRICK PATIOENCLOSED PORCHWALKING HIKING BIKING TRAILS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved parking; 3 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Septic system; Electric service (standard); Propane for heating
  • Home design: Single-family home
  • Construction: Frame construction; Concrete foundation
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Shingle siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Blue exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (propane fuel); Propane tank above ground; Window AC unit
  • Interior features: Full unfinished basement; Attic with pull-down stairs; One fireplace; Four total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer included; Laundry on lower level; 40-gallon hot water tank

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $340k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-17 ($-204/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $337k (0.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $294k (13.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $294k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.3% in West Hartford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#27 in CT, #1,989 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
  • West Hartford School District (urban): math 56% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #39 of 153 in CT (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Norfeldt School (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A-, #62 of 553 statewide, top 13%, 336 students, 13% FRL); Hall High School (math 62% / reading 82%, grade B+, #14 of 194 statewide, top 8%, 1,408 students, 20% FRL) — zoned schools at 17% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($335k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $171k; list at $340k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $293,815 (13.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.23%
Cash-on-cash
-0.21%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.6%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-56,121
Equity at exit
$50,680
10-year hold
IRR
-8.4%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-50,107
Equity at exit
$29,388

Cash invested: $95,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06117

Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,938 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,782
Tax from tax record
$414 /mo · $4,968/yr
Insurance
$142
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$617
Net cashflow
$-17

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,960
Max offer price $336,904
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $175 -5% $79 +0% $-17 +5% $-113 +10% $-209
Rent -10% $-249 -5% $-133 +0% $-17 +5% $99 +10% $215
Rate -1.0pp $154 -0.5pp $69 base $-17 +0.5pp $-105 +1.0pp $-195

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$84,975
Closing costs
$10,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
140 Flagg Rd Unit R West Hartford, CT 2.0 1.0 997 $2,600 $2.61 44d 1 0.64mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $339,900 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $339,900 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $339,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $339,900 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $339,900 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $339,900 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $339,900 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $339,900 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $339,900 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    remarks 699-char remark
  11. 2026-06-03
    listed $339,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,968 · $414/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,121 · $510/mo
Expected delta
+$1,153/yr (+$96/mo · 23.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,258
− Mortgage interest
−$19,040
− Property taxes
−$4,968
− Insurance
−$1,700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,821
− Management
−$2,821
− Depreciation
−$9,888
Taxable loss
−$5,979
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,435
After-tax cash flow
$1,231/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Hartford School District
NCES district ID
0904920
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
67% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$85,173
Composite
55.64/100
National rank
#1228
State rank
#39 of 153 in CT

Livability — West Hartford

Score
79/100
State rank
#27
US rank
#1989

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Hartford, CT
County
Hartford County · 754,208 people
City population
63,441
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
16,116
Household income
$171,707
Rent vs Own
20.7% rent · 79.3% own
Severe rent burden
336.0

Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
1,063,519

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Asian 10% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 5% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
77% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Capitol

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -191.98%
Current HPI
176.7207
Rent YoY
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+299.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $339,900 Smart MLS
  • 2009-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $171,000 Public Records
  • 2009-11-20 Sold (MLS) $171,000 Smart MLS
  • 2009-08-01 Listed $176,900 Smart MLS
  • 2004-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
  • 2004-08-02 Sold (MLS) $165,000 Smart MLS
  • 2004-05-05 Listed $165,000 Smart MLS
  • 1996-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2019): $4,968 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…