25 Rainbow Dr · Humboldt, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Schools +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$122,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 1.5 story home has a kitchen, bath with shower, a bedroom that has been turned into a laundry room, a bedroom, and living room on the main floor. The seller would give a $3000 carpet allowance for the living room and the northwest bedroom. The upstairs has a large bedroom with a bath with a sink and a stool with an attached one car garage. The washer, dryer, refrigerator, and stove stay. The basement is not finished but could redone into additional living. There is a furnace that is approximately 10 years old. There is a electric fireplace in the basement wall that stays, a water softener(seller has never used it) and a firepit in the front yard that stays. There is vinyl siding on the house that is approximately 20 years old, asphalt shingles reroofed in 2017. There is a shed out back that is staying. This house is being sold as is.
Key facts
- Built 1955
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $123k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $157 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $123k).
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.4% in Humboldt — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#34 in IA, #1,000 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Humboldt Community School District (town): math 75% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #92 of 289 in IA (top 32%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Taft Elementary School (math 82% / reading 67%, grade A, #131 of 616 statewide, top 27%, 396 students, 42% FRL); Humboldt Middle School (math 74% / reading 71%, grade A, #90 of 246 statewide, top 38%, 440 students, 40% FRL); Humboldt High School (math 72% / reading 75%, grade B+, #108 of 336 statewide, top 33%, 496 students, 36% FRL).
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Humboldt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $850 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Humboldt County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.48%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $168,992
- List price
- $122,900
- Delta
- -29.05%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 812 10th St N | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,886 (+2%) | 2mo | $203,000 | $108 | 78 |
| 11 Rainbow Dr | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 | 1,918 (+4%) | 18mo | $175,000 | $91 | 72 |
| 1507 Creekside Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,689 (-8%) | 12mo | $354,000 | $210 | 63 |
| 512 9th St N | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 | 1,730 (-6%) | 2mo | $174,900 | $101 | 62 |
| 612 5th St. St N | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,892 (+2%) | 2mo | $186,500 | $99 | 58 |
| 902 10th Street St N | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,697 (-8%) | 14mo | $243,000 | $143 | 55 |
| 1005 8th Avenue North Ave | 0.33mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,716 (-7%) | 15mo | $125,000 | $73 | 50 |
| 1114 7th Ave N | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,578 (-14%) | 6mo | $172,000 | $109 | 49 |
| 607 8th St N | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,608 (-13%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $84 | 44 |
| 409 8th St. St S | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (-9%) | 5mo | $143,500 | $85 | 42 |
| 1906 W River Dr | 0.59mi | 3/3.0 | 2,105 (+14%) | 8mo | $324,900 | $154 | 40 |
| 1911 W River Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 2,092 (+13%) | 14mo | $525,000 | $251 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-9,870
- Equity at exit
- $18,325
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $4,425
- Equity at exit
- $10,626
Cash invested: $34,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50548
- Home prices YoY
- -20.0%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,297 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$645
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,056/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $157
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $227 | -5% $192 | +0% $157 | +5% $122 | +10% $88 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $55 | -5% $106 | +0% $157 | +5% $208 | +10% $260 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $219 | -0.5pp $188 | base $157 | +0.5pp $125 | +1.0pp $93 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,725
- Closing costs
- $3,687
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18pricedays on market $122,900 Pending
-
2026-05-19status Pending 851-char remark
Show marketing remark (851 chars)
This 1.5 story home has a kitchen, bath with shower, a bedroom that has been turned into a laundry room, a bedroom, and living room on the main floor. The seller would give a $3000 carpet allowance for the living room and the northwest bedroom. The upstairs has a large bedroom with a bath with a sink and a stool with an attached one car garage. The washer, dryer, refrigerator, and stove stay. The basement is not finished but could redone into additional living. There is a furnace that is approximately 10 years old. There is a electric fireplace in the basement wall that stays, a water softener(seller has never used it) and a firepit in the front yard that stays. There is vinyl siding on the house that is approximately 20 years old, asphalt shingles reroofed in 2017. There is a shed out back that is staying. This house is being sold as is.
-
2026-03-02price $119,900 851-char remark
Show marketing remark (851 chars)
This 1.5 story home has a kitchen, bath with shower, a bedroom that has been turned into a laundry room, a bedroom, and living room on the main floor. The seller would give a $3000 carpet allowance for the living room and the northwest bedroom. The upstairs has a large bedroom with a bath with a sink and a stool with an attached one car garage. The washer, dryer, refrigerator, and stove stay. The basement is not finished but could redone into additional living. There is a furnace that is approximately 10 years old. There is a electric fireplace in the basement wall that stays, a water softener(seller has never used it) and a firepit in the front yard that stays. There is vinyl siding on the house that is approximately 20 years old, asphalt shingles reroofed in 2017. There is a shed out back that is staying. This house is being sold as is.
-
2026-02-11$122,900 Active 851-char remark
Show marketing remark (851 chars)
This 1.5 story home has a kitchen, bath with shower, a bedroom that has been turned into a laundry room, a bedroom, and living room on the main floor. The seller would give a $3000 carpet allowance for the living room and the northwest bedroom. The upstairs has a large bedroom with a bath with a sink and a stool with an attached one car garage. The washer, dryer, refrigerator, and stove stay. The basement is not finished but could redone into additional living. There is a furnace that is approximately 10 years old. There is a electric fireplace in the basement wall that stays, a water softener(seller has never used it) and a firepit in the front yard that stays. There is vinyl siding on the house that is approximately 20 years old, asphalt shingles reroofed in 2017. There is a shed out back that is staying. This house is being sold as is.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,056 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,056 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,559
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,884
- − Property taxes
- −$2,056
- − Insurance
- −$614
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,245
- − Management
- −$1,245
- − Depreciation
- −$3,575
- Taxable loss
- −$61
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$15
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,901/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Humboldt Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1914370
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,318
- Composite
- 62.13/100
- National rank
- #707
- State rank
- #92 of 289 in IA
Livability — Humboldt
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #34
- US rank
- #1000
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Humboldt, IA
- City population
- 5,482
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,482
Population outlook (Humboldt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,265 people
- By 2030
- 9,141 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 8,904 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 8,448 · -8.8%
- By 2075
- 7,742 · -16.4%
- By 2100
- 6,414 · -30.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 14% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Humboldt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.0) · D 24.4% · R 74.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.7pp toward R · 2008: -14.3pp · 2024: -50.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.0 2020: R+44.6 2016: R+46.0 2012: R+22.1 2008: R+14.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.69%
- Current HPI
- 206.5373
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-3.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listing Removed — DMMLS
- 2026-06-16 Sold (MLS) $119,000 IAR
- 2026-06-16 Sold (MLS) $119,000 DMMLS
- 2026-05-19 Pending — IAR
- 2026-05-15 Listed $122,900 DMMLS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $119,900 IAR
- 2026-02-11 Listed $122,900 IAR
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,056 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…