20055 Birwood St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic family home with great curb appeal. Inside requires cosmetic updates. Great floor plan. This home is in a strong historic family neighborhood. Please bring a flashlight. Newer roof and windows (some).
Key facts
- Floor plan
- Newer roof
- Curb appeal
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Built area above grade: 1,100 square feet
- Exterior features: Awnings; Paved road access
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Full, unfinished basement; Five total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $559 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 349 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.96%
- DSCR
- 2.33
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $59,840
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19929 Monte Vista St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 860 (-8%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $87 | 76 |
| 20428 Monte Vista St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 872 (-7%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $63 | 75 |
| 20403 Manor St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 968 (+4%) | 2mo | $57,000 | $59 | 75 |
| 20047 Monte Vista St | 0.16mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 877 (-6%) | 1mo | $69,999 | $80 | 74 |
| 20218 Monte Vista St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 860 (-8%) | 1mo | $37,000 | $43 | 73 |
| 20209 Meyers Rd | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-8%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $46 | 67 |
| 20018 Wyoming Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,043 (+12%) | 4mo | $66,500 | $64 | 66 |
| 20242 Ward St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 982 (+5%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $81 | 65 |
| 19985 Meyers Rd | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 844 (-10%) | 2mo | $51,900 | $61 | 64 |
| 20501 Northlawn St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 992 (+6%) | 3mo | $90,000 | $91 | 58 |
| 19161 Meyers Rd | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 894 (-4%) | 3mo | $87,500 | $98 | 56 |
| 20233 Roselawn St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 829 (-11%) | 2mo | $33,000 | $40 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.04×
- Total profit
- $23,302
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 33.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.07×
- Total profit
- $68,833
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48221
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 349
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,408 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $559
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20032 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,294 | $1.29 | 20d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 20122 Manor St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1028 | $1,200 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 19929 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,450 | $1.69 | 17d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 20460 Griggs St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,100 | $1.21 | 17d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 20429 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $1,300 | $1.49 | 17d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 20245 Manor Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1018 | $1,400 | $1.38 | 2d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 20515 Ilene St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,450 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 20445 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1046 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 20185 Indiana St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1096 | $1,275 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 20009 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1051 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 17d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 20458 Indiana St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1049 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 17d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 20110 Northlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 17d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 20045 Greenlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,350 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 21374 Ithaca Ave Ferndale, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 996 | $1,775 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 19474 Schaefer Hwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,075 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 18675 Meyers Rd Unit 18677 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,100 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 20038 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 17d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 18512 Schaefer Hwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 10400 Saratoga St Oak Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 829 | $1,450 | $1.75 | 4d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 22811 Rosewood St Oak Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 21800 Coolidge Hwy Oak Park, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 938 | $1,300 | $1.39 | 24d | 3 | 1.24mi |
| 10020 Corning St Oak Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 829 | $1,400 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 21880 Coolidge Hwy #203 Oak Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 938 | $1,300 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 21850 Coolidge Hwy #203 Oak Park, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 4d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 578 Kensington Ave Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,600 | $1.86 | 4d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 510 Stratford Rd Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 965 | $1,750 | $1.81 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 10050 W Nine Mile Rd Unit 18 Oak Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 10000 W Nine Mile Rd Unit 3 Oak Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 22108 Dante St Oak Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 898 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 22148 Dante St #212 Oak Park, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 916 | $1,475 | $1.61 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 22148 Dante St #211 Oak Park, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 916 | $1,475 | $1.61 | 17d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 22148 Dante St #211 Oak Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $1,475 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 22108 Dante St #115 Oak Park, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 898 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 12800 W 9 Mile Rd Oak Park, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,250 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 695 Livernois St Unit 2 Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,350 | $2.47 | 4d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 19031 Livernois Unit F Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,135 | $1.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1491 W Nine Mile Rd Unit 9 Ferndale, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
Fantastic family home with great curb appeal. Inside requires cosmetic updates. Great floor plan. This home is in a strong historic family neighborhood. Please bring a flashlight. Newer roof and windows (some).
-
2026-06-15$80,000 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
Fantastic family home with great curb appeal. Inside requires cosmetic updates. Great floor plan. This home is in a strong historic family neighborhood. Please bring a flashlight. Newer roof and windows (some).
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,893
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,200
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,351
- − Management
- −$1,351
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $5,781
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,388
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,323/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,392
- Household income
- $57,878
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1646.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -433.14%
- Current HPI
- 280.5434
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.44%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $80,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-15 Listed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+13.2%/yrLatest (2025): $5,120 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…