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5011 Bowie St
D Composite 40.73
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$181,000

5011 Bowie St · Amarillo, TX 79110
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,172 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1958

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this beautiful starter home today! Whether it's for a first time homebuyer, a family or an investment property this home is ready to go! New plumbing under the house, new electrical, newer windows & new appliances (per seller)

Key facts

  • New plumbing lines
  • New ac unit
  • New water heater

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW PLUMBING LINESNEW GAS LINENEW HVAC SYSTEMNEW AC UNITNEW WATER HEATER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area approximately 1,172
  • Financial info: Financial details not provided
  • HOA & community: HOA details not provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking details not provided
  • Security: Security details not provided
  • Utilities: Utility details not provided
  • Home design: Single-family residential property; Located in Southeast Amarillo within city limits
  • Construction: Construction details not provided
  • Exterior features: Directions: Go South on Georgia, turn on Douglas Dr, make a left on Bowie and the property will be to the right.

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen details not provided
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom count not provided
  • Flooring: Flooring details not provided
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heating and cooling details not provided
  • Interior features: Interior details not provided
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry details not provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $181k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-189/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (1.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (18.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (18.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: George Washington Carver Early Childhood Academy (338 students, 68% FRL); Fannin Middle (math 36% / reading 30%, grade F, #930 of 1,662 statewide, top 57%, 657 students, 79% FRL); Amtech Career Academy (3 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 65 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45 units permitted in Randall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Randall County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($178k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $147,870 (18.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.19%
Cash-on-cash
-0.37%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.8%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-25,693
Equity at exit
$26,988
10-year hold
IRR
-0.9%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-3,386
Equity at exit
$15,650

Cash invested: $50,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79110

Rents YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,479 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$949
Tax from tax record
$159 /mo · $1,912/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$311
Net cashflow
$-16

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,499
Max offer price $178,214
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $87 -5% $35 +0% $-16 +5% $-67 +10% $-118
Rent -10% $-133 -5% $-74 +0% $-16 +5% $43 +10% $101
Rate -1.0pp $75 -0.5pp $30 base $-16 +0.5pp $-63 +1.0pp $-110

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,250
Closing costs
$5,430
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5315 Allen St Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.0 891 $1,200 $1.35 22d 1 0.32mi
4623 Crockett St Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 720 $1,100 $1.53 22d 1 0.38mi
5142 Crockett St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1030 $1,495 $1.45 15d 1 0.40mi
4003 S Bowie St Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 890 $995 $1.12 15d 1 0.42mi
4611 Cline Rd Amarillo, TX 4.0 1.5 1500 $1,500 $1.00 22d 1 0.46mi
4615 S Lipscomb St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1168 $1,000 $0.86 15d 1 0.51mi
4620 S Hayden St Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.0 1036 $1,475 $1.42 22d 1 0.57mi
4316 S Hayden St Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.5 1356 $1,650 $1.22 45d 1 0.82mi
5146 Susan Dr Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1244 $1,675 $1.35 22d 1 0.98mi
4308 S Jackson St Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.0 1302 $1,490 $1.14 22d 1 1.00mi
4108 Crockett St Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.0 1373 $1,525 $1.11 45d 1 1.06mi
6904 Mercury Trl Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1480 $2,100 $1.42 22d 1 1.12mi
6711 Athens St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,975 $1.46 15d 1 1.14mi
307 Mikeska St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,800 $1.44 22d 1 1.17mi
4205 S Tyler St Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 852 $925 $1.09 45d 1 1.25mi
3813 S Washington St Unit B Amarillo, TX 2.0 2.0 954 $1,050 $1.10 45d 1 1.36mi
4101 SW 45th Ave Amarillo, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 767 $955 $1.24 15d 3 1.42mi
608 Lochridge Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1455 $1,900 $1.31 45d 1 1.42mi
4109 Tucson Dr Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1395 $1,950 $1.40 22d 1 1.47mi
3703 S Monroe St Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 22d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $181,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $181,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $182,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $182,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $182,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $182,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $182,000 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $182,000 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $182,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $182,000 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $182,000 Active 4 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  13. 2026-06-07
    listed $182,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,912 · $159/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,312 · $276/mo
Expected delta
+$1,400/yr (+$117/mo · 73.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,744
− Mortgage interest
−$10,139
− Property taxes
−$1,912
− Insurance
−$905
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,420
− Management
−$1,420
− Depreciation
−$5,265
Taxable loss
−$3,316
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$796
After-tax cash flow
$607/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Amarillo ISD
NCES district ID
4808130
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,478
Composite
35.96/100
National rank
#4798
State rank
#336 of 826 in TX

Livability — Amarillo

Score
66/100
State rank
#624
US rank
#11876

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Amarillo, TX
County
Randall County · 137,351 people
City population
185,802
Metro
Amarillo, TX
Population (ZIP)
16,994
Household income
$66,683
Rent vs Own
30.1% rent · 69.9% own
Severe rent burden
208.0

Population outlook (Randall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
152,140 people
By 2030
163,107 · +7.2%
By 2040
184,999 · +21.6%
By 2050
206,948 · +36.0%
By 2075
260,204 · +71.0%
By 2100
294,980 · +93.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 13% Black 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Randall

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.4% · R 79.8%
2008→2024 swing
+2.3pp toward D · 2008: -62.7pp · 2024: -60.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.4 2020: R+58.8 2016: R+65.1 2012: R+68.2 2008: R+62.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -226.16%
Current HPI
180.2164
Rent YoY
▲ 6.04%
Metro
Amarillo, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+73.3% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $182,000 AARMLS
  • 2025-04-10 Sold (MLS) AARMLS
  • 2025-04-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-03-14 Contingent AARMLS
  • 2025-02-05 Price Changed $169,900 AARMLS
  • 2025-02-05 Listed $164,900 AARMLS
  • 2024-11-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-11-13 Sold (MLS) AARMLS
  • 2024-11-06 Contingent AARMLS
  • 2024-11-01 Relisted AARMLS
  • 2024-10-28 Contingent AARMLS
  • 2024-10-21 Listed $105,000 AARMLS
  • 2005-06-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,912 · -14.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…