6283 Birch Ln · Seminole Manor, FL 33462

$75,500

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,148 sqft · Manufactured · 76 Days on market

Built 2004 Good condition 8,712 sqft lot $1237/mo HOA · 54% of rent ↓ 15% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +17.2/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +5.4/10.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +3.5/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Just Listed !!! Beautiful 2 bedroom 2 bath Palm Harbor home located in a gated community . This home offers an open floor plan with large kitchen , spacious bedrooms , Master has its own private bath room with walk in shower. Attached Florida Room that is just off the kitchen . Large attached Carport , parking for several vehicles on the cement driveway . New AC 2024 with warranty. This home has tile flooring in the kitchen and laminate flooring in the living areas. Refrigerate 2025, Dishwasher 2025, Hurricane protection panels, furniture negotiable . Original owner , home has been meticulously maintained. Community offers a Clubhouse, two pools, tennis, fitness room, game room, kitchen, li

Key facts

• Gated community
• Open floor plan
• Two pools

Tags

• GATED COMMUNITY
• OPEN FLOOR PLAN
• ATTACHED FLORIDA ROOM
• HURRICANE PROTECTION PANELS
• COMMUNITY OFFERS CLUBHOUSE
• TWO POOLS

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Pets allowed with number and size limits
• HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly/periodic fee; Association fee covers common areas, laundry, grounds maintenance, pool(s), recreation facilities, sewer, security, property taxes, trash and water; Senior community

Exterior

• Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2 covered parking spaces
• Security: Gated community; Security included in association services
• Utilities: Electricity connected; Sewer service included in association; Water service included in association
• Home design: Manufactured home; 1 story
• Construction: Manufactured construction
• Exterior features: Community amenities including barbecue, clubhouse, fitness center, game room, library, putting green, shuffleboard, bocce court and tennis courts; Gated community; Recreation facilities

Interior

• Bedrooms: Single-story home (all rooms on one level)
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Community pool access
• Laundry & utility: Community laundry facilities

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $76k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $54 ($648/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $76k).
• Recommended offer: $71k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#711 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 383 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $522 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($71k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 54% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $70,970 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.04% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.15%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.07%
• DSCR: 1.14
• GRM: 2.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.09% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -6.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.74×
• Total profit: $-5,454
• Equity at exit: $11,257

10-year hold

• IRR: 7.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.64×
• Total profit: $13,585
• Equity at exit: $6,528

Cash invested: $21,140 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33462

• Rents YoY: 4.1%
• Active inventory: 383
• Price-to-rent: 2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,295 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$396
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$94 /mo · $1,132/yr
• Insurance: −$31
• HOA: −$1,237
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$482
• Net cashflow: $54

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,226

Max offer price $75,500

Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $18,875
• Closing costs: $2,265
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 35 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
6411 Birch Ln Lake Worth, FL	3.0	2.0	1200	$1,800	$1.50	24d	1	0.15mi
580 Tallulah Rd Lake Worth, FL	2.0	1.0	750	$2,500	$3.33	22d	1	0.30mi
3883 Island Club Cir W Lake Worth, FL	3.0	2.5	1308	$2,400	$1.83	17d	1	0.35mi
6511 Seminole Dr Unit 2 Atlantis, FL	2.0	1.0	845	$2,150	$2.54	5d	1	0.36mi
6040 Lace Wood Cir Lake Worth, FL	3.0	2.0	1326	$2,799	$2.11	24d	1	0.38mi
423 Pine Tree Ct #23 Lake Worth, FL	2.0	2.0	1222	$2,300	$1.88	22d	1	0.42mi
4350 Peregrine Way Lake Worth, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1025	$2,704	$2.64	2d	18	0.69mi
7132 Colony Club Dr Lake Worth, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1087	$2,510	$2.31	2d	14	0.98mi
6909 Blue Skies Dr Lake Worth, FL	2.0	2.5	1293	$2,600	$2.01	24d	1	1.06mi
4951 Mallory St Unit 4951 Greenacres, FL	3.0	2.5	1309	$2,700	$2.06	22d	1	1.09mi
6289 Lear Dr Lake Worth, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	792	$1,975	$2.49	15d	2	1.10mi
6289 Lear Dr #203 Lake Worth, FL	3.0	2.0	1044	$2,200	$2.11	24d	1	1.10mi
7398 Willow Springs Cir E Boynton Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1390	$2,861	$2.06	5d	1	1.12mi
4947 Grinnell St Lake Worth, FL	3.0	2.5	1309	$2,850	$2.18	24d	1	1.13mi
4725 Via Bari Lake Worth, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1150	$2,290	$1.99	3d	10	1.16mi
712 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	921	$2,400	$2.61	24d	1	1.18mi
6175 Reflections Blvd Lake Worth, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	814	$2,307	$2.83	1d	15	1.20mi
5056 Lantana Rd #4302 Lake Worth, FL	2.0	2.0	979	$2,295	$2.34	7d	1	1.20mi
1106 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	900	$1,895	$2.11	22d	1	1.22mi
1106 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	900	$1,850	$2.06	3d	1	1.22mi
316 Meadows Cir #316 Boynton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	921	$2,100	$2.28	2d	1	1.24mi
1205 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	909	$1,900	$2.09	24d	1	1.24mi
1707 Meadows Cir W Unit W Boynton Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	704	$1,650	$2.34	3d	1	1.24mi
1120 Meadows Cir Unit 1120 Boynton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	900	$1,980	$2.20	24d	1	1.24mi
1617 Meadows Cir W Boynton Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	704	$1,700	$2.41	11d	1	1.24mi
5048 Lantana Rd #5112 Lake Worth, FL	3.0	2.0	1115	$2,200	$1.97	7d	1	1.25mi
5064 Lantana Rd #6203 Lake Worth, FL	2.0	2.0	929	$2,100	$2.26	24d	1	1.26mi
1722 Meadows Cir #1722 Boynton Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	704	$1,700	$2.41	15d	1	1.27mi
1722 Meadows Cir #1722 Boynton Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	704	$1,700	$2.41	17d	1	1.27mi
2780 Norfolk Pine Ct Lake Worth, FL	2.0	2.0	1175	$2,400	$2.04	24d	1	1.27mi
5 Heather Trace Dr Boynton Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1454	$3,100	$2.13	22d	1	1.33mi
5981 Via Vermilya #203 Lake Worth, FL	2.0	2.0	1130	$1,975	$1.75	24d	1	1.37mi
4259 Wood Ride Unit E Boynton Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1240	$2,350	$1.90	7d	1	1.38mi
1239 Sussex St Boynton Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1436	$3,100	$2.16	19d	1	1.48mi
1239 Sussex St Boynton Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1436	$3,100	$2.16	24d	1	1.48mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $1,237 · $14,844/yr
• Likely covers: poolsecurity

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-06-15
   statusdays on market $75,500 Pending 76 DOM
2. 2026-06-13
   days on market $75,500 Active 75 DOM
3. 2026-06-09
   days on market $75,500 Active 71 DOM
4. 2026-06-08
   days on market $75,500 Active 70 DOM
5. 2026-06-07
   days on market $75,500 Active 69 DOM
6. 2026-06-04
   days on market $75,500 Active 66 DOM
7. 2026-06-03
   days on market $75,500 Active 65 DOM
8. 2026-06-02
   days on market $75,500 Active 64 DOM
9. 2026-06-01
   days on market $75,500 Active 63 DOM
10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,500 Active 62 DOM
11. 2026-04-19
    price $75,500
12. 2026-03-25
    listed $89,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $27,536
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,229
• − Property taxes: −$1,132
• − Insurance: −$378
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,203
• − Management: −$2,203
• − HOA: −$14,844
• − Depreciation: −$2,196
• Taxable income: $351
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$84
• After-tax cash flow: $564/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a cosmetic rehab level and requires minimal repairs and maintenance. The highest-ROI updates would be painting the exterior siding, replacing the kitchen countertops, and upgrading the HVAC system.

Value-add opportunities

• Resale Paint the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and value of the home.
• Resale Replace the kitchen countertops — Modern countertops can improve the kitchen's functionality and aesthetic.
• Both Upgrade the HVAC system — Upgrading the HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Resale Paint the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and value of the home. ↑
• Resale Replace the kitchen countertops — Modern countertops can improve the kitchen's functionality and aesthetic. ↑
• Both Upgrade the HVAC system — Upgrading the HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Palm Beach
• NCES district ID: 1201500
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $53,943
• Composite: 42.72/100
• National rank: #3160
• State rank: #34 of 73 in FL

Livability — Seminole Manor

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #711
• US rank: #15076

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 33,371
• Household income: $73,997
• Rent vs Own: 35.1% rent · 64.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 1852.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,637,487 people
• By 2030: 1,743,255 · +6.5%
• By 2040: 1,948,712 · +19.0%
• By 2050: 2,132,979 · +30.3%
• By 2075: 2,530,027 · +54.5%
• By 2100: 2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
• Race & ethnicity: White 44% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 3%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 14% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
• Foreign-born: 31% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 60% English-only · Spanish 20% French/Haitian/Cajun 16% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -295.48%
• Current HPI: 361.5391
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.09%
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-15.2% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-19 Price Changed $75,500 MCRTC
• 2026-03-25 Listed $89,000 MCRTC