434 Sackett Ave · Monroe, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home with awesome potential! House has great bones and great space, it just needs some love and vision to bring out it's natural appeal. Upstairs has 3 bedrooms and a full bath, large second floor deck off hallway. Main floor has a large kitchen with eating space, living and dining area. One of the main floor spaces could easily function as an office or study area. Basement is unfinished but has a full bathroom that needs some attention. Laundry is in basement. Great outdoor space with fenced backyard, old above ground pool that most likely needs to be removed. Large covered front porch is great to sit on and enjoy the weather. Two car garage has extra storage space in the back. House price reflects work that needs to be done. Home is looking for a buyer to bring the charm back out.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Extra storage space
- Large kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas connected; Cable connected; High-speed internet
- Home design: Traditional style single-family home; Built in 1923; 1,216 living area
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Shingle roof; Full basement
- Exterior features: Sidewalk; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Bay/Bow window
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Natural gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $222 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.0% in Monroe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#51 in MI, #1,034 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities D+.
- Monroe Public Schools (suburban): math 24% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #278 of 540 in MI (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 264 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $90k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.61%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $200,640
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 425 Fern Ct | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,144 (-6%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $157 | 83 |
| 118 Michigan Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,224 (+1%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $151 | 70 |
| 318 E Grove St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (+10%) | 1mo | $228,900 | $170 | 69 |
| 408 Riverview Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,109 (-9%) | 2mo | $184,000 | $166 | 68 |
| 702 N Monroe St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,142 (-6%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $144 | 67 |
| 134 Michigan Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,160 (-5%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $155 | 66 |
| 116 Maple Blvd | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,300 (+7%) | 1mo | $246,000 | $189 | 64 |
| 504 Rosewood Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,308 (+8%) | 3mo | $216,000 | $165 | 62 |
| 734 N Monroe St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,334 (+10%) | 3mo | $209,000 | $157 | 62 |
| 823 Michigan Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (-6%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $219 | 60 |
| 534 Maple Blvd | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-10%) | 5mo | $185,000 | $168 | 57 |
| 701 Michigan Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,364 (+12%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $110 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-6,127
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $12,817
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48162
- Active inventory
- 123
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,304 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,205/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $222
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $293 | -5% $257 | +0% $222 | +5% $187 | +10% $151 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $119 | -5% $171 | +0% $222 | +5% $274 | +10% $325 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $285 | -0.5pp $254 | base $222 | +0.5pp $190 | +1.0pp $157 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 765 N Macomb St Monroe, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,150 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 767 N Macomb St Monroe, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,150 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 505 Harrison St Monroe, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,600 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 733 Smith St Monroe, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 739 Washington St Monroe, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 853 | $995 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 620 John Anderson Ct Unit 628-28 Monroe, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $1,095 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 620 John Anderson Ct Monroe, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 787 | $1,195 | $1.52 | 2d | 12 | 1.26mi |
| 620 John Anderson Ct Monroe, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 787 | $1,295 | $1.64 | 44d | 7 | 1.26mi |
| 1450 S Monroe St Monroe, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 851 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1250 Josephine Ct Monroe, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $975 | $1.23 | 5d | 2 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $125,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $125,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 699-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
Home with awesome potential! House has great bones and great space, it just needs some love and vision to bring out it's natural appeal. Upstairs has 3 bedrooms and a full bath, large second floor deck off hallway. Main floor has a large kitchen with eating space, living and dining area. One of the main floor spaces could easily function as an office or study area. Basement is unfinished but has a full bathroom that needs some attention. Laundry is in basement. Great outdoor space with fenced backyard, old above ground pool that most likely needs to be removed. Large covered front porch is great to sit on and enjoy the weather. Two car garage has extra storage space in the back. House price reflects work that needs to be done. Home is looking for a buyer to bring the charm back out.
-
2026-06-01$150,000 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
Home with awesome potential! House has great bones and great space, it just needs some love and vision to bring out it's natural appeal. Upstairs has 3 bedrooms and a full bath, large second floor deck off hallway. Main floor has a large kitchen with eating space, living and dining area. One of the main floor spaces could easily function as an office or study area. Basement is unfinished but has a full bathroom that needs some attention. Laundry is in basement. Great outdoor space with fenced backyard, old above ground pool that most likely needs to be removed. Large covered front porch is great to sit on and enjoy the weather. Two car garage has extra storage space in the back. House price reflects work that needs to be done. Home is looking for a buyer to bring the charm back out.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,205 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,565 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- +$360/yr (+$30/mo · 29.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,647
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,205
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,252
- − Management
- −$1,252
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $675
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$162
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,503/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Monroe Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2624150
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,437
- Composite
- 30.33/100
- National rank
- #6269
- State rank
- #278 of 540 in MI
Livability — Monroe
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #1034
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Monroe, MI
- County
- Monroe County · 54,460 people
- City population
- 54,460
- Metro
- Monroe, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,156
- Household income
- $67,876
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 828.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 144,439 people
- By 2030
- 140,033 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 128,408 · -11.1%
- By 2050
- 115,024 · -20.4%
- By 2075
- 87,273 · -39.6%
- By 2100
- 63,110 · -56.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Romanian 6% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.1) · D 35.7% · R 62.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -27.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.1 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.1 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -171.11%
- Current HPI
- 138.1795
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Monroe, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+66.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-01 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-01 Listed $150,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 1998-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,205 · -24.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…